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Posts posted by alexisj9
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R those hail showers heading my way
The one here is heading slightly north east.
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Wow - just had the briefest but severe hail shower here ! The whole garden is white ! And can anyone tell me if last night anyone experienced a huge flash of lightening and brief rumble of thunder with all the strong winds that were kicking off ?
Yep there was thunder and lightening last night.
That hail is here now, plus more thunder.
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Thunder and lighting here
Was just giong to report this.
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Thanks JP, but I'm sure there was a gust front on this lastest shower, not sure these gusts will show up on there.
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The wind has just gone totally bananas here lol, no idea what it is gusting at though, wish I had a weatherstation right now.
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To me it does not really matter if the moddles are showing any chance of cold. It may just suddenly turn up from about three days out just like this latest one, I just watch and see what turns up, My interest at the moment is what the big low is going to do.
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Nothing wrong with dry, sunny and mild, nothing wrong with windy either, I will be at my window watching the trees dancing in the wind. It's the wet part we do not want right now, as I'm quite sure the west country still need to dry out from the soaking from last year.
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It seems to me that any significant cold spell will be via a scandi high rather than a Greenland one. The odd ensemble has hinted at a Greenland high but given that we see 80 ensembles a day from GFS thats hardlyva surprise. whilst I know others will disagree I can't see any meaninful signal for a Greenland high. There seems a background signal this winter that will simply not allow a Greenland high.
Synoptically the displaced AZH sitting in mid Atlantic with systems moving around the top is very common in Feb and in the medium term i feel that's where we may end up. In this scenario the SE can sometimes get a sideswipe from a cold continent.
From the last few days models my own view in order of likelihood as the dominant pattern is
1. Displaced AZH. Effectively the circular blob sitting in mid Atlantic
2. Zonal
3. Scandi heights
4. Greenland high (and 4th by a distance)
Jason
I don't have a problem with a Mid Atlantic high, who knows it may even move North up into Greenland.
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when is that likely to hit us ?
By the rate of decay it may not, here's hoping though.
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Finaly some light wet snow here.
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Sleet here, mostly rain with a few flakes though.
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The warm front hasn't crossed the SE yet has it?
I was under the impression it was part of the "main band"
The weak first band that turned out to be a few little showers.
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It was always going to warm up after the first front went through, as it was a warm front, still plenty of time before the main band comes through and it is a cold front with a warm sector. so time to keep calm and see what unfolds.
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Freezing rain...
I've never seen that, is it heading over here?
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It looks like they have sorted it now, but Chertsey has suddenly dropped to -11!!!!
Brrr where's that spot that's at minus 11.
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Can I have a little snow shield just over my house, with some nice warm temperatures please? Have no heating or hot water and even worse, have had to cancel my birthday lunch tomorrow to wait in for British Gas
I hope you get your heating fixed soon, why do boilers always break down when you need them, wouldn't matter so much during a mild spell.
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Is the blob in the Chanel coming from france part of the front or something else?
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If there is less energy further south it will not push past the block that is over us and the whole forcast will be very wrong. It will either get it's act together later and push through as forcast, or keep sliding north east leaving us with the cold air for now.Hmmmm, hope not but possibly early signs that the GFS had it right with less energy further south?
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Looks like a good foot or more for the North, e midlands, wash, Shropshire etc, not too excited about down here, think the band will have weakened so am expecting no more than about 4 inches with possibly 6 or 7 over the downs
wow your very optimystic, I'm expecting very little in the way of snow, if it comes then probably 4cm would be a bit more realistic. Mind you I wouldn't mind if 4 inches did turn up.
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Hi everyone, a few snow very light fluries keep popping up, temp 0.
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Build a snowman by order of the GOVERNMENT! Environment Agency urges homeowners to pile up ice and prevent flooding by delaying thaw
http://www.dailymail...aying-thaw.html
I wonder if they will send the snow police round to check up on us all !
Sounds like a good idea tbh, I think it's something countries used to big acumilations do already.
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So, is that our lot for now, is there any chance the cold can get a grip for the weekend, or is it a definite the Atlantic will bring rain in?
I don't know just watching what happens, had a couple of little snow fluries since that bit of rain this morning, so it doesn't seem to want to let go easily but does seem to be warming up.
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Woke up to rain in croydon.
Guess the snowy period had to end sometime, and it was nice to have a snow on snow event .
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 26th January 2013
in Regional
Posted
Am I the only one who heard a rumble in this hail shower, well me and the others here in the house with me.