I remember Atlantic 252
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Posts posted by I remember Atlantic 252
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still I would say 13° and dry is miles better than 6° and wet
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6 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
No sign of cold until 2018 at this rate.
and then likely our average winter temp to rise by 0.0001° every degree counts for marginal events at low levels south
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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
ECM....pass...me..the...sick...bucket....
not quite sick bucket, to me looks mainly dry, dry is the key for Dec, which I nominate as the wettest, most westerly month of the year, closely followed by Jan
this to me is sick bucket chart
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Ay soon we'll be hearing no sign of cold before late Dec, as currently it's mid Dec, it was late Nov, then early Dec
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I would say Tues 29th looking coldest day of next 2 weeks, before it turns milder Wednesday, hopefully not too wet
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1 minute ago, cyclonic happiness said:
I think if we have a 4th winter in a row where we don't get snow for more than 1/2 day, i'll give up on weather watching all together.
Is it too much to ask for snow to last on the ground for 2 days now???!!
well it's obvious our winters are getting milder, we must have gone up by 0.2° since the 90's? won't seem a lot but can make a huge difference to low level snow (south) so yes a huge ask unless you live 300m asl in the north
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5 minutes ago, Seasonality said:
This is how I feel when a cold spell is forecast and then actually arrives.
WTF dunno what to say! i'll say if we get proper cold (south) at +24, then somehow still will end up going tits up
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oh well, get my flip flops out, and shorts TMW not too bad a suppose
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do we need 2 whiners threads? ECM 240 though, don't normally think it will come off, but could do today, next day would look ugly probably, with purples over greenie, definitely looking like the Atlantic will dominate early Dec, 1st could easily be 10° or higher, sigh
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hope 4th thing right SS
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4 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
Yes that would be nice, high pressure holding atlantic systems at bay. I love frosty weather as you would expect.
Yes Frosty, it was very Frosty
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5 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
You forgot the frost, there would be frosty nights under high pressure depending on the variable cloud-cover of course but a crisp, bright largely settled spell is just what the doctor ordered following all the recent heavy rain and severe gales..it's a tranquil outlook.
Hopefully something like this Frosty, this was 4 day cold spell, frost never lifted, 4 frosty nights on the trot and by Tuesday 17th it was unbelievably thick, can be just as good as snow, but Atlantic rolled in later on Tues 17th, but very wintry 4 days
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Nothing wrong with a dry day in early Dec! maybe even frost/sunny for lucky few!
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6 minutes ago, Ian Ballinger said:
Yeah I did mean lately, seems like we've been expecting cold for weeks that never really arrives
too early yet anyway, best if it waits until mid Dec, signs it will, but will end up typical TMW fashion, mid dec for cold now, early dec arrives, late Dec now for SSW, heights to NE, Xmas arrives, 'signs of a SSW for mid Jan', early Jan arrives (still waiting for a flake of snow) maybe signs of PV weakening by late Jan, along with a SSW, then maybe by Feb, we see heights to our N
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or something like this, no PV near greenie, us mild
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shortwave? looks like one, from great 90's, brought me a very good snow event out of nothing, completely unforecast by bbc
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23 minutes ago, Ian Ballinger said:
I don't know why people bother in the model thread, they've been saying the same things for the last 3 - 4 weeks and none of it ever happens
it does if it's showing mild
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20 hours ago, Chris.R said:
Hahaha wow The model thread tonight! Winter is over again because the pub run has had a few too many and is in a bad way lol. I so wanted to post in there just to wind them up more; "where is GP's torpedo?" but I thought i'd get shouted at. I do love Netweather lol.
yes, we don't want any more failed torpedoes, maybe this year more mentions of torpedoes, I'll play silent service 2, legendary game to see the only torpedoes
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53 minutes ago, iapennell said:
What are you expecting- high pressure extending from the Canary Islands to Denmark funnelling warm air from the Azores throughout the month? That could produce a mean temperature like that in December but I cannot imagine such a set-up persisting like that- not even in my worst nightmares!!
not even I'm expecting that! I expect a Dec dominated by the Atlantic, with no snow all month for CET zone, as I said on other page, 5.9C
Craig lol, don't win again!
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agree Steve, it's called TMW, as snow is getting less common as years go on, snow is a novelty nowadays, imagine if our weather was always cold, think snow would be as boring as rain, say if we were like Yellowknife! think I'd rather be in the UK
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sounds great SS, but I would still 'guess' milder and wetter than average with risk of a few named storms
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2 realistic looking FI's from GFS,
18Z
00Z -
3 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:
River in glossop highest its ever been recorded according to environment agency severe flooding feel so sorry for people and their properties and businesses.... devastating....all i can hear in town are sirens....
drying out thank heavens, next rain after tomorrow looks like on 30th Nov,
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Just now, Deep Snow please said:
I'm sorry but if this had fell in the south it'd have been named. As bad as Angus, for sure.
Absolutely torrid winds and rain for hours now.
this is Barbara, Angus was nothing, agree though about the south
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00Z
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
6Z looked realistic, mild all the way, bit like GEM and ECM FI