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DanDorsetUK

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Everything posted by DanDorsetUK

  1. DanDorsetUK
    Don't see that run coming off somehow highs usually don't drift that far north. But knowing our luck down here wouldn't surprise me.
  2. DanDorsetUK
    Okay after today's runs I'm now making changes to my work schedule as a precaution quite a few runs are now showing this form of setup on to many runs now i cant ignore the possabilities and hope it goes away. It's so severe even a downgrade between the lesser models we still have snow.
  3. DanDorsetUK
    The actual gfs user manual states look at a couple days of 00Z and 12Z runs for consistency. Avoid the 06Z and 18Z runs when 00 or 12 is available.
  4. DanDorsetUK
    The actual gfs official manual states... Look at a couple days of 00Z and 12Z runs for consistency. Avoid the 06Z and 18Z runs when 00 or 12 is available
  5. DanDorsetUK
    This is stated in the user manual of the gfs. Look at a couple days of 00Z and 12Z runs for consistency. Avoid the 06Z and 18Z runs when 00 or 12 is available
  6. DanDorsetUK
    Morning runs always downgrade for some reason it's the same most days. Then by the time time we get to 12s it will upgrade again. Just makes me wonder if it's to do with overnight data but it's clear most mornings downgrade.
  7. DanDorsetUK
    Well no surprise the morning runs have downgraded a bit which normally happens for some reason but expecting that to change again by the time we get to 18s. Always find 12z more reliable.
  8. DanDorsetUK
    Usually I'd agree with that but this is brought on by the SSW it isn't your usual setup. Something tells me this is it this time!
  9. DanDorsetUK
    Blimey just caught up with models seriously could be about to see something very special for us in the south. Going on holiday on the 7th March if this comes about I won't want to get on that plane in fact it might not even take off anyway.
  10. DanDorsetUK
    Looking at Meto app for next Thursday in the south wind direction clearly showing they expect height rises to the north east not a dropping or uk high. Daytime max of 4oC winds turning ese from ene indicate hights to north east. Clearly Meto think it's still game on.
  11. DanDorsetUK
    Not sure it's relivent but why Meto app wind direction is swinging ese from ene on thursday next week. Maybe a good indication Meto expect pressure to go north not south. Clearly with the models all over the place you need to go by the fax charts at times like this hence Meto are still keen to say the cold is coming. We're see interesting watch at such close range. Also only showing a daytime max of 4oc clearly showing height rises to north east not a dropping high or uk high.
  12. DanDorsetUK
    Just wondering if there was a data issue in the other models given the late arrival of the ecm with there being a data problem. Maybe the other models didn't have all the data and left to run. Very odd indeed.
  13. DanDorsetUK
    Could it be that there was a data problem on the meto model given the late ecm having a late data issue? Maybe the data wasn't put in the other models in time and just let it run?
  14. DanDorsetUK
    WOW what an ECM wtf is going on!!
  15. DanDorsetUK
    Another big climb down in the models why is it every morning run seems to downgrade and then slowly upgrade as the day goes on. Very odd. I think maybe Meto have maybe jumped the gun in calling this colder weather doesn't look on looking at this morning runs somethings wrong somewhere.
  16. DanDorsetUK
    Not often you see charts like this oh if only!
  17. DanDorsetUK
    BBC news just said cold coming next week.
  18. DanDorsetUK
    BBC weather just further hinted of cold coming next week.
  19. DanDorsetUK
    Once again 10 days time it was 10 days time ten days ago. It' Always ten days time. I'm done looking at the model thread this yaer what a total embarrassment it's been for anyone wanting to learn. The best thing to learn is it' all make belief after 5 days. Have a good summer everyone lets hope for spring warmth soon.
  20. DanDorsetUK
    Never seen so much talking out of ones behind in all my life in the model thread.
  21. DanDorsetUK
    That's what happens when you take a computer generated future prediction model serious at 10 days time. Always the same chasing fake weather 10 days away and comes to nothing. Things get over ramped and exaggerated! Why on earth people look beyond 5 days is beyond me. SSW has been over hyped too and clearly it's all gone peat tong.
  22. DanDorsetUK
    Once again signs of all the ramping falling apart and left with egg on there faces yet again. Why people post such charts way out in fantasy land in 10 days time and get excited over computer generated weather is beyond me. Everything ever posted is always 10 days away and by the time those charts reach T0 it's completely different anyway. You'd think how people ramp the 10 days charts are always right when in reality it never is.
  23. DanDorsetUK
    So where's all the snow and bitter weather promised last week in the model thread? Worst cold spell for years was mentioned and heavy snowfall. Lol that's what happens when you look at computer generated weather.
  24. DanDorsetUK
    I don't know why people still waist hours and hours of there time looking at computer simulated weather beyond 5 days that doesnt even exist and rarely accurs. Go back to the good old days and stick your head out the window why even go outside and enjoy it. Try living in the real world instead of a make belief future and you might actually get less disapponted in life and maybe succeed in something worth while.
  25. DanDorsetUK
    Feeling a Dejavu starting to happen all over again in the model thread. Is the ecm playing mind games again. We shall see!
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