[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Look at tis wonderful chart agian from the Candian weathermodel.

There is no explaining needed in here ; COLD en possible snow events !

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Look at the Canadian model at 120 hours.

He let it slide , another slider snow low !.

End afterwards the block,

A great run from GEM 00z.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

The Braziliaan model ; comes with a another slider low .

180 hours.

At this moment by me , heavy snow shouere again unexpected , en he is not moving anywere.

There is no much gradient in the upper air , i think..

I am very curius wat the 00z runs will bring.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

CMA12z is a great run.

Look he wants to go for a major block .

Alliantie with the Artic/Greenland/Atlantik.

En this is what i am hinting the all week for the 3e decade februari a coldy norderly or NE .

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Ec is splitting the low at 48 hours near UK., before it leaves en become again one.

I think this is very good news for snow.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-february-9-2013

Very important also for us UK , Euro , en Amerika.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Great Run GFS 06z en also now GFS 12z , i am full convinced at basis from that CFS , CMA Cptec, en another factors that we are up to something really big , perhaps later in the month or march a kind of little nemo ?For West Europa..

The real cold was very long time closed locked up near the sea of Kara [ NW Russia].It want to rolle out.

End for this reason i had a totally different vision than the other masters ,they said the MJO fase would by his 3e fase sligtht down , they had only expected on the MJO forecast that there would be warming up around the 10 -13 februari, en they granted that most likely.But i didnt think so. I think we are in for a big surprise. Let wait now ECMWF or CMA ens als JMA .

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

End for the 16e or 17e run at a row , here he is CFS latest again.00z.

March 2013 , winter start in UK.

Lets walk with en hope for the CFS.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Heey also CMA ., CFS , CPTEC , seems to me backing up GFS 06z.

I told you before, lot of things will happen ,Unexpected,

Read all my postings from within 12 hours timeframe .

Also march , Cfs 15 runs at row , the daily en also the version 9.Complete madhouse.

This could be something big or a hoax .

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Wen you look my postings from morning , i had show the CFS 18z , it complete back the GFS 06z.

Also back up from the Cptec .Also some other models as wel.

Ec ensemble dont know after wednesday.

Look here the CFS 18z .

[Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts]

[Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts]

Dont forget me CMA is saying , i am upgrade .

As i said earlier alle options on the table please.

[Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards]

Ensemble for my country , its a complete mess the EC ensemble s.

Big spreading , unsure after 13e februari .

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

En after the front/band what most forget is the heavy snow showers that wil floow up , they will come from Denmark en the Nordsea to your coastal area s en further land also to the southeast .

That i am sure of it.

Look at the chart , en at 850 HP is -9 or -10 is most parts .

It is very hard to see wen the low wil split.

It could be nothing at all or something we will remember.

All options open en still on the weather table.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

At LT also the Ec operationeel is like GEM trending towards a Greenland High for the 3e decade februari . chart from 240.By switching fase ,the power from the Heights from Scandi to later Greenalnd will be a litlle mild interlude for Brittain , if EC oper is on the right track.

But even in the interlude fase perhaps , i still see no strong atlantic.

But for short en medium charts Ec is pretty good for some cold weather with snow events.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

On the say so of one run of one model?

GFS 0z has things same as 18z if not slightly N, UKMO has it same as 12z yesterday, GEM holds it in the same position too, NOGAPS has it further NE than yesterdays 12z.

But hey, don't let facts get in the way.

Less of the congratulatory back slapping until after the event eh?

Yes but wat ever happens there is no Atlantik en sw or west flow in this weekend en mild air .

I read the postings , sleety had a point in here.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

If this comes true , i will sell my wife.

Winter in march.

End is this will come true too , i marry with CFS .

Cfs run after run is going for surprise s, .

Fasten your seatbells ladies en gentleman , we have probaly a long road to go with the wintry cold , cool , chilly weather patterns perhaps.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Look at this ! , now what ?

This is the latest CFS , the 18z , it just came out, [ becouse CFS is always later with in runs in line].

Its stunning , i am perplex.It makes everthing much colder .

Are we missing something ?

Every model have to many diffent versions !

Look CFS goes further ! .

I think we are getting fooled by some models or we simply dont know, also that can.

We must look now is there a correlation with the synoptisch pattern now at the moment in the United States [ east coast area boston ] en how is the NSW at this moment !

The Nao is also bothering me .

Very strange funny winter is this.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

The Canadian model is hinting for the 3e decade februari a Greenland Block/High with again a nord flow .240 Hours. Intresting.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

I think the Nae backs up the ECM mean with the centre in the channel rather than Wales. Might be wrong though..

It doesnt matter really , it will not be black en white this at paper.

Think also to the convection line en showers will for certain develop to start en very quik, without any model seeing it .It can.

By me now , i get un unexpected disruption from the nordsea , westen Netherlands , it moved now in land while i am talking to you, it will bring 5 -8 cm snow. I swear no 1 model had that for seen for us not the big or litlle one , or any , only at the last moment 10 hours ago Hirlam said Yes it is coming. En now it is here for me, surprise.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Ok Nogaps track of the slide low is also much better now for brittain.

We will put some cards at the weather poker table now.

Moment.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Look the high by GME 00z very good position .Ist move s at 72 hour away from Scandi to the forbidden area near the south of Spitsbergen.

Very coldies at the 850 Hp level -1500 meter attitude.

Look at this movement of the Jetstream , amazing.

The 500 hp temperature 5 km level.Is also amazing cold.

Than we have upcoming extra moisture from the nordsea en the canal en the irish sea .

I say this is a great wintry charts from the German model GME 00z from Offenbach , for the UK.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

There the slide low comes .I say good position [ still unsure]

Than look , the airmassa linie frome above levels get thicker.

I keep saying we are in for a surprise.

En look the collusion.

GME 00z.From Offenbach Germany.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

You think to much , dont judge to quik.

You are not moderator or admin.

To call me a troll wile everbody can see mine forum with my name , with my mail. My twitteraccount .,is very very irresponsible from you. I forgive you this time . Dont do this please , i love weather. People love me from UK , my Pb message is with love from 277 members.I dont care or its winter or summer , i enyoy just the weathermodels.

Ok en now move on everybody to weathermodels please, . GME 00z is finished about 30 minutes or shorter.

BTW i have snow in my country en it is still snowing here en tomorrow en sunday end monday. So i dont have headache about snow ! It is snowing while i am writing now ! This is the last thing i say about me .I dont like to talk about me end i dont want you to talk over me , i want everbody to talk about the WEATHERMODELS ., holy caramba ? so difficault to achieve !

Read my post again I did no such thing, you read the quote, the troll bit was andy. I was defending you.

Sorry dan , s... i am confused now en angry ,.

Can we talk now about WEATHER please.

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Sorry I thought andy was saying about tonights gfs 00z run, must have missed a post somewhere.

You think to much , dont judge to quik.

You are not moderator or admin.

To call me a troll wile everbody can see mine forum with my name , with my mail. My twitteraccount .,is very very irresponsible from you. I forgive you this time . Dont do this please , i love weather. People love me from UK , my Pb message is with love from 277 members.I dont care or its winter or summer , i enyoy just the weathermodels.