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Posts posted by Scandinavian High.
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IDO probably not the outcome next run will be different hopefully better for a cold push from east wintery weather also
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Very exciting runs over night something wintery from east looks possible or up garden path route
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We have been very unlucky this winter before I started looking models 13 years ago didn’t realise how difficult it was for us to get a proper cold spell into uk December 2010 i didn’t realise how lucky we was I expected it to be repeated every now and then seems like there is barrier around the UK stops deep cold from reaching here now.
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Meto not backing down something from the east could get interesting soon let’s see what models show later.
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All models seem to be all over the place at moment still think an easterly could pop up soon with an increase snow risk for eastern areas in next couple of weeks .
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TillyS and most probably be very different next run .
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@syed2878 yep I agree the far north most probably do fine north facing coast I just can’t get excited over a northerly very dry I just hope something pops up from the east otherwise the same old bore fest .
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46 minutes ago, mulzy said:
Indeed nws - it's looking ominous. Another snowless winter is possible in London to add to the many in recent history. What makes this winter different is the ridiculous level of ramping by experts and amateurs alike. Anyway, we have 5 or so weeks of winter left so who knows but the signs are not good (see chart below).
And that chart is 10 days away I put my house and my car on that will not play out like that. And knowing my luck. It will
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3 minutes ago, E17boy said:Sorry to post this here but as the mood is a bit somber for the coming pattern the MO extended outlook still remains the same still the Easterly is in the forcast. So that is a small bit of comfort while we wait to see what happens after the wind and rain and see how the pattern evolves.
Not sure the down beat mood in here we all know this cold spell is coming to an end a stormy period coming up doesn’t look like going to last with high pressure moving up from south drying out once more with frost and fog then we look for where high is going most likely scandi how cold how much snow no one knows the answer yet not even the professionals . Long way to go my eyes are on
Scandinavia
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7 minutes ago, Catacol said:
Hello where are we looking at blocking north west or north/north east or is it to early? For that direction. Thank you.
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Just now, Kasim Awan said:
Yes increasingly likely snow free South of say Derby on the mainland next 7-8 days, could be changes yet though.
This happens every time with northerly’s we don’t really get anything snowy down south I’m hoping something from east later this month or early feb.
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Big snow event south of England
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Just now, Met4Cast said:
Unsurprisingly the low has now trended to the south of the UK across most modelling. 80% chance now the precipitation doesn’t reach the south coast.
The benefit of this is much colder air remains in place.
Yep looking that way now I’m not to far from you location . in this setup do we have any chance snow I know north as a better shout thank you.
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Very interesting isn’t it what’s betting them lows coming up from south west don’t get that far north I say Birmingham the most northern extent south of that chances of significant snow events. For the north snow showers and longer spells of snow at times.
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4 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Gfs o6z terrible!!!!!
Why
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2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:Significant snow, risk colder air coming south weather systems coming up from the south-west battleground snow events.
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17 minutes ago, BarnetBlizzard said:
I really like that chart with energy sliding under the block over Greenland cold ready to flood in from north east could see heavy snow fall if everything comes together.
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Low to south west will it slide south east .
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Scandinavian High.
Interesting charts starting crop up now milder wetter to start to march . later part week 2 of march Im looking around 16th onwards turning much colder from east with wintery weather I’m thinking models are being to early bring in the colder weather from east. My forecast don’t shoot me down please