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DR(S)NO

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Posts posted by DR(S)NO

    Model Output Discussion - May and Early Summer!

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

    That’s today’s new word learnt !! 

    Indeed.....Today’s Lesson

    Bulverism is a logical fallacy. The method of Bulverism is to "assume that your opponent is wrong, and explain his error." The Bulverist assumes a speaker's argument is invalid or false and then explains why the speaker came to make that mistake, attacking the speaker or the speaker's motive.

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1

    Model Output Discussion - May and Early Summer!

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Mattwolves said:

    At last, a level headed post! I mentioned this the other day about a return to more typical kind of conditions, meaning the best of the conditions towards the S/SE. with more unsettled  conditions towards the North. You simply can't keep getting  countrywide warm and settled spells all the time. And again judging by some of the posts in here this morning, yet again summer is over on the 21st May! All  because things aren't has rosey has this time last year! The weather here is yet again warm and sunny, yet Reading some posts on here it's dire! Personally I think it's not been a half bad spring, but it seems others think it's been a write off. I think it's time for some to lower there expectations, or perhaps emigrate to the Costa del sol.... 

    Clearly it depends on your location as to how you perceive the Spring so far. Personally I think it’s been fairly average, yet the  continual potential in the far depths of the charts has promised much but delivered little. Very similar to the Winter charts.

    There always seems to be an Azores high ready to nudge in but by the time it should’ve nudged in its back to its 10 day hence position.

    With Summer just round the corner my feeling is it’s likely to be pretty traditional.... nothing too horrendous and better the further SE you travel.

    There does seem to have been a lot of Easterly winds through Spring so perhaps this could lead to some decent Continental weather visiting us from time to time? 

    • Like 3

    Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

    in Regional

    Posted

    6 hours ago, TomSE12 said:

    Just an aside to my post above. During our day in Fort William, got my Wife Jackie, to walk up Cow Hill (I think it's called??), to get  a better look at Ben Nevis. Poor Jackie promptly fell over on some waterlogged ground, her jeans were soaked through and very muddy, for the rest of the day.

    Here is the lady in question, on our wedding day with our 6 month old son, Antony. Antony will be 38, on the 28th of this momth (Crikey, that makes me feel, ancient!!). Sadly, Antony is also very ill with Huntington's Disease, which is hereditary. But I'm so glad we had that lovely two weeks in Scotland, before my Wife became too ill!!

    image.thumb.png.ccb6f46c7ed5bff3051937edefd273f4.png

    Kind regards,

    Tom (SE12) :hi:

    Brings everything into perspective Tom

    All the best

    Dr(S)No

    • Like 4

    Cold hunt - models and chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    22 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

    It will definately be the 2nd one knowing our luck 

    This set up and who is in what camp etc reminds me of a 8 runner Handicap Chase at Haydock

    2 have fallen, 2 are pulled up and 4 are left with 3 Fences to go, the even money shot and the 2/1 and 5/2 are clear from the 4th horse who is 66/1

    At the last the Fav falls brings down the other 2 and the 66/1 shot is the only finisher

    Sounds like the winter to a tee - Haha

    I actually had a fiver on that race Paul

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