Froze were the Days
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Posts posted by Froze were the Days
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Yet another very warm summer month...wake me up when something different happens!
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18 hours ago, Badgers01 said:
Torrential rain again this evening - didn’t see it mentioned on any forecast either !?
Yes you wouldn't have seen it on the BBC forecast back on Tuesday for the 5 day look ahead for the week that's for sure...that MeteoGroup are absolutely dire!
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Thought the rain was over for today and it would be nice sunny day - wrong! a heavy rain rogue shower presently (again) on top of last night and the early hours.
By George we've had some rain over the last 6 weeks...looks like a BIG pattern change ahead though with the first signs of the famous European heat dome taking shape...I'll stab at a very dry period coming up from late April through to god knows when.
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19 hours ago, Don said:
Wasn't February 2021 a bit borderline at first with less snow than forecast as a result?
I can only go what I observed but the 7th the first day of the impending cold spell was only marginal whilst waiting for a nagging LP cell to clear off south eastwards and less cold uppers thereafter dp's dropped like a stone as the wind tuned more ENE and for a week the warmest daily max I recorded was 0.5c so hardly any thaw (the coldest daytime week since Dec 1996/Jan 1997 cold spell)...snow was a bit of a disappointment with a max of 2 inches here although up the coast near Clacton and the Suffolk had nearer to 5 to 6 inches, amazing variabilities. Snowfall from this event effected a small area with largely eastern Essex and Suffolk in the best areas...always amazes me the size of the UK and such micro events.
I believe this was from the effects of a displaced sudden stratospheric warming.
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1 hour ago, Don said:
It did indeed, I'm guessing it's often too marginal now?
Worrying thing is the models have been pretty good the last few winters in predicting the marginality/rain events on the east coast (4 I think) other than Feb 2021 when dp's and temps for once clearly low enough which doesn't happen often.
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3 hours ago, Snowyowl9 said:
But also who needs a near record cold month when you can get near record snowfalls instead..
One of the few very lucky ones then!...I've seen one or two wet snowflakes all winter, I remember the days when the east coast use to be the place to be for good snowfall, not anymore.
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25 minutes ago, DR(S)NO said:
I thought this particular thread was all about predictions. I'm not sure it’s right to be calling someone out for doing so just cause it was wrong.
You obviously have no recollection of BFTP (Fred)?...he comes out with forecasts largely of the cold to very cold variety on the MOD thread and elsewhere and not just on this thread and has been doing so for years, lets say he is to forecasting cold weather what Berni Inn is to fine dining
He does seem to not take it to heart so good on him but like a broken watch he'll get a forecast right sooner or later.
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How's Fred's close to record cold going for the month?
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So much for Fred's (BFTP) forecast of close to record cold for this month - WRONG once again!!!! but that doesn't stop the many likes from posters at the time, if only they knew!
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Well the final day of the month is quite fitting how March has gone...dreadful!! raining fairly hard here currently.
Will be interesting to see final rainfall amounts...going to be at least 200% of the average (obviously with variations).
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Just seen a swallow fly by near a farm - not sure if I've seen them here this early? crackers!
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12 minutes ago, Sparky68 said:
Winter was fun while it lasted but had enough now.
It might have been for you...December Ice and frost noteworthy but nothing else! Some nice sun out there today but make the most of it the rest of the week looks putrid...
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Another poor MeteoGroup (BBC) forecast for today...where's the sun? glimpses today but that's about it. Forecast for the week ahead and again a lot of cloud with drizzle/rain at times - oh joy! no doubt they'll get that right...
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1 hour ago, SunSean said:
Just worked out our average sunshine hours per day since February 21st.....
1.86 hours per day
Hope we never have a month as dull as this again in my lifetime!
Yep! had weeks and weeks of bland nothingness weather from last week or so in January to early March though there were some sunny days and dry and now thanks to the SSW we've got continuous rain and cloud cover...
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Another dismal day here...just the same as yesterday but rain probably somewhat lighter...we can all thank the SSW for this, but who knows maybe we'll need this rain come July.
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28 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
and certainly no record breaking cold in these parts as some were touting a week ago. In fact temperatures are noticeably above normal over the next week.
Well we know who the 'culprit' was...who has a laughable track record when it comes to predicting cold weather.
The Arctic air mass locked in place to the north of Scotland and there it stays...
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1 minute ago, damianslaw said:
Jetstream shunted south but not south enough to allow a clean northerly flow through whole UK, instead low pressure tracking through southern half of UK or through N France, squeezed by what appear to be stubborn heights out of N Africa into Iberia with heat building here.
Yes agree! very little has been happening over much of Europe during this SSW - sign of things to come I'm afraid.
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33 minutes ago, carinthian said:
Looks like UK tapping into some Arctic Air mass going by this chart but with snow melt advancing in the Alps ?
If you're talking about Northern Scotland or northwards as the UK (nothing new here)?...I'm quite amazed how consistently there seems to be enough low heights to the south over the UK stopping the advancement southwards of the Am airmass considering these probably are still the effects of the ongoing SSW but then again synoptically and hempisherically (not sure if that's a word) speaking how underwhelming I've found the last week or so.
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Lovely lovely sun...feels great today compared to the last awful 2 1/2 days. Puts a spring in your step!
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33 minutes ago, pinball wizard said:
Yeah its been quite good the last hour
Nice! even on the coast
absolutely diabolical here on the Essex Riviera, heavy rain (for 48 hours on/off) with just the odd wet snowflake an hour ago thrown in. This SSW 2023 will be the one of the 'great soak'.
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2 hours ago, ANYWEATHER said:
a wet and cool summer coming up...
I'll believe the 'cool' summer bit when I experience it...even the unsettled summers we have experienced in the last decade have still all been warmer than average, cool the summer of 2023 it won't be!
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Please mummy make this diabolical weather stop...36 hours of continous rain and counting!
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1 minute ago, Eastips85 said:
Just get the continent cold enough, the wind in our favour and with an ever warming sea I believe one day this snow starved “cold rain” infested East Coast will get buried in an event like never before. I’m counting the days, bring it on! 2 years and 26 days since the last covering of snow
Yes strangely that week in Feb 21' was a very cold one by day, limited snow here (2inches max) but Suffolk/NE Essex coast did quite well and that was from a true easterly with low dp's which are becoming as rare as seeing bigfoot on a motorcycle...but that was after missing out on several cold episodes that Winter. Should also be stated that easterly effected relatively few further inland and towards Norfolk, so not a large wide scale event.
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47 minutes ago, WelshSnow said:
Well you clearly live in one of the worst places in the uk for snow regardless of a ssw or not. Instead of moaning about what the weather won’t give you, try moving you’ll have better luck.
Obviously from somebody who hit the jackpot today (but elevated parts of Wales was predicted to be in the firing line)...as mentioned by another poster northerlies not much use in this location and pot luck with back edge snow with fronts moving into the air mass, certainly in this area.
By the way you'd be moaning too if you had the misses over the last few Winters in my location (and going by some others posters locations towards the south east)...the east coast ain't what it use to be in days gone byes Winters.
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Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Watching latest model runs and of recent summers - amazing you very rarely see low pressures move eastwards over land i.e. over Scandinavia etc. hence the reason we hardly experience northerlies or even to a degree north westerlies!