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Gary_R_Walker

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Posts posted by Gary_R_Walker

  1. Us girlies are all the same...........a bit of sun shining............a bit of wind blowing...........I changed all the sheets today............lovely to get them dried outside instead of all hanging all around the house!! Also planted my first lot of seeds this afternoon...........nice and warm working in the green house.........(Still wouldn't say no to a few more snow flakes falling)....!!!!!

    I will have to get a "girlie" like you "girlies" because my "girlie" went out with her "girlie" friends and got drunk as "girlie" skunks.

  2. Morning all :)

    Sunny here, but with the same bitter wind that's been apparent for a fair few days now.

    Really looking for the weather to change, even if for something a bit unsettled (and I don't think we'll fare too badly in the SE if that happens anyway)

    This weather must be pretty bad for the economy, with people huddled indoors and just spending extra cash on their heating.

    Huddled indoors? Then they're lazy sods.

  3. A leaked Met Office document has been found on a tube train at Ealing Broadway Station this morning which appears to show statistics pointing to the inevitability of a new Maunder Minimum. A Maunder Minimum is most famously documented as the cause of the Mini Ice Age in the 17th & 18th century which contributed to

    many years without a Summer, thick sea ice and numerous London Thames frost fairs.

    Prof Julia Slingo, Chief Scientist of the MetOffice replied, "Although most of our information and research is made public, some of it however is made confidential for various reasons. Therefore it is completely unacceptable for confidential dossiers to be leaked publicly like this." She also added, "Due to the lowest sunspot activity we've witnessed in 400 years, there's almost no doubt that our Winters will get much colder than present along with Summers getting a lot cooler and wetter."

    Dr Paul Leinster, Chief Executive of the Environment Agency said, "We are now entering what looks to be a very harsh period for the UK, the longevity of it is yet to be known, however we do urge the public not to panic until we firm up exactly what is happening to our climate with help from experts."

    Russian scientist Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov, of the St Petersburg Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory, painted the Doomsday scenario as well, saying the recent inclement weather simply proved we were heading towards a frozen planet.

    Dr Abdussamatov believes Earth was on an “unavoidable advance towards a deep temperature dropâ€

    http://www.express.c...another-Ice-Age

    I love a good end of the world as we know it story. Excellent stuff.

  4. First post. I have stumbled upon this conversation and feel compelled to contribute in some small way (didn't realise, until reading one of the above posts, that there is a 'climate change forum' - I might pop in). Unfortunately the science of climate change has become incredibly politicised and is far too emotive - this is certainly apparent in the posts int his thread. Consideration of the possibility of the next LIA has quickly become subsumed by the politics of AGW. I was taught the basics of global warming (since notably renamed 'climate change') whilst at University some years ago. At that time, the science underpinning the model did strike me as rather weak - but I was sold on Green politics - part and parcel of wanting to see a way of breaking down existing power structures; an overturning of large-scale capitalist interests. Fighting AGW seemed to go hand in hand with fighting the ills of modernity. Simplistically naive - certainly. I have grown up quite a bit since then. A natural 'coldie', I remained a keen proponent of AGW theory, as I watched the snow days of my youth melt away and believed the dramatic predictions of warm winters and perpetual droughts. The recent re-emergence of extreme winter prompted me to carry out a good deal of research. Having studied a large number of peer reviewed papers - many written by eminent physicists (I believe that an understanding of climate has to cross many disciplines - it is far too complicated to be adequately understood and modelled by 'climate scientists' alone) - I am now converted to a position of scepticism. I firmly believe that the only healthy approach to any scientific claim is one of scepticism. We should be extremely guarded against the situation we now find ourselves in, in which those who dare to doubt the fundamental principles of the AGW paradigm are derided as dangerous, deluded and as deniers.

    That said, it should be perfectly feasible to consider the question of a new LIA without recourse to the theory of AGW. There is, obviously, huge scope for various cyclical patterns, of various lengths, with differing drivers (though necessarily interconnected) to be superimposed upon each other. There is no reason why the changing levels of Arctic sea ice has to be a simplistic response to anthropogenic radiative forcing agents. Its waxing and waning may, rather, have always played an integral role in the feedback mechanisms that bring about both Little Ice Age conditions and full blown Ice Ages. The data available for historic sea ice extent is extremely limited - rendering the term 'since records began' pretty meaningless!

    Exactly. As my dear departed mother always said, "if you pick your nose all day eventually you will find the perfect bogey."

  5. Before folk get their knickers in a twist about the Daily Star predicting another ice age, mini or otherwise, the paper they're referencing is a peer reviewed paper from an expert. The expert in question is Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov, Director of Polkovo Observatory, St Pertersburg and Head of the Space Research Laboratory. He's a reputable Astrophysicist, not a crank forecaster like Madden.

    The full paper is here: http://icecap.us/ima.../abduss_APR.pdf

    I happen to know old Hab quite well, we met some years back at the Mecca Bingo hall in East Ham. A lovely fella.

  6. Also I'll just add that I've never been a big fan of these 'conspiracy theories' doing the rounds BUT given how much investment and propaganda there has been from official agencies pedalling 'global warming' over the years it has to make one wonder whether a U-turn in thoughts would be feasible/acceptable. The growing number of 'climate experts' shifting their thoughts towards a colder outlook has to make you stop and think surely?

    I think that this is a weather forum that is frequented in the main by weather enthusiasts who have a tendency to like their weather a tad extreme. Be that cold and snowy, hot and stormy, hurricane or tornado. So when I hear one of the members say that they're "not a big fan of these conspiracy theories" It tends to make me raise an eyebrow in a Roger Moore kind of way.

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