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Posts posted by Chris101
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Have to say, this sferic site that someone put on here last night is brilliant, i can literally hear a crackle on the radio and a few seconds and it appears on there.
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Yes I have decided to stay put for a bit longer, I don't think they will die off to nothing before they reach here. Skew-T charts for Norfolk are showing cape until at least 18.00 with possibly the cap breaking. Would be nice to have some surface based storms once the elevated storms have passed
The line of storms now going through here has died now, radio has stopped crackling, every couple of mins there is a faint crackle from the Kings Lynn storm.
Saying that just had a loud crackle and a rumble to my West, if you have a radio its a storm chasers best friend.
......And another at Stowmarket but not very active at all now
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getting up at 6 am to boltec going crazy ,amazing skys and an aproching mass of sferics only to watch it die before my eyes , I'm bound to be pxxxed off !!!.....
Thats the nature of the weather and storms i'm afraid, should of come to Ipswich, its been awesome.
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Hopefully round 4 is just coming into Essex, will it make it this far up, everything is starting to fade as we reach the diurnal min.
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It seems to be a common pattern for storm activity to die out for a couple hours in the morning before reinvigorating. I can understand why the heat of the day may cause storms to reinvigorate but would be interested to know why storms generally seem to lose intensity through the 8-11am period?
With night time convection its all about Diurnal heating, when the heating starts to drop so the storms will start to fade, the diurnal minimum is at midday so there is your answer. I can't find a good link at the mo on convection and diurnal heating (to much going on here) but i'll try and find one later unless someone else knows of one offhand.
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Storm number 3 passing just to my East.
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Suns out here now, but i can see more towers going up to the South.
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Does the lightning radar only pick up on CG lightning?
I think it does to be honest, we had loads here and it showed nothing.
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Wow you saw that? I am just outside of Ipswich, wish I had seen that!
I was dragging my other half out of bed saying you have to see this, its like something from the States.
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Storm number 1 some great lightning every minute or so and a huge rainbow passed very quickly, 10 minutes after it passes storm number 2 rolls in, lots of lightning every 15-30 seconds, an excellent morning storm.
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Thunder heard to my South
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Anvil to my South is huge now.
One to the West is getting a lot bigger now too.
Some loud crackles on radio
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Morning all, so the fun has begun, hope your all enjoying it, some awesome looking towers going up to my SSW here, looks great with the morning sun on it.
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Pretty sure they are elevated, so a channel crossing shouldn't be a problem.
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Yes but the speed northward seems to be picking up rapidly!
http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime?lang=en
This is a great site especially if you put the sound on and hear the 'ticks' as the lightning strikes. Definitely increasing the rate and speed..
Never realised you could switch the clicks on, have zoomed it in over the UK on another tab, so if i hear any clicks i'll flick over to it.
Nice one CF
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Cracking radar images,classic Spanish plume destabilisation is underway.
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Well it looks like I have tomorrow off so if I don't have to travel too far west then I'll get out to meet it. I may go as far as lincolnshire but I will decide tomorrow when it starts to play out
Same here, if it looks like i'm too far East i'll head down the 14 towards Cambridge.
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06Z NMM Modle output much keener on the overnight elevated storms.
cloudprecip01.pngcloudprecip03.png
Still developing storms from early morning onwards.
cloudprecip08.pngcloudprecip11.png
I should say that there seems to be some agreement in the models about overnight now, but tomorrow daytime still differs from model to model.
Yes, after the initial destabilisation through the night, there does look to be a further destabilisation early saturday morning.
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Anyone know any good south facing view points in my area as I want to get some lighting photos with my I phone.
Do you have a lightning trigger app? A friend of mine showed it to me the other day and it seemed to work quite well.
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we have camping chairs, tripods, three DSLR cameras, energy drinks and most importantly of all, a crate of beer.
Our vantage point looks due south and west towards Winchester and Southampton beyond, last time we were up there we caught a few glimpses of fork lightning which i would estimate as far away as the channel (40-50 miles) seeing as I dont think any strikes occured in-land that evening...so fingers crossed. Its now or never gentlemen
I always like to have my little radio with me aswell so i can hear the strikes, its always nice to hear a strike and see a flicker in the distance, otherwise my eyes start to play tricks on me seeing flashes that aren't there.
Best of luck
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Its going to be a case of where and when upper forcing initiates the breakdown of the plume, i'm moving slightly Eastwards now and going with Mapantz around the Weymouth to IOW area, timewise (very tough) but still a couple of hours before midnight.
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I can get a bit crabby if i miss out, I'm the first to admit that! Only because I'm storm starved lolI'm not sure about anybody else, I'm still intrigued as to what occurs, even if if I do miss out- there is so much potential, does the ATD lightning detector go in to meltdown? It is quite exciting!
Thats no surprise to be honest, days of model watching and then hours and hours of refreshing the radar can leave us all pretty exhausted and when it all fails to bring a storm to your area it can be very disheartening.
Myself, i think i'm probably just too far East, so when things kick off i shall be looking at heading towards Cambridge if it still looks like i'm going to draw a blank here.
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In a way people should be looking at things as 2 separate events overlapping somewhere in the middle, my thoughts are pretty much the same as my earlier post.
Firstly during Friday night the plume will start to destabilise and elevated storms will move into the SW, S Wales moving NE into CS England and SW Midlands in the early hours of saturday, people in these areas shouldn't worry about cape values as these are elevated storms. During the day on Saturday this first round of storms will start to die out as they move into N England, NW but some very heavy rain will still affect these areas.
The second event should get going in the afternoon when surface heating and some high cape values will develop surface based thunderstorms over E England, some of these will be severe moving into Cambridgeshire, Lincolnshire and parts of East Anglia (mainly West EA) maybe as far as S Yorks.
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Convective/Storm Discussion for 06/0614 - 07-06-14
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
With clearer skys coming up from the South, looking like this area is the best chance of surface based storms and maybe a supercell from solar heating up till around 18z,