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Tom Jarvis

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Everything posted by Tom Jarvis

  1. Tom Jarvis
    I think the models today will be getting and actual sample of how strong the block is and they may have underestimated how strong it is so we could exspect some wild swings in the models in short timeframes
  2. Tom Jarvis
    Channel low incoming
  3. Tom Jarvis
    If we can get the low in the Atlantic to link up with the shortwave coming down from the north of the uk we could then lock in the high to our north and possible get the famous mur sausage. tom
  4. Tom Jarvis
    Do an all nighter watching the ashes
  5. Tom Jarvis
    Wait didn’t this happen for the 2010 spell that the ukmo and the ecm dropped the idea of the spell just as the gfs got onto the idea and then the ukmo and ecm came back to show nice charts??
  6. Tom Jarvis
    Which forum is he on now??
  7. Tom Jarvis
    Hi all looks like we might get an surprise on Friday night. . is yamkim still around as he had an inside view on what was possible as he worked for the gritters in the southeast.
  8. Tom Jarvis
    When do the fax chats get updated as with the things going the way they are that is the only thing I would follow atm.
  9. Tom Jarvis
    This is why model watching can be so fickle. Yesterday it was doom and gloom but now the trend is our friend where the models are finally getting a better grasp of where the shortwaves are going and how strong the blocking high is. FI is curently at about t96 until the models can get a grasp of where the energy is going. Remember the trend is our friend now!!!!
  10. Tom Jarvis
    May need to put the fat lady back in the box as there is allot better amplification on this run and it looks like the low will undercut.
  11. Tom Jarvis
    Like pert 11 Steve Murr??
  12. Tom Jarvis
    Pert 11 on 18z is a cobra run
  13. Tom Jarvis
    What did you use to capture those?
  14. Tom Jarvis
    Was anyone able to get a measurement on the hail that came down. Had some at my location but the rain was too heavy to go out and get some for mesuring
  15. Tom Jarvis
    This is insane in Sussex strobe lightning closest ever capture of lightning IMG_3274.MOV
  16. Tom Jarvis
    Hold on a sec the most severe storm of the day happens near the most westerly point today with large hail. Also all is not over yet
  17. Tom Jarvis
    Shame it missed us in far south east. That storm near London has incredible radar presentation.
  18. Tom Jarvis
    Looks like a bust for East Sussex ;(
  19. Tom Jarvis
    The storm has fianally passed coverack but they are reporting major flooding
  20. Tom Jarvis
    Coverack has had torrential rain since 3:30 hope we don't get an repeat of the flash flooding seen in the other small Cornwall town many years ago. Fire service already reporting fooding there.
  21. Tom Jarvis
    V concerned about that area just south of Falma that storm look like it has become surface based and stationary could lead to be server flash flooding
  22. Tom Jarvis
    Can see the storms over London from here hope that sart unzipping down the line far enough south so they hit here
  23. Tom Jarvis
    So no storm for the south east ;( we always miss out
  24. Tom Jarvis
    What camera was that on couldn't get my canon 750d to work last night
  25. Tom Jarvis
    Might be about to head out to seaford to get into a nice spot.
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