BlueSkies_do_I_see

Fen Wolf I feel the same about the UK. My brother emigrated to the Midwest of America in the mid 2000s. His weather is a lot more varied than ours. He called me last week to say his daytime high went from 28C on Monday 26th Feb (which is a record high for that day), to a high of 2C two days later! Like Arctic hare's comment above, I can't leave right now. Too many people here are dependant on me. What would be your ideal climate if you could buy your way into any country on the planet? For me it would be in a country/region that is large enough to migrate freely between its borders so you can always be in the right temperature. Prior to the referendum, it was simple - the EU. I could go from Spain to Sweden and remain always pleasantly warm year round. The other would be Australia. It's not a problem staying warm in winter, but maybe too hot at times in the summer.

Atleastitwillbemild An increasing amount of people are doing it. As much as they would like to tax it, some things will always remain free - the warmth of the Spanish sun in winter, the golden sand on your toes and the sound of the ocean, the serenity of a mountain pass, bird song etc. You have to hope that sometime in the next decade there might be a closer tie with Europe again. If not, i'll be returning to Australia that I left 23 years ago. It's never cold there. Just head north in their winter. The way I see it is you can burn through £10,000 visiting Florida Disney World and Gulf coast for a few weeks or spend the same amount of money with 9 months on the road.

I also suffer with SAD. I bought a SAD lamp which helps a little. It's always hardest in March for me as we have had to endure Oct, Nov, Dec, Jan and Feb. Let's hope for a decent April. We've had some really glorious Aprils in the last 17 years. 2007, 2011, 2015 and 2020 spring to mind. That's roughly one decent April every 4-5 years. We are due one.. I'll keep saving a little each month for my future camper van in retirement.* Then I will just drive somewhere with lower annual rainfall in the winter (Spain) and somewhere to escape the heatwaves in the summer (Scotland). I've worked out the average daily high temperature in Southern Spain in January and Northern Scotland in July is about the same, 18C. *If the interest rate remained at a constant 5% for the next 40 years, and you started putting away £5 out of the pay packet each week from the age of 25, you would have £30,645 on your 65th birthday.

I remember March 23rd 2013. We had 5 foot snow drifts on some stretches of the lane near my parents' house in rural Leicestershire. Widespread snow March 2013 WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK In March 2013 an active weather fronts moving in from the Atlantic brought heavy rain and flooding to south-western parts of the...

So we have an extra bonus day of winter to look forward to (I say that through gritted teeth as a person who looks forward to spring after September ends..) Then onto March. My father used to tell me it was the month that comes in like a lion and out like a lamb. Though that was his memories growing up thru the 1950s and 1960s, the latter of which was a cold decade. Probably not to much these days. So what does count as a mild day in early and late March respectively?

This one's going to the wire. It's dropped to 7.8C

Derecho Given the final two days of the month for Stoneyhurst and Pershore are forecasting 11C/9C on 28th and 10C/4C, it would a miracle if it dropped below 7.9C. My money is on an 8.0C finish.

Weather-history I do remember that yes. Loved Philip Eden You might enjoy this from 2008 from this very forum:

Scorcher it is based 9am to 9am as I have read that a lot in the past on here. Does that change things much? It could drop 7.9 to the 26th, 7.7 to the 27th then rise 7.8 to the 28th, and then all be hinging on the 29th..

Dropped to 8.1 today. Starting to think 1779 is indeed safe at the top.

9.3C for me. I'm going to go large or go home.

I personally think 1779's crown is teetering. It's going to be beaten (just). Reason being the models seem to not have a full grasp on this new climate era we are in. Feb was forecast to be cold and it's been quite the opposite. If I had to place a bet on either 7.8C or 8.0C, I would put my chips right now on 8.0C. Weds 28th looks like it's going to pitch the CET up and not down and the 29th could have a double figure high temp too.

I'd happily take another 2018. I spent most of that summer under canvas (60 nights). It's the perfect summer climate for me, hot for weeks on end and with low humidity. It's the summer I will be chasing in my retirement (Algarve possibly). Both May bank holidays hit 26C + in my locality, and the heat just continued into June https://www.itv.com/news/anglia/2018-05-07/may-day-bank-holiday-confirmed-as-hottest-on-record 2018 British Isles heatwave - Wikipedia EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG Will we get another hot summer. I'd put money on it! There will be some unsettled spells but I can see 33C being hit in both July and August widely across the British Isles (pushing 38C in the South East)

Roger J Smith the couch has outlived the house Roger! It demonstrates why that record has stood the test of time. Even this super charged month is going to struggle to shift it. How close are we now to the Feb EWP record?

It could end up neither falling short or surpassing 1779 , but matching the 7.9C. Either way, I agree the 28th and 29th will be key. The minimums on those days start to rise.

Catbrainz I was in North Devon last week and I saw a young couple strip down to swim shorts and bikini and run into the sea. It has to be a hot day in August for me to do that! I guess some people feel the cold more than others

Don I wouldn't have believed it was possible only a short time ago. But some things have altered my perception. 2022 40.3C. June and Sept 2023 both setting temperature records and now this February. I'm also looking at the world temperature records being broken on a continual basis. I believe the ocean temperatures are increasing so rapidly that the long range forecasts cannot keep pace with accurately predicting the full extent of the heat we are experiencing. I don't have the technical knowledge of many on here so I can only go on observations. For me it's an odds on chance.

SqueakheartLW thanks. I would agree with your points. I hope the warmest year doesn't happen. This Feb is going to be a close thing. It does still look like the end of the month will drag it down below 7.9C, but I will be very surprised if it goes below 7C

I think we have reached the tipping point now to be honest. All records are under threat. Warmest winter, warmest Feb, warmest year. If a bookie offered me evens odds on any of those three occurring, I would lay a £100 wager. I'd happily take their money. So I can see this new record in context, does anyone have access to the top 10 mildest daily mean Feb days on record?

I've now conditioned myself to be less surprised by these high temperature results being ahead of those forecast. I am guessing the verification stats show the actual temperature values are more often higher than the models are forecasting rather than lower?

Summer8906 prior to 2015, the record CET for both December and February was 0.1C either side of 8C. (December 1934 8.1C and Feb 1779 7.9C) Then December 2015 came along and blows the record sky high with 9.6C. Given what we are witnessing with these pulses of incredibly mild air, I think the 7.9C record is under serious threat in the near future. The end of this month is looking cooler, so it may be safe this year, but can anyone provide one of those running GFS estimates?

The weather outlook is looking cool, but not excessively cold. I guess it's a slow drift down from here, rather than a steep drop. The question is how much will in dip? I actually don't want these warmest month on record to keep being set, as it is obviously not a good sign. On the flip side, I'm in here with you guys, as we all share the passion about analysing and measuring what we are experiencing today against the records set in the past.

When I see these 850hPa anomalies being forecast from 192 hours, I can only see an above average month, a 7.0C + finish. I wish we did more snow and hoar frosts. I miss it. But it is what it is.

I would say anyone who called something circa 7C is sitting pretty right now.

WYorksWeather It's hard seeing where the next below average CET month is coming from. We have only had one Mean CET month below average since June 2021 (Dec 2022 CET 3.4). That's 31 of the last 32 months above average.