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throwoff

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Everything posted by throwoff

  1. No chance! It would be biblical for the system to move that much. Give me a bit of mild now and let me turn the heating off!
  2. After that wonderful 12z yesterday the 18 and 00 have decided to kill any hope dead! On the plus side it does mean I can go to bed without sitting watching the lamp post/radar for the next couple of nights. Looks like a nice mild spell coming up which I am more than happy with tbh, all this cold with no result is just making me sad!
  3. The 12z GFS is a huge upgrade for Kent and the south over the 06, we had no chance this morning and suddenly it’s back in play
  4. Others have said here, though I wouldn’t dare say it on the Mod, but these patterns tend to move further north than predicted.
  5. We have had plenty like it since 2018. Of course this being model watching it will all change again at the 12Z and I will be popping the corks.
  6. 06Z GFS has decided to take the gradual northern correction it was making and throw it out the window! Dead in the water as it stands.
  7. Well despite all my confidence a few hours ago the 06Z GFS has shot down the tracking north. It has massively corrected it back down south. I think we can call this one another 'close but no cigar'
  8. With a few days to run moving 50 miles at a time over the runs will put it comfortably into the ballpark. I tried to not read the models too much over the weekend, a check between yesterday and today though shows it has moved up. We had nothing at all forecasted to drop on the Sunday runs, this morning the snow has crept back onto the south coast.
  9. Seen it more than a couple of times. 50 miles is next to nothing in terms of systems of this size.
  10. I still think this is very possible. There seems to have been a gradual pivot to the north over the past 24 hours of runs. Leading into the weekend everything had it going south into France ad being game over for the UK, there has been a slow but noticeable correction north since Midnight Saturday.
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