Ben Sainsbury

From Bristol haha

I don't know the area well whatsoever so I'm heading there and just seeing what works out haha.

Such a predicament, my first potential long distance chase today for myself. As many have said the risk seems to have shunted eastwards; I might target in and around the Brighton area seems to be a good spot whether it's a direct hit or from distance.

Oh yeah I'm at the university in Reading atm.

We've had 26mm here in Reading and plenty more to come according to radar. Drains are almost full and localised flooding in places atm.

Just had a flash of lightning just to the south of me, was unexpected!

It's quite interesting because particularly later this evening across the SE/East Anglia there is quite a decent overlap of ML CAPE, DLS and SRH. I wondering whether we might see something more organised for a time move its way in from the continent.

This is what I thought of last Friday, EURO4 nailed the intensity and distribution of the showers just like this other model did. Hopefully they're in line this time too.

Short video of lightning I captured in Portishead on a short chase this evening. CAA2970E-A947-4454-BEFF-D470E9216A99.MOV

Some impressive looking CB's moving up from the south here.

Quite complex, some of the charts. http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/

Birmingham is going to get absolutely nailed in the next 30 mins/hour. As cells continue to develop to east of main cell.

Yes! Most potent shower of the day so far, shows the conditions are there and being utilized.

Haven't been around a while, however back to storm season and possibly something quite juicy today. Already some early morning convection stretching from Portsmouth towards Brighton, according to AROME these will be the main focal for today as they head NNW.

Might be a decent day according to ESTOFEX: .... UK and Ireland .... Under the core of the cold trough (even -38oC at 500 hPa), Ireland and the UK will be under the influence of strong N-NW flow. Strong surface fluxes are expected over the ocean, providing moisture to the lowest levels which can feed the instability over land, where diabatic heating of the land will provide lift to unstable air masses. Locally large amounts of small hail/graupel (even if storm cells will be moving fast) are expected, but also strong to severe wind gusts can verify, especially in Ireland in the afternoon, where there is a mid-level jet streak.

Whilst there is meant to be heavy precipitation over Reading, barely a flake falling from the sky atm.

A sleety mix here which is disappointing as its some of the most intense precipitation we've had all day.

Dew point here in Reading is 0.1'c with air temperature of 0.8'c

Is my man @Jayfromcardiff up yet??

And its backbuilding!

What's your accumulations like??

This is crazy, just stop snowing; just seen an on-site security block try to clear his car and he just didn't bother!

Visibility has significantly reduced in last 15 minutes, almost whiteout! Accumulations of 7-8cm in places more than I expected. Probably one more hour of this and then game over?

Getting extremely cold and snowy now! this is the main road outside the campus.

All gritted roads and paths on campus are now white.