That ECM

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/5846/gensnh-11-1-384_bnx0.png or 20 please! There are a few more which would make people happy. Lets hope more and more like these Start showing in future runs.

What this tells you is that they do not see the NH as currently shown by the output. If they thought this was the case then they would not need to put caveats in regarding potential cold. Sure they are aware that a SSW will happen and like the rest of us, they do not know what impact this could have. Though they must believe this increases the chance of cold. The last output from GFS is encouraging as the NH is starting to look very different. Large swings in output to come over the coming ten days. Going to be very interesting to observe. Regards That ECM

Good afternoon. Not the most popular first post me thinks but I believe patience is required before we see changes in the daily model output. The SSW is still 7/8 days away. The output will change if the SSW does prog and if it does the output will reflect this. Will it be somewhere in main land Europe or over us? Again this will take time to see. So, as I said at the beginning, patience needed which is very difficult when we are watching run after run showing little of interest for those wanting winter. Regards. That ECM.