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ChezWeather

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Everything posted by ChezWeather

  1. Good forecast from Gavsweathervids Looks to be hot and dry for the rest of the month, perhaps a slight blip for the far North around mid month, but south staying warm and dry
  2. 12z GFS keeping the heat right out to the start of week 3 Only to be taken with a pinch of salt of course, but no sign of any substantial breakdown yet!
  3. 18.9c Warm and Dry for the first 3 weeks followed by a thundery breakdown
  4. What sort of setup would it take to break the all time monthly CET records? (July 2006 & Aug 95) Night-time Temps in these months must have been pretty damn high to give the CET average of over 19c
  5. I think a short term blip would be welcomed by many who are wanting some much needed rainfall, lets just hope the general pattern for July is warm and sunny! Personally, id be happy with the good old "three fine days and a thunderstorm" weather ?️
  6. July 2006 is the month to beat, this of course being the hottest CET month ever recorded with a mean of 19.7 Only 3 months have ever topped the 19c mean July 2006 (19.7) July 1983 (19.5) Aug 1995 (19.2)
  7. Im glad you mentioned this one, because that date has been stuck in my mind for ages when trying to think of great storms and i was never sure it i had it correct or not! A cracking storm with constant lightning, probably the best i've ever witnessed. Honourable mentions would include; June 28th 2012 despite being slightly further North than the main outbreak (this day in my mind is the benchmark for UK storms, certainty in the radar era) July 19th 2014 was a great storm, frequent CGs July 1st 2015 where i sat and watched an incredible storm over Manchester and the NW from around 40 miles away September 13th 2016 storm which moved North over the Peak District, constant barrage of CG's and some fairly large hail
  8. Perfect storm scenario in the UK? Easy.. 28th June 2012.
  9. The last few years for our location have been very poor, 2014 was exceptional. My recorded thunder days below, only going back to 2013 unfortunately. 2013 - 11 2014 - 15 2015 - 7 2016 - 8 2017 - 4 2018 - 0 This week has followed that pattern, to far NE, and it now looks like we will be too far east to see anything tomorrow. The last good storm we had overhead in Chesterfield was like you say, way back in July 2015. I managed to catch the big storm that tracked over the Peak District in September 2016 but since then I've not seen anything that could be classed as a proper thunderstorm!
  10. Amber warning from UKMO for the SW and South Wales Also a yellow for the NW tomorrow
  11. All the action forecast for the South again!? We're doomed!
  12. Main risk at the moment looks to be for South West / South Central areas, plenty of time for change yet though!
  13. Well surprise surprise, tomorrows risk has already been transfered further south
  14. Guys, go check out this thread for some useful storm spotting links
  15. This year has to be better than 2017 where we only had a measly 4 days with thunder heard, and not 1 organised storm at all!
  16. You guys in the South East have blown your entire yearly storm quota in the last 4 days! Send some this way please
  17. That storm looks a beast! Still going and still very active
  18. Does anyone know of a good site to check for current wind direction and convergence? XCWeather is not bad but something more accurate would be great
  19. Well the storm south of here has all but died, still some intense lightning activity near Milton Kenyes
  20. Estofex had that nailed on with the Level 2 warning for high rainfall totals
  21. Finally raining here, mean looking skies to the east with strikes now detected near Newark
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