Froze were the Days
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Posts posted by Froze were the Days
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2 hours ago, Jamie M said:
Can't remember the last time I recall seeing leaves falling this early but this dry weather has definitely had a knock!
2020...
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Fresh breeze blowing!?! and again looking at the FAX charts very little in the way of isobars...seems to be frequently happening in summer.
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Holy Mackerel! just had some beautiful beautiful refreshing rain! not often I'd say that...
looks pretty dry for the foreseeable so good job!
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Another pathetic attempt to rain tonight (well I say another, there hasn't been many in the last 5 weeks)...a few drops again and the pharaohs sock is still bone dry!
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Really breezy here!...why do basic looking synoptics in summer with a not particularly deep low to the north west always bring windy conditions? I'm sure in Winter it wouldn't be as breezy. Dry as a pharaohs sock conditions continuing.
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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:
Will it remain weak in the winter, and will that mean a dry winter too?
Largely but not in February as we know, still didn't stop the Winter from being largely mild!...it's feeding off what cold air there is around Greenland currently but that's becoming less and less, makes you wonder in 10 years time what the Atlantic will be doing, very little I'd suggest.
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On the latest ECM rum nothing changes out to day 10...still the same pattern...high pressure to the south with a strong ridge from the south west and a weak Atlantic far to the north west. The Atlantic sure is a 'weakling' this summer!
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Heard distant thunder and had a total of 2 minutes of large rain drops but that's been about it.
Have to agree with the poster above, I'd be very surprised if we don't get at least one more heatwave before August is out, one thing that has surprised me is that the last month has produce little in the way of easterlies here (which most summers we do experience) and there always seems to be a gentle pull of westerlies which I feel is playing into the hands of further hot spells as the Atlantic is doing absolutely diddly squat other than if you live in the Shetlands or Outer Hebrides!
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Horrible and humid here...nothing happening no wind and the house is STILL very warm! 25.8c at 7pm...strike a light!! (on second thoughts don't)
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hhmmmm so much for a cool down (well I suppose it is in these times), currently 26.7c - c'mon lets have a decent poor down with some thunder and lightning!
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12 minutes ago, moogyboobles said:
There are a couple of stations here that I find questionable. There is one I trust after years of keeping an eye on it and that went up to 38 today.
I really want to get my own, but I can never make up my mind which one to get.
Metcheck look like they've folded and no more (the online shop)...they use to sell British Standard (BS) Min/Max thermometers & Stevenson Screens...Russell Scientific you could give a go.
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3 minutes ago, moogyboobles said:
One of the weather stations in SWF reported 40.3 today (not the most reliable one mind you).
But most here peaked at 38.Sounds a bit excessive...I've got a Stevenson screen with my min/max thermometers housed so I should think fairly accurate here but as you're 8 or 9 miles further inland a degree or two hotter I would have thought!
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Got away 'with it' nearer the coast here...max of 32c yesterday and today just over 33c, feel sorry for those folks further inland, how are those T-Storms looking? or is that wishful thinking.
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Presently 30.5c here near to the Essex coast...'real' hot day I think will come tomorrow where anything maybe possible, like a sauna in the sun. Dreading this evening when the house seems to build heat by that time...
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I can take the heat when on holiday in a dry heat country such as the Greece with AC in the hotel...but it's a totally different thing when you have to live in it and the house is hot. Not looking forward to it in the slightest and nor will my 2 scottie dogs!
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Is there any rain in the forecast?...haven't had rain here for a few weeks, lawn is looking just like hay!
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39.8c Heathrow, Tuesday 19th
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I won't hold my breath for any thundery activity today just the usual cloud and rain overnight, nothing else...we've had 1 thunderstorm this Spring, pushing it for another.
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40 minutes ago, jasonuk said:
I reckon you should do all the forecasts, your the best and quickest to call them out when they are wrong
Rightly so - looked like one of those forecasts from a few days out that would be 'dodgy' though...higher pressure to the north with a weak trough to the south but I saw 2 Beeb forecasts yesterday (1 a local one) and both seemed fairly confidence of cloud and showers by afternoon, further north in the region drier. Wouldn't surprise me if tomorrow goes the shape of the pear as well (generally does when it comes to T-Storms).
Don't forget these people are 'professionals' and get paid...it's all very well predicting Atlantic conditions.
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Poor forecast from the Beeb for today for my locale...so much for the cloud and showers this afternoon - WRONG! I wonder if they'll get tomorrow equally as bad?
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As I said amounted to diddly squat!...wouldn't hold your breath on tonight either.
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I wouldn't hold your breath...8 out of 10 we end up in a humid cloudy damp affair, I bet this will be one of those times. UK is dreadful for convective activity nowdays.
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Latest ECM run develops low pressure over southern/south eastern UK which will translate into fairly cold wet and miserable for a few days...still find it amazing how we struggle even at this time of year to get a cold air mass over the country...last February was the last time IMBY but that largely only affected to the south and east.
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9 hours ago, lassie23 said:
What i can't believe is that people yet again fell for the old easterly malarky YET AGAIN, it was never going to happen.
Problem is even if the ops get worse too often pre a 'prospect' of an easterly posters rely heavily on means or ensemble members showing them what they want and as we all know these change in a blink of an eye. At a certain range you could see this easterly was going to fail...GFS and ECM ops were pointing away from it.
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
August 2020 was pretty warm!...average of 17.7c was the warmest I think since 2003!...sadly I feel a hot August and possibly into September will do diddly squat for our chances of a chilly winter, but then again you could say that about anytime leading into Autumn for the last 9 years!