Weather-history

Methuselah Did January 2019 SSW amount to nothing? Occurred 2nd January 17th Jan-3rd Feb 2019 CET: 2.2°C

damianslaw There was a period during the mid Victorian age, where there were numerous mild to exceptionally mild Februarys. Haven't quite understood why this was so. I think it got to such a point that December had a lower 30 year average than the February at one stage.

An interesting article from the Guardian of 9th March 1909. Something I mentioned in the "worringly dry" thread how dry the late Victorian and Edwardian period had become

Optimus Prime Yes anomaly wise, it could be viewed that way, I agree.

Optimus Prime If it were the December 2015 equivalent , wouldn't the CET be nearer to 10? December 2015 was the "Bob Beamon" of the records, it absolutely smashed the old record by a margin. We are not totally sure February 2024 will even beat the record.

Late February-early March 1909 was very snowy with frequent and heavy falls. Low pressure was often to the south and pressure, high to the north. Some reports from this period 26th-28th February: Heavy falls of snow, total depth 10 inches. Shenfield 27th-28th: Snow fell continuously for 28 hours. Hampstead 28th: Snow 5 inches deep. St Peter's 28th: Snow fell from 7 to 9pm to a depth of 6 inches. Ingatestone March 1st-3rd: The total depth of snow was 14 inches. Goudhurst 1st-4th: 5 inches of snow on 1st, 6 inches on the 2nd. Very heavy snowstorm set in 8.30pm, 3 inches falling by 10pm, 9 inches lying on the 3rd, 10 inche slying on the 4th. Epsom 2nd: 12 inches of snow. Wittering 12 inches of snow. Offord D'Arcy 7.5 inches of snow. Seathwaite 3.5 inches of snow. Criccieth 2nd-3rd: Heavy snowstorm from 10pm on 2nd to 2.30am covering the ground to a depth of 10 inches. Hampstead. Snow commenced about 9pm on the 2nd and by 9.30pm was falling very thickly. It continued into the morning of the 3rd to a depth of 5 inches. Anothe 2.5 inches from 1.30 to 8.30pm. Camden Square. 12 inches deep snow, trees and shrubs wre thickly coated for some days. Hastings 3rd: Depth of snow at 9am, 7 inches, total depth 16 inches. Tenterden 15 inches of snow at Canterbury 3rd-4th: 16 inches of snow at Tunbridge Wells. 4th: 15 inches of snow at Ulcombe Place There was a great snowstorm on the 6th which brought thunder and lightning Mansfield: 16 inches Belfast: 10 inches Ware: 6 inches Church Stretton: 6 inches Matlock: 12.5 inches 7th 6 inches of snow, Leamington 11 inches of snow, Tonbridge 12 inches of snow, Stow-on-the-Wold

carinthian Regionally, it goes back to 1873, for England and Wales it goes back to 1766. Amazing to think last spring we had a drought watch thread and worringly dry thread. Those threads look laughable now

Shocking rainfall totals. If you looking at the EWP total of March 2023 to currently, gives a total of 1275.7mm provisionally and we are not quite completed the 12 month period. An annual rainfall total of 1275.7mm would make that year the 2nd wettest year on record for the EWP Another 10mm and it will surpass the 1872 total of 1284.9mm So the question becomes what is wettest rolling 12 month period for the EWP?

Its now the 14th wettest winter on record for the region, currently 20th wettest summer on record (2023) followed by the 11th wettest autumn on record (2023) followed by so far the 14th wettest winter on record (2023-24) giving a total of about 1146mm An annual total of 1146mm would put that year within the top 30 wettest years on record. January and February 2024 have turned out wetter than January and February 2023, so the total from March 2023 to February 2024 so far is a whopping 1366mm. An annual rainfall total of 1366 would make that year the 2nd wettest year on record for the region. That's how wet the last 12 months have been!

End of March 1952 4th April 1961, this occurred during an exceptionally mild spell from February-April 1961, looks similar to what happened in early February this year I have seen one report saying it was Nottingham's first snow since February 1960 and Liverpool's first snow of 1961

BruenSryan September 2000-April 2001 was very close. January 2001 was about 93% of the 1961-90 average, the rest were well above their averages.

carinthian Rainfall wise, it hasn't been as bad as other areas. Only 53.3mm so far up to the 16th. Its been ridiculously mild, although I did manage to record two air frosts this month. Sunshine wise, it has been abysmal!! Hawarden just 11 hrs of sunshine!! And you would thing that would do favourably in a SWly airstream with shelter from the Clywdian mountains. EDIT: that Hawarden sunshine value seems too low to me. Maybe the data hasn't been updated.

Vert wet Sunday early hours. 9.2mm since midnight

damianslaw Regionally, summer 1989 was actually wetter than the summers of 1990, 1991, 1994 and 1996. It was only 6mm drier than summer 1986. It shows how many dry/dryish summers there were regionally from 1989 to 1996. Even summer 1993, was not that particularly wet (it was only 5mm wetter than summer 2013).

Derecho One way to gauge that 13.7°C value is how many times during March that CET mean was exceeded?

Summerlover2006 Disagree, summer 1989 is frequently quoted often when pairs of great summers are mentioned as examples 1975-76, 1983-84, 1989-90 I remember it well because my period at high school was sandwiched between two great summers, unfortunately the summers in between were mediocre. The great summers of the 20th century really depends on locations, some places did better than others. Summer 1990 is overrated IMO For my location, they are 1911, 1933, 1947, 1949, 1955, 1959, 1975, 1976, 1983, 1984, 1989, 1995 1901 was a good summer but who talks about that? 1921 was another but ruined by the August. Summer 1925 rarely gets a mentioned 1933 is mentioned a lot in historical terms as a great summer but who talks about the summers of 1934 and 1935? They were pretty good summers I think summer 1994 is underrated as with 1996 being overshadowed by 1995.

February 1920 was very mild with a CET of 6.0°C but there were snowfalls around the 19th/20th Doesn't look great but the rain did turn to snow. 4 inches for parts of NW Leicestershire 2 to 3 inches for Birmingham

I remember Atlantic 252 This gave snow and just 3 years ago

December 1956, a white Christmas.

From 18th February 1970

jules216 This is where I have problem with analogs. Look at the years given and try apply them at a more microlevel, in this case the UK Take April Years given 1987, 1998, 2007 and 2016 Now look at the CETs for those years. How can anyone extract what possible the weather maybe given the difference in those CETS?

Metwatch

Not great

Has this been a bad winter for the teleconnections pundits and medium/long models?