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alexisj9

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Posts posted by alexisj9

  1. It seems to me that any significant cold spell will be via a scandi high rather than a Greenland one. The odd ensemble has hinted at a Greenland high but given that we see 80 ensembles a day from GFS thats hardlyva surprise. whilst I know others will disagree I can't see any meaninful signal for a Greenland high. There seems a background signal this winter that will simply not allow a Greenland high.

    Synoptically the displaced AZH sitting in mid Atlantic with systems moving around the top is very common in Feb and in the medium term i feel that's where we may end up. In this scenario the SE can sometimes get a sideswipe from a cold continent.

    From the last few days models my own view in order of likelihood as the dominant pattern is

    1. Displaced AZH. Effectively the circular blob sitting in mid Atlantic

    2. Zonal

    3. Scandi heights

    4. Greenland high (and 4th by a distance)

    Jason

    I don't have a problem with a Mid Atlantic high, who knows it may even move North up into Greenland.

  2. Looks like a good foot or more for the North, e midlands, wash, Shropshire etc, not too excited about down here, think the band will have weakened so am expecting no more than about 4 inches with possibly 6 or 7 over the downs

    wow your very optimystic, I'm expecting very little in the way of snow, if it comes then probably 4cm would be a bit more realistic. Mind you I wouldn't mind if 4 inches did turn up.

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