Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Yarmy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,224

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    5

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Yarmy

  1. Yarmy
    But it's just speculation: you haven't offered a physical reason why that might be true so it's worth no more than a horoscope. If it's just pessimism, well, anyone can do that. Contrast with Nick Sussex, Phil n' Warks, Ian Brown, etc. I look to this thread for light, not heat.
  2. Yarmy
    So it's poor despite the objective unbiased fact that it isn't?
  3. Yarmy
    Sincerely hope not. One of the worst natural disasters in the history of Great Britain, yet barely known outside of my region. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_flood_of_1953#United_Kingdom (Apols, Mods: back to the 12Zs)
  4. Yarmy
    Thanks. Outside chance IMBY from the Northerly then, I suppose.
  5. Yarmy
    Most things I can deduce, but 'wishbone'? Definition anyone, please? (BTW, don't google it for the love of God. There are things in this world of which it is best to be ignorant. :-o )
  6. Yarmy
    Confused. Isn't all 51 members showing the same thing the very definition of consistency?
  7. Yarmy
    Oi! OTBC.
  8. Yarmy
    Apropos of nothing. 1. The London GEFS ensemble mean is almost bang on the 30 year average (as per Gavin's post that everyone ignored). 2. By this weekend I will have had -as will many others- nearly 2 weeks of thick laying snow and a few double-digit minus temp nights. 3. Verification Stats (real numbers, not anecdotal 'such and such model is rubbish') show that the major players on average hover around 0.9 for 5 days and 0.8 for 6 days. After that we can surmise they probably decline rapidly (UKMO don't even bother beyond 6 days). Still, 0.9 at 5 days is a staggering intellectual achievement and is improving every year. Lorenz famously suggested calculated 14 days as the limit beyond which (detailed) forecasts would be impossible. 6 days takes us to Jan 28. 4. February is usually the coldest month of the year.
  9. Yarmy
    You can tell the medium term model output ain't great when this thread actually gets shorter each time I refresh. Anyway, three GFS runs in a row with Greeny Heights in lala land. Shame the other models don't go out that far.
  10. Yarmy
    So FI starts at T72 but ends at T384 just in time for a monster Greenie High? All good fun, and the pressure is off about after a decent cold spell for many.
  11. Yarmy
    Before the ECM rolls, it's worth remembering what Matt Hugo said about the ECM 32 Dayer on the 18th Jan: "The EC32 model does signal a milder interlude by late Jan before a renewed risk of northern blocking around Greenland and colder into Feb" Something to look for in the ENS perhaps although a lifetime away.
  12. Yarmy
    Praise be! I have dust. That's it: no work for me tomorrow. And I work from home.
  13. Yarmy
    Nada. Zilch. Zero. Nul points. NW forecast tells me it's been snowing since 3pm though, so who am I to argue.
  14. Yarmy
    I've come to the conclusion that I don't actually live where I think I do. Either that, or the Radar isn't entirely accurate.
  15. Yarmy
    Still nothing here. Patience, patience, patience.
  16. Yarmy
    A good 6 inches of anaprop on me now according to the radar. Exciting stuff, but invisible alas.
  17. Yarmy
    Nothing here at all, not a flake. Strange, as that green streak appears to be straddling me on the radar.
  18. Yarmy
    It was -13C at RAF Marham this week.
  19. Yarmy
    Doesn't the UKMO run out to T168 internally, but they don't release it publicly? Those frames would be interesting to say the least. Meanwhile, steering my raft away from FI, Sunday looks interesting for a decent chunk of the country.
  20. Yarmy
    Open goal here, if anyone would like to take it? Anyone?
  21. Yarmy
    I'm avoiding looking at it, because as soon as I - like some sort of reverse Uri Geller - do it stops moving,
  22. Yarmy
    West Winch. Accumulating is an exaggeration. More like a light dusting on the surfaces not already covered in the snow from earlier in the week.
  23. Yarmy
    Very light snow started about half-an-hour ago here. Accumulating nonetheless. Will that pivot envelope us, or will it peter out?
  24. Yarmy
    Even if it doesn't reach here, I can't complain as we did very well earlier in the week. (I will complain)
  25. Yarmy
    Well I'm not going to stare at the Radar all day imagining that the front has moved a pixel eastwards. Oh no, I'm definitely not going to do that.
×
×
  • Create New...