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Everything posted by That ECM
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I find these two fascinating as it shows to me the cold is winning. Look at the low differences in 12 hours. I’m not suggesting ukmo has it nailed by the way. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agree you can start analysing. The Day 8 ish track of a low? I think we are long way from any accuracy. How long is lengthy timescales for you? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ukmo and gfs T 168. They have moved towards each other. The 850’s difference will look a bigger move by gfs. Still not done but a good start. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, they read @Tamarapost and went with the shuffling high. The lady has been awesome. shuffling high or not. Although she has made me start to look and read what she talks about and often my head hurts. When I joined net weather many years ago I didn’t post in here for a few years until I had an idea of the models. Going to be a while before I reference what she uses but hey the journey has started. And the ecm called it first. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Which would suggest the high would be in a decent position but nothing to give us the details many crave. Met suggest less precipitation in the longer outlook so possible for the high to drift a little south bringing the possibility of ne winds. I know I’m going to far ahead but could be the way to have extended cold. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Goes on to good things but this has made me smile. gfs has two more runs before ecm in the morning. Please get onboard. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This morning’s ecm wasn’t that far off this evenings gfs, it’s all about timing of the much loved bulge. Have a look. The outcome later is what is then very different in the 850’s etc. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I will translate. He doesn’t see the point at looking at perception chart at that time when the nhp from different models is so different. I’m fluent in tight isobar. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or to happen a bit slower with everything a little further south and therefore have the high in a good place for lows to slide under? Similar to ecm this morning. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
That ECM replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Unfortunately I did but hoped not. what I would say is it’s at T168 and no disaster. Hopefully ecm is cleaner. Loooooooooong way to go on this I feel.