Damien, It pains me to say it but i agree with a lot of your post. AI comclude that a below average winter cet wise is now almost impossible,what i would say is a 'mini cold spell of severe weather is still possible in either of the 3 main winter months.Sustainable cold lasting weeks is a thing of the past IMO,a 4 or 5 day cold spell is still possible though,and i think when it does come it will come from the east,northerlies just dont produce anymore due to the warmer seas and all the modified crap that comes with it.Easterlies can still produce though as the warmer seas have less of an impact.