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Everything posted by Lynxus
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thats better They have an APP btw, with alarms and stuff.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Oh lawd Please just use blitzortung.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
One thing i will say is that is very weird to see so much INactivity in Europe. Seeing so much close to home is just .. odd.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hells yeah! Its official when estofex have a level2!!!- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Huge towers to my south here. Wow, some people gonna get some great views tonight. Next load expected to start down south in an hour or so. -G- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
WOAH!!!! FLASH FLOODING! Kangaroos in the road. People looting! Its gonna be crazy!- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Isnt for the most part unstable air in the shaded area? I suspect things to kick off properly down south/SW in about an hour.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I personally look at a few things. Storms are generally caused by converging different masses of air. (Ie, hot air hitting cold air) , This difference creates the condensation, convection etc needed for larger clouds, storms and in extreme cases tornadoes etc. There is a good guide here about UK storms: That said, Here is what I look for. Sea level pressure, Gives a good indicator of air masses, Their direction and where you sit between them. This shows the UK being suck between pressure systems.. So we have movement.. Air is moving about.. Its not like we are stuck dead under a high pressure system. I also look at wind directions. These can show where air is "converging" and likely a good place where storms may be. Precip charts are obviously a good chart to show where rain and intensity may be... Its a bit of a cheat, but shows it none the less. Cape and Lifted index is also a good one to look at. These show how much potential energy is about for a storm to use and the lifting values along with it. Strong cape values and low lifted values are good indicators. Lack of these doesnt mean no storms but with it can mean bigger and more likely storms. The above 3 charts all show the convergence line, the PPN and cape values in the same place roughly. This is a good sign for say 09:00 tomorrow morning that the south of the UK have some big storms. There are other charts can help bolster out the detail but this is a good indication. There is also a storm risk chart that is useful for confirming your thoughts. ----------- This afternoon does indeed look good for the south.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Storm just south of me here in gloucester. Seems fairly active currently.- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards
Lynxus replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I used to get so excited about the storms. Id go chasing them half way across the country mostly to find disappointment. Unless estofex have a level2 for my area etc, I dont get my hopes up