Bullseye

Ah man that tweet from Met Office showing the snaw coming in was a slight letdown for us, dosen't extend south enough to cover Glasgow but as you say hopefully nudge south to get us involved too!

Some interest for us through the Central Belt over the next few days and then again at start of next week. Just don't ask that question in the MOD thread

Just a tad chilly. Type of weather where you'll wanting to be treating yourself to some permagrip soles at Timpsons for £19.99...

Potential shift to easterly winds as early as Sunday going by the GFS 18z run, might give us better chance of snow piling in. Temperatures really struggling for us lot up here for very least next 7 days either way, struggling to get above freezing with that.

Obviously need to wait for likely the morning runs but there has also been a trend across the pond for temperatures to remain on mild side since 0z run of yesterday.Problem now if ECM is correct, just like that the ECM weeklies from last night followed by CFS can now be binned, both should W.Europe on the cold side for at least next 10-14 days. Somewhat gutted if latest ECM is correct.

Think that is a fair summary, got to remember the upcoming -NAO is trop lead, which is something we wouldn't expect to last into January, unless as Masiello tweeted last week SSW provides a reinforcement for January.

Just on the topic of the MJO, not sure if this has been mentioned but Masiello over on Twitter is sounding fairly confident of re emergence of MJO and continuous blocking between Scandi and Greenland. https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1597286213651554304?t=vXyVFkRRC0HWDMNiplzPHg&s=19

Very pleasant at the moment, still sitting around 22c. Interesting to see how it goes tomorrow, more cloud around but not sure if this is high cloud - tomorrow looks to possibly top today for here in Glasgow. Arpege going for around 34/35c tomorrow in the borders and UKV going for close to around 36/37c (which I feel is OTT), either way very good chance of new record max temperature in Scotland!

England, Wales and Scotland all recording their highest ever temperature based on that chart!

Proper coming down here, heaviest snaw since... 7AM . Na joking, pretty epic and ready to venture out for work meeting and got the dreaded text to say snow has started to land towards glasgow city centre which is quite unusual!

Amazing this already . Thundersnow and ground now all white. Made up, how easily pleased!

BBC updated in past 15 mins looks better now for central belt, may be based on current ECM run? Either way I'm taking it!

Very good point, thanks for that. Will be very interesting few days ahead, can see this being high end VEI 5 or even VEI 6. Worryingly, no contact at all from the island since this eruption and now majority of the island is now gone too.

Obviously much more important concerns as detailed well by @SNOW_JOKE above but with regard to whether this eruption may be large enough to have any impact of global temperatures at the moment this is still far away from the threshold as detailed in below tweet but next data should be in tomorrow on this:

Not yet confirmed but another report of VEI 5, just note prior to this morning eruption was at VEI 2.

That is the 0z run from this morning

Since the weather is a wee bit uneventful from snow/cold perspective took a wee trip back to regional forum for this time last year into January. Didn't realise just how good a winter we had up here last year and then was reminded further by photos that popped up on my phone showing Queens Park and Pollok Park frozen over for good number of days (how could I forget!). Few people in the mad house recently said how poor winter was last year and to be fair maybe was for down there but certainly not up in Écosse-land.

Colder uppers for the big day compared to 6z run (which was very good too for us)

And just a reminder on the ECM weeklies from Thursday (three days ago!)...

Wild days indeed in that MOD thread, think even few down south are now getting fed up with it judging by few comments this afternoon. Either way the runs continue to roll out and one thing consistent is for Scotland to be remain cold and potentially quite snowy.

Quite the change in EC46 from Thursday with regard to position of the high for Christmas Week looks further north. Week 3 onwards less confidence as again much different compared to Thursday, which had more in the way of reverting back to +NAO.

You can tell who my go to person for all weather things on twitter is at the moment!