[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/03/14]

wow at the hail coming down at this moment loads of it

[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/03/14]

very foggy here, is it normal for fog to make temperatures lower?

[Spring 2014 Discussion]

how accurate are these forecasts?

 

Netweather's long range forecast for April to June is now available

 

April

 

Unsettled weather with low pressure often on the scene is a phrase we heard a lot of during the winter, and currently the outlook for April is looking to be reminiscent of that with lower than average pressure expected across the British Isles. As you may expect, that's forecast to lead to a wetter than average month for much of the country, although eastern regions may buck the trend and stay closer to average. Temperatures are forecast to be closer to the norm for the time of year overall.

 

May

 

The final month of Spring sees some uncertainty in the overall pattern with higher than average pressure to the north and northeast of the UK being the only clear signal currently. For eastern regions, and also the north of Scotland a slightly drier or close to average month is likely, elsewhere it's another wetter than average month currently being forecast. Temperatures are again expected to be near to normal, although the northern half of Scotland could be warmer than average.

 

Summer

 

June

 

At this range confidence does start to fall away, but current data suggests that June could be a warm but wet month in most parts - with parts of England and Wales much wetter than average.

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess=

[July 1929 Sussex Squall line & Meteotsunami]

6 metres high??? are you sure? it cannot be that high due to winds!!!!

the wave weren't caused by winds but by the water being physically displaced by sudden change in air pressure

[What Do You Want From Summer?]

Heatwave, hot days loads of sun and some great thunderstorms

[When will 30C be reached?]

i'm gonna say June 6th

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

Much prefer the GEM chart, hope something like that verifies

[El Niño for later this year]

Would that affect us anyway at all?

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

Why it gotta be chilly at night. why not mild. At least it should be nice in the day with the sun out 

 

great charts

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

great charts

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

As others have mentioned CFS is showing some potent north / north easterlies into Marchhttp://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php?ech=516&code=0&carte=0&mode=0&run=10

CFS seems kinda useless, i remember looking at it in january and it was showing really cold weather for winter but as we know never happened

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

The Euro looks golden, a strong pressure build and probably  a good Fohn effect for the east..

 

what would fohn mean?

[Model output discussion 13th Feb onwards]

ECM following on from its 00Z run with high pressure building later next weekend before that we get north to north westerly winds to start spring

 

 

Then from Sunday pressure builds

 

 

ECM ends on a settled note with pressure building nicely its nice to see high pressure appearing just in time for Spring with some very welcome settled weather for all those affected by flooding this winter

 

 

would that mean mild or cold ? nice sunshine and dry just what we need

[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14]

Yikes, I spoke too soon !!

 

Local weather station has just recorded a 70 Mph Gust ! (61.4 Knots)

 

http://www.shorehambeachweather.co.uk/

highest it recorded was 78.2mph in december wonder if could top it

[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14]

as the winds move toward more east/southeast what ever direction will they weaken, increase or just stay the same? any ideas

 

winds very gusty but looking at local weather stations we have had higher winds this winter then now

[Severe Atlantic storms February 2014]

Will the winds weaken as they move to southeast or stay the same?

[Severe Atlantic storms February 2014]

not much happening here just a bit rain really..

[Severe Atlantic storms February 2014]

Latest EURO4 upgrades again, it now brings 60-65mph average (not gusts) winds right up to the Dorset/Hampshire coast - that's 5mph up on the previous run.

what about west sussex coast?

[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14]

The winds don't look as strong as yesterdays storm, says tomorrow maybe chance of 80mph on exposed coast where as yesteday it reach over 100mph

[Severe Atlantic storms February 2014]

At least it not torrent of floods racing through towns and places that would be even more devasating.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

again doesn't seem that bad to me in my personal opinion for my area tomorrow usual gusty winds we've had this winter, nothing severe

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 10/02/14]

I wonder if some flooded areas could stay permanently flooded?

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

Winds don't look bad for southeast really, yes 60mph is pretty gusty but nothing that serious, I do understand the ground is very saturated in places

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

It is yes. 

it says nouedes in brackets which is French for knots. unless it labelled wrong

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

 

This chart shows it all really. 80mph gusts for the south west, and on exposed coastlines and hills I expect that would be considerably higher. Even inland, gusts getting up to 60mph as the storm moves North East.

For the gust chart they use Knots for wind instead km/h so 100 knots would mean 115 mph and 130 knots would mean 149mph it seriously can't be that high? confused