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Weather-history

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Everything posted by Weather-history

  1. An interesting article by the Rev. Eric Robson from the end of February 1947, talking about sunspots. Activity actually peaked during 1947 not the following year as he suggested.
  2. North-Easterly Blast It was a year early, the new solar cycle of that time started in the March of 1976
  3. North-Easterly Blast Solar maximum was around December 1979 Solar maximum was around May 1947
  4. Further to my point on solar activity and its influence One of the mildest winters on record for the CET, 1833-34 occurred at solar minimum The famous Murphy's winter, 1837-38, a severe winter, occurred just after a large solar maximum. Infact, the peak of that solar maximum occurred during the coldest spring on record for the CET.
  5. North-Easterly Blast "Another point about winter 2023-24 is that we are approaching solar maximum, so it is not a good solar match for cold." ...and yet 4 of the 6 coldest winters of the 20th century happened near solar maximum.
  6. Met4Cast Unfortunately its not quite that simple. Take 1978-79, that was wQBO, close to solar maximum and yet was a severe winter. We are told La-Nina winters are front loaded and yet the moderate La Nina winters of 1955-56 and 2011-12 had the coldest spells during the second half and 1995-96 had a wintry second half Solar activity. 1911-14 was a very deep solar minimum but the winters were overall mild whilst the next severe winter to occur 1916-17 happened at solar maximum.
  7. Penrith Snow Point out that you mentioned a neutral ENSO, however 2009-10 was a moderate El Nino and 2010-2011 was a strong La Nina
  8. Daniel* Cheshire Freeze I posted data last year on this compare to what was a genuinely dry period back in the late Victorian era. And posted before what then turned out the wettest Jul-Jan period on record for this region. Maybe the debate is better off continuing here,
  9. East Lancs Rain You remind me of Scott Richards aka thunderbolt_ who used to post on here. Infact, I did even wonder if you were even the same person at one point.
  10. WeatherArc Not far off what happened at the end of Feb 1960, 15.6°C was recorded at 7am in London Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99814-model-output-discussion-22nd-jan-2024-onwards/?do=findComment&comment=5034344
  11. WeatherArc Not far off what happened at the end of Feb 1960, 15.6°C was recorded at 7am in London
  12. It will be interesting to hear what @MattH 's latest thoughts are now, he must be having doubts now for what's left of the meteorological winter.
  13. Manchester TAF has snow up to 4pm Temporary from 08 at 08 UTC to 08 at 16 UTC Visibility: 1200 m Broken clouds at a height of 300 ft snow Temporary from 08 at 14 UTC to 08 at 24 UTC Wind 18 kt from the East with gusts up to 30 kt Probability 30% : Temporary from 08 at 16 UTC to 08 at 18 UTC Visibility: 4000 m Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft light rain, snow, rain
  14. I think 1954 could be one of the worst years of the 20th century at least up here around the NW of England. A terrible summer followed by an autumn with rainfall totals approaching autumn 2000 levels. Horrific.
  15. Interesting, every single ECM ensemble has at least a slight snow cover at some stage for Manchester for tomorrow.
  16. cheshire snow This was a beauty, issued at 4am on December 28 2020 "After a frosty start, southernmost parts may see some wintry showers early on, these quickly clearing south leaving largely dry conditions" The reality
  17. cheshire snow Wintry rain, isolated gales, widespread patchy showers, wintry coastal showers becoming confined to the coasts.......
  18. cheshire snow Talking about the text forecast have a look at this part "Often windy and feeling cold." This for Friday to Sunday Now look at their own charts Does this look windy? This is their FAX charts
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