wiltshire weather

So looks like tomorrow is shaping up to possibly be another day watching the radar, although as @nick sussex mentioned, nothing set in stone yet. Moderate snow across most of the region with a wind gusting to around 30mph so still blowing around.

Looking at the Meto video forecast you're about right, although it all seems to feed into the red warning area snow train keeping it going all night!

The Thursday night video forecast on the Meto website shows the freezing rain area expanding a bit and then fizzling out around 1am. Then around 0500 the snow starts building again across the region and looks like it keeps going most of the day!

Good call from @Bring Back1962-63 on the Meto needing to update their warnings!

It was I think, been pretty good this week, even getting the showery snowfall pretty accurate.

The precipitation model from the HIRLAM seems uncannily accurate right now, hope it unfolds as this shows:

That's an impressive wedge of snow heading up towards Bristol, also all along the coast from Portsmouth to Lands End! I seem to have a growing 'light patch' over me at the moment but am hoping the intense stuff arcing down towards Paris is headed my way!

Best bet is to watch how it evolves over the channel and see if it expands eastwards I think.

I think this has edged further east than even the latest forecasts (which is a good thing I believe!) The latest ARPEGE run has this scenario at 1600 our time: Whereas the reality is a definite eastwards extension of the precipitation to the south of us:

Thanks for that David, good point well made!

This in itself is incredible!

You can find them here : http://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/satellite.php

My Meto app has been all over the place today. First of all it dropped all my snow today to just patchy light stuff and changed it to nothing at all tomorrow, now its got light snow the rest of the day, heavy stuff from 2200 for a couple of hours, the Friday batch has been put back on from 1900 for the whole night and now also snow all night Saturday into Sunday! The warm-up has been put back until Monday

Certainly looks like you're in the direct firing line for the heavy stuff as per your Meto red warning.

Afternoon all. Had to drive some of the family around this morning as I'm the only one with a 4x4, great to finally use it for it was intended! Had light snow here most of the day and bitter windchill. Temp hovering around -3c. Certainly everything is getting a covering, but its difficult to tell how much with it blowing around all over the place! Currently watching the radar with all that snow heading our way, glad virtually all of us are getting in on the action! Love that update from David ( @Bring Back1962-63) - great to see the area of precipitation expanding as it moves up towards us. I'm still hopeful the HIRLAM output is more correct than the ARPEGE as it expands the snow eastwards whilst keeping all of our area with all snow. Here's the 1900 predictions from this mornings run: You can see the eastern extent is quite a bit further over on the HIRLAM which is what it would be great to see before it wheels around to the NW. Judging by the current radar, it looks to be going that way:

Netweather one has a European option you can turn on

Amber warning area has just been shrunk, I'm barely on the edge of it now! Time will tell if they got that right....

Hirlam is pretty accurate for the current conditions!

I still think the Hirlam had performed best at getting the snow right over the past few days. Here's what it predicts for today and tomorrow.

Been lightly snowing for a while here and have a light covering on the ground. If you turn off the precipitation type on the NW radar the heavier stuff shows up better and i can see a heavier band moving up from the south which should give us an hour or so more heavier stuff here i hope.

Looks fine to me, just about!

My Meto app has also just updated and to my eye seems to follow the ARPEGE precipitation pattern almost exactly!

I'd happily bank that!

Yes, the radar does seem to show some 'ghost' snow at times, been pretty accurate for me though so far. Hoping there won't be any such issues tomorrow with heavier precipitation!

Looks that way to me too. I still think it may do looking at the current satellite pics and looking where the fronts currently are.