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Everything posted by wiltshire weather
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For those watching on the Netweather radar and wondering about how accurate they are with the actual weather type, this is from their blurb on it: Weather Type Radar The weather type detection uses a combination of hi-resolution model data, along with ground observations to show whether rain, sleet, snow, hail or freezing rain is falling. It's an excellent guide, but bear in mind that in very localised situations some variation may occur.
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Morning everyone. Another lurker drawn into the excitement enough to make a post. Hope to see some of the white stuff at least falling later on today. Looking increasingly interesting though with possible showers overnight and who knows where that feature coming down from the north will track. 30 miles or so west and some of our region may see some more snow. Next week seems to be looking cold and dry with an easterly flow and who knows, if the low pressure over the med decides to push some disturbances our way maybe even some more snow! Certainly seems like the best period of winter weather for some years to me.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
wiltshire weather replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I liked this post from Chionomaniac on the old model thread about the 6Z >>>>>>>> If I could programme a snow and cold lovers run into the GFS then the FI of the 06Z would be pretty much it for a perfect scenario. Pity it's FI really. >>>>>>>> It was almost as if someone had actually programmed it to churn out the perfect scenario for cold and snow ! Not April the 1st is it?? -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
wiltshire weather replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I've still got 'Mud and Snow' tyres on my Freelander, wonder if I should finally change them for proper winter ones ??!! -
I'm a long time lurker on here and very rarely post, but some of the charts from the GFS 06Z are almost beyond belief so couldn't help myself! Looking forward to the informed dissection of the supporting ensembles etc. from various members that I hold in very high regard, even when they disagree! Here's hoping the 12Z model runs continue the general theme even though it's unlikely they will be quite as spectacular.
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Looking through the meager amount of posts in the model thread (sure sign of the models not playing ball!) there does seem to be some glimmers of hope for about 9-10 days away. The GFS Parallel run particularly has been showing an easterly around the end of Jan for the past couple of runs. A new model that is not 'live' yet but is scheduled to replace the current GFS system April/May this year so may not be a complete 'straw clutcher' !
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Hi all. Another long time lurker here although I have insanely posted once or twice in the model output thread ! I remember some of the frontal snow events from times past so would be great to see another one this year but as ever its all very much on a knife edge. No snow so far in my part of North wilts.
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Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
wiltshire weather replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
An interesting recent comment from Ian F over in the SW regional thread, quote: Yes, some troubling-looking selections of output this morning for early next week, more especially for N and E of W Country. But exceptionally low confidence on what will unfold. Interestingly, latest UKMO overnight prognosis through Feb builds Atlantic block with us on colder eastern side/troughing... we may have the experience of current period to unravel yet again further down the line -
South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat
wiltshire weather replied to Nick L's topic in Regional
Been a long time lurker but not posted much at all so far. Looks an interesting evening/night and you never know, it might produce some snowy weather for at least some of the region! Not sure if this has been posted here already but another member over on the model thread posted a link to this site that seems very good for following the track of the overnight 'feature' via satellite pictures: http://www.sat24.com/?ir=true