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That ECM

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Everything posted by That ECM

  1. That ECM
    Currently in the 1 in 20 right now then. is the detail as was suggested past T168? No. Is this a snowy set up that was shown prior to T168? Yep.
  2. That ECM
    Doh.
  3. That ECM
    I had it at 10% at the most. I’m not sure if I’d prefer miles south and little hope or as is shown now. The fax charts are going to be intriguing.
  4. That ECM
    jeez this is going to be close if the latest fax is near the mark. T72 still more than enough time for changes good and bad. It has moved a little further north. Met now have guernsey with heavy rain. Yesterday they had 10% chance of rain.
  5. That ECM
    Not what most would wish but a 20 degree swing in 850’s Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99760-model-output-discussion-colder-but-how-cold-and-for-how-long/?do=findComment&comment=5012096
  6. That ECM
    Next 5 days?
  7. That ECM
    Not what most would wish but a 20 degree swing in 850’s
  8. That ECM
    Would suggest you are done for this season. If so, then thank you for all you input. Very much appreciated by many I’m sure.
  9. That ECM
    20th still cold. so the reliable evidence you are relying on is the gfs. We can only see t48 more on ukmo and another T120 on ecm. The milder spell not being short lived can only be demonstrated via gfs. The various background tools used are equal in evidence as any gfs run. It might be worth looking at all evidence and then your statement of “Evidence is more reliable” would be more reliable.
  10. That ECM
  11. That ECM
    Be interesting to see gefs to see if there’s hints. There was a danger I’d have to interact more with the wife thanks gfs.
  12. That ECM
    Got a chase something.
  13. That ECM
    Not a bad fi.
  14. That ECM
    Most recent op and mean.
  15. That ECM
    I’m guessing you are asking what’s it like for Pembrokeshire? There’s good potential buddy.
  16. That ECM
    Ecm mean.
  17. That ECM
    For those further north I’d be looking at these with some interest.
  18. That ECM
    I hope you are right. For balance, ecm and met current thinking. All subject to change of course. The north south swings should start to reduce through the day but this could go to the wire if ecm trends further north this evening. Current fax charts have it south of us imo. As per Kasim my percentage would be 10/90 on hitting. I wouldn’t trust gfs to hand tickets out on a bus.
  19. That ECM
    Golden shot (if you’re old enough) is a little more north on this run from previous ecm run.
  20. That ECM
    Control gfs. Hope this in the right discussion forum.
  21. That ECM
    T168 neither without interest. Please not gfs.
  22. That ECM
    Gefs mean
  23. That ECM
    I think the cold is going but I would like this to be near the mark. Far less wind and rain than what gfs is showing.
  24. That ECM
    It’s the hope that kills you.
  25. That ECM
    @Tamara sorry you’re not going to win my post of the day award. This will win whatever is written.
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