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Everything posted by DanDorsetUK
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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Dew points at 0.3 in Poole bay which is usually the warmest. Just zoomed out from the rain radar and observing over Ireland right now the rain moving north. Anyone been noticing tomorrow's rain forecast keep being pushed back later in the day. These systems are slowing against the block. Something just don't feel right to me. Wouldn't be surprised if Dorset miss the heavy rain tomorrow and hits more Cornwall. I think these lows in the Atlantic are being modelled to progressive. Let this cold pool from France come through tomorrow and see where we sit then. Just got a feeling the models are going to swing again. -
Totally agree with this comment the jet is not going to rage directly over the top of the UK but instead run south east. Pretty sure this will only help the block push back west with a chance of hight rises to our north east. Those predicting a warm wet February are jumping the gun way to soon. I give it a week of more unsettled weather and it's certainly not going to last for all of February this is by no means a done deal yet.
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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
To many people on the model forum don't look at there windows enough or go outside and get a feel for the weather. Yes I can read the model charts to a degree but all this raging on about floods and zonity is totally OTT. 5 days max is reliable at a push and how often do we see our meto apps suddenly say rain just 2 days out when it said dry. There is absolutely no chance we are going to get a whole warm February with Rain with a Jetstream that is showing signs of diving south east and clearly not raging over the top of the UK. The lows will follow the jet stream south and could actually help in height rises to our north east if the block pushes West enough which I think it's doing. It's bitterly cold in that wind today down here with cloud direction coming from south east. Those writing off February already will be in for a shock I feel and clearly not had first hand experience of working outside in it. You get a feel for the weather over the years and do I feel like it's going to get cold with a chance of snow again dam right I do. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
DanDorsetUK replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry got to laugh at those who try and predict over 5 days away on the model forum. It's a simulated computer that tries to "guess" what the future holds based on calculations that get programed into it every day. Not once have i seen all those who Ramp snow and cold be right yet and to be frank it's quite an embarrassment to watch. Try simply useing all the models and divide the average seen down the middle as a guide. Sick to death of so called know it alls shouting this and that and relying on one model as gospel. Quite clearly the ecm was all on its own regarding the block so take the average and that's usually about right and what we're now going to see next week. People should try looking out the window more instead of looking at the models and to then say whole of February is going to be wet sorry just have to laugh at that. How many times do I see my meto app change to rain just 2 or 3 days out. This whole predicting beyond 5 days is total garbage. -
South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Sleet slowly turning to snow in Poole Canford cliffs bigger flakes starting to show now and then. -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It's crazy here! Never seen a storm like this rain is torrents very close strikes to my house! All my windows face the sky I'm in a penthouse bloody insane -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Unbelievable now here in Poole rain is so heavy I can't hear myself lightening incredible -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Been a good night watching it all unfold. Hopefully we will get a direct hit soon. It's not far away! Very heavy rain here in Sandbanks now. -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Rain now hitting amazing to see how fast this has developed here. Wind really picking up too -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
extremly fast development happemning here near Bournemouth wind picking up now too -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Sky has become much darker here in Bournemouth was moon light now i cant see the moon.Saw a distant flash just now. Got great viewing out the top of my roof in the skylight -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
So hot and humid here sweating loads! Got a good feeling could see a storm here later in Bournemouth -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 02/09/16 onwards
DanDorsetUK replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to Nick L's topic in Regional
What a surprise to wake up to a good inch here in kinson bournemouth -
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeh i saw the rotation too! Was impressive! -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Lovely direct hit for me very heavy rain and gusty. Few nice booms. Not as good as the other night, Prefer night time storms myself! -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
I can now see the edge of the storm from Bournemouth, Also something breweing near weymouth! Looking Good! -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Judging by the radar I'd say anywhere from iow west along the south coast is going to get the london storm. Its still growing too. -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Looking very good for storms in Dorset soon. Looks like london storm heading south west! -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Some nice hights building on the clouds. Think someone somewhere later today will get lucky -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Definitely building storm clouds here. Lightening detected out to the east of me. -
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
My hopes have been raised. Wind picked up a tad here with small destabilising starting to show up to my east. Stormy looking clouds building. -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Few stormy looking clouds starting to pop up now, knew it was going to start building something soon as the wind picked up. Some destabilising starting to show up. -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
I see the met have removed the warnings now. Hard to imagine there's hardly any storm risk with such high temperatures. Especially now a breeze is starting to pick up here -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
DanDorsetUK replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Another NEW storm just fired up South of Poole