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Lynxus

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Everything posted by Lynxus

  1. Lynxus
    Distant thunder to my south. Wooooo
  2. Lynxus
    Absolutely honking it down here.. No thunder though. It appears to of died.
  3. Lynxus
    Dude.. Not sure where your looking... But we about to get something major.. Looking to my south now, Its a flash every second. Going offline now.. Gonna get real here soon.. very soon .. Gonna go move the car,...
  4. Lynxus
    Looked south? Flashing constant..
  5. Lynxus
    Storm to the south is doing the best part of 1 strike every 2 seconds. The sky to my south is just while flashes now.
  6. Lynxus
    Looks like SE is about to be "pounded" again.. Central South getting hit now and building like something out of hell. South west gonna be hit in the next few hours I think.
  7. Lynxus
    Wow... intense! next 48 hours are gonna be great for some people! so much potential coming from the south! it is... it just seems to be 5 mins out at the moment. exploding all over the south now
  8. Lynxus
    Huge storm here... Not being picked up by blitzortung yet.. HUGE
  9. Lynxus
    100% rain,
  10. Lynxus
    Just noticed the rate of convection and strikes.. Checked Estofex for an update as clearly a mesoscale discussion needs to be announced. and shock horror.... There is: http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?map=yes&fcstfile=2014071820_201407181712_-_mesoscalediscussion.xml Proper gonna explode now!
  11. Lynxus
    Dont be fooled by the direction of the storms. The whole system itself is pushing north. So while "these" ones may not do anything for us.. Its what builds behind.
  12. Lynxus
    Epic wow! The speed at the increase of intensity. Its exploded... Gone from a few strikes to 700+ in 20 mins. eDIT: 1000+
  13. Lynxus
    Oh HELLS yeah!
  14. Lynxus
    Estofex are normally spot on with their forecasts. This give me hope of some massive imports..
  15. Lynxus
    Water & Dust & Pollution mostly.
  16. Lynxus
    Is it bad that the words loads of CAPE, and a cold front gave me shivvers ?
  17. Lynxus
    Wow, Looking at the Sat24 today, Looks like zero chance for sunshine around here today. I hope something pops up later down south. Last nights storm was something else. Flashes every 5 to 6 seconds. Constant rumbling. 1 in 10 was CG strikes however most was IC.
  18. Lynxus
    This explosion here is what we like!
  19. Lynxus
    Blitzortungs live detector *( http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=12 ) Is certainly showing a wider area now. Not sure how accurate the ones on the "map" are.. One has been discounted as a false detection..
  20. Lynxus
    Storms to the south seem to be picking up a bit now. One cell showing a lot more strikes per minute now. Cant wait to see a good storm! Havent had much of a chance to get out and about this year.
  21. Lynxus
    Must of vanished on latest runs maybe We need another nice warm, moist plume.
  22. Lynxus
    IMHO, Nothing more than a few scattered showers with the odd bit of prolonged light to moderate rain at times. Looks quite, quite boring tbh for a few days at least... Possibly something for the midlands on Friday.
  23. Lynxus
    Well, Torro now have a nice warning out.. http://www.torro.org.uk/site/forecast.php TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION 2014/001 A TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION has been issued at 2030GMT on Friday 6th June 2014 Valid from/until: 2030GMT – 1200GMT on Friday 6th June/Saturday 7th 2014 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire: England Wales S Scotland Channel Is THREATS Hail to 15-20mm diameter; wind gusts to 45-50mph; CG lightning SYNOPSIS Large upper low to the west of the UK has promoted a northward flux of moisture across western Europe, and this plume is moving into S England now. EML, originating from Spain, and per the 12Z soundings from Brest and Bordeaux, is atop the moist plume. Thunderstorms, likely rooted atop this level /at around 600 hPa/ have developed across SW England. This is in association with a lead trough promoting lift, and probably divergent flow aloft. Overnight, such conditions will overspread more of England and Wales, and sporadic thunderstorms will likely develop or move north from France. Such storms will be elevated above a cooler boundary layer, and will probably be rooted close to 600 hPa, although some storms may root lower (although still above the boundary layer) as moister air moves in. Cloud-layer shear will be sufficient /30-35 knots/ for rotating updraughts from time to time, which bring an isolated risk of marginally severe hail, although forecasting such hail can be tricky, and so it's not out of the question that isolated incidences of larger hail may be noted. The elevated nature means severe winds seem unlikely but a few reports are possible. Lightning may be frequent, although mainly cloud to cloud, given the elevated nature. Any CGs will likely be powerful, given high cloud bases. During Saturday morning, activity may become more widespread, although still mainly elevated, as it moves northwards into N England/S Scotland. However, there is the chance that storms may become rooted in the boundary across E Anglia, N Midlands, N England and S Scotland, before the moist plume moves away. Any such storms may become organised and produce severe weather, but this will be dependant on the morphology overnight. This will be covered in a new forecast, if appropriate. In addition, post-frontal convection across Eire/N Ireland tomorrow afternoon will be subject to strong vertical wind shear, and could produce severe weather. Forecaster: RPK
  24. Lynxus
    Ha, Yeah.I'm fairly sure that is the normal story. Every year on here, the ramping gets out of control and suddenly everyone's let down when it splits and does nowt That of course, wont happen tonight.. Will it..... WILL IT!
  25. Lynxus
    That High pressure to the south and east is really playing havoc with the fronts and low.. Some very intense lifting! Ohhhhh Things may get pretty damn interesting tonight and the next day or so....
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