I remember Atlantic 252
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Posts posted by I remember Atlantic 252
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Just now, Ian Ballinger said:
I think this forum will spring to life the coming weekend, things are starting to look interesting
yes, Will and crew will be out with all the snow they will get, rightly so as well, don't blame 'em
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lol DWW, I always agree with an Ian B! yes dreading it though, looks a bit wet our neck of the woods and timed for day on Sunday sigh , low after low coming in, but it's only Nov and autumn thank heavens
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only high ground I feel though 20 years on, the 20th Anniversary of my snowfest!
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2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
GEM is certainly consistent with milder air for next week 4 runs in a row now
Not bad SS, only thing is here I doubt it'll be dry! but much prefer this to channel low, rain and 4°
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2 minutes ago, Grimers said:
Is this using a detailed model that's available to the public?
yes Will! Nick posted that when on ours it was only upto +120, but let's hope Sunday's deluge will move through very early, say 3-7am
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12Z on netweather still not got past +123?
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find new year is milder still, last white new year here was 1997, '02 was bitter mind you HP inversion, remember it well, RIP Atlantic 252!
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15 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
GFS still going for snow showers Sat night across NW England/N.wales/parts of the midlands ..
You'll find nearer the time that at absolute best, will be hills only,
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not saying it will come off, 1 FI ensemble member, but no PV in usual place, no ugly purples to our NW, yet we are still mild! hope it won't be a 'nearly' winter, would rather full on mild than being wet and getting great synoptic setup with no result
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8 minutes ago, Nizzer said:
Thanks for the reply. It seems that finally some realism is creeping into the MOD thread. The last few posts have confirmed what I was starting to believe, that we are not going to get any (proper) cold spell anytime soon (down south). Lets just hope that December brings the goods!
Yes all the 12Z models snowless for the south, average temps mostly, mild mon and tues, only snow is showing for hills of the north, low levels maybe Scotland, from Wed to Sun 20th
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On 11/10/2016 at 09:39, Dancerwithwings said:
Methinks that band incoming for Saturday will be a little slower, may clear for the afternoon but not as early as that pep chart is making out.
going back to earlier posts, today GFS got mostly right, and nowhere near as wet as Thursday
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6 minutes ago, shaky said:
Massive massive differences on the ecm 12z compared to its 00z run and in a good way aswell!!at 168 hours its got slider lows in the atlantic lol coming into the cold air across the uk!!interesting!!
seems like a normal late Nov setup to me? we gonna get a soaking
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Xmas lights day washed out then! miss the good old days, as that is 20th anniversary of the snow dumping for N Midlands
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just hope DWW that winds are westerly enough to avoid dreaded Cheshire Gap day, my favourite chart on there is one on far left! although GFS feel are modeling Tuesday's front too far north
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3 minutes ago, Nizzer said:
Forgive me for if I'm just mis-reading things here, but when is this (proper) cold spell suppose to materialize? I'm not very good at reading the models so I'm counting on people explaining in the model thread what is showing. So far we were looking towards the beginning of November (Bonfire night if I remember correctly), then around the 10th, and then the 17th and now it's December!
Are people just getting carried away or are we actually going to get a cold spell appear?
Nov is generally too early in the South for cold, best time for cold setups is Mid Dec to Mid Jan, low sun, lowest daylight hours, but this is usually the most westerly period of the year
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let's hope there will be a WTF moment from me too! More Snow! was great though, if me and Ian are confident of cold, then by Jesus it will be cold!
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3 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:
Had a surprising torrential downpour this afternoon, went very dark, also looks like there were a few lightning strikes to the north Midlands too.
Ay there was! here but never heard/saw anything in town centre, 2.8 miles to the NW, was hail though
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2 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
The worst winter I have experienced was 2013-14 and even then I still saw snow at 20m or so above sea level.
There hasn't been a single winter that I didn't see snow and that is just the winter months.
11 Feb? only date I saw lying snow, around 2cms, very heavy though but quick thaw
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35 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:
Currently 5c here and dry for now. More sunshine today than yesterday, but inbetween that sunshine they'll be heavy shower's from mid morning especially for the north of our region, with temps ranging from 8 - 9c for the north and 10 -11c for the south. Nowhere near mild and in them shower's......it's going to feel very November 'ish.
Friday: Dry,
Saturday: A very Wet day indeed
yes it's Nov still, even before 2000, Nov was rarely cold, but we appear to be getting back to normal, Atlantic train arriving, but I prefer SW'lys to NW'lys, today will be a washout, Friday dry as you say, Sat hopefully drier than today, Sat PM?
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I wish Dave, he is way more knowledgeable than me! obviously same thoughts though
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36 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:
I suspect this will be the only snow of the season for lowland Britain, though - models are now pushing anything other than zonality into the depths of F.I.
yes, only Nov though, still autumn, but tend to agree with your posts, welcome to 2000+ westerlies modeled all the way
then the straw clutching of the christmas pudding, 384 GFS chart may lead to a SSW, 240 ECM chart shows 6° max, and a NW'ly
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I could start a thread titled 'Will this winter be like 2013-2014'
answer, probably yes
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3 hours ago, Terminal Moraine said:
1cm of lying snow here during the early hours but, apart from a few traces in the longer grass, it's all thawed. 1.0c with thick fog and drizzle so far this morning.
Think time of year worked against you maybe, at least looking better on Monday 14°
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2 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Feels awful out 4c DP 2c with cold icy rain
C.S
hopefully this will make you feel better!
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
not as bad as Stafford, Telford is around 165m asl,