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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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Tom Jarvis

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Everything posted by Tom Jarvis

  1. Tom Jarvis
    Ecm is almost an exact match to UKMO at t144
  2. Tom Jarvis
    The most likely sort of rain in that system would be freezing rain. That would cause chaos.
  3. Tom Jarvis
    I’m hopeing there will be enough snow on the ground to stop me haveing to travel the short journey to uckfield for work lol.
  4. Tom Jarvis
    What bird have you got??
  5. Tom Jarvis
    @Steve Murr would that gfs h210 chart cause freezing rain. Surprised that might not be one of the risks from this cold spell
  6. Tom Jarvis
    Lol how confusing do you want to be same location different forecast lol
  7. Tom Jarvis
    Possibly 40cm over the Ashdown forest?
  8. Tom Jarvis
    Lol mod meltdown soon. ecm is even slower but I’m not Worried at the moment. as the models at moving this high too quickly once it’s in position it will be slow moveing not quick
  9. Tom Jarvis
    Good to know looks like there will be some fun winter walks on the Ashdown forest then.
  10. Tom Jarvis
    Steve what about Sussex would we be to far inland for anything?
  11. Tom Jarvis
    If you look really closely there is 1 pixel of blue just out of where the southeast corner would be. ??
  12. Tom Jarvis
    Will the convection of the sea reach my location in Sussex. Cannot remember weather the showers off the last easterly reached here.
  13. Tom Jarvis
    That low actually went east across the country from 219-240 major snow event for the south
  14. Tom Jarvis
    That low actually went east across the country from 219-240 major snow event for the south
  15. Tom Jarvis
    @nick sussex are we now green on your traffic light system?? It’s been missing since the beginning of the year lol.
  16. Tom Jarvis
    Hmm icon doesn’t look as good as its previous run. More energy over the top off the high. Might still work out just see where this goes.
  17. Tom Jarvis
    Have you been on there website there already releasing press releases about the coming cold spell!!!
  18. Tom Jarvis
    @Steve Murr will the heavy snow showed be reaching my location in Sussex or am I too far inland for the best results?
  19. Tom Jarvis
    In gfs lo rss don’t worry about that deep low to the south I would suspect that when it gets to closer in time it will be lots of smaller lows going along the Chanel as an much weaker feature. All in all no sign for this ending v quickly and that the breakdown will always be in lo ress
  20. Tom Jarvis
    @Steve Murr what are the chances for the south east areas to be placed under an red warning if the current model forecasts come off?
  21. Tom Jarvis
    Look at the control that is the ideal rout we want to go with the pv dropping into Scandinavia and the high taking over Greenland. Which would swing the winds round from an easterly to an north easterly. The warming supports this and at that rang the models will not have an handle of that evolution. But looking at previous winters where blocking has moved from Scandinavia to Greenland this it the most likely outcome.
  22. Tom Jarvis
    Paul what if it isn’t actually drunk and giving us some sober runs!!!!!!!
  23. Tom Jarvis
    Any sign of yamkin im sure he will have some interesting info on the cold spell.
  24. Tom Jarvis
    Nick what do the USA weather service say about that shortwave. Any good news from there
  25. Tom Jarvis
    @Steve Murr how long before it reaches my location?
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