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Posts posted by dec10snow
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12 minutes ago, MP-R said:
0C and cloudy after dropping to -1C. Temp isn’t racing upwards for a change so may see some flakes before it turns to rain. Who knows. My expectations have always been low for today.
So have mine as I just thought it was going to be rain.... Met office upgrade, they must want me to go into panic mode..!!!!
Edit: you can tell it’s bad for snow down here can’t you
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Morning all.
Met office suggesting a couple hours light snowfall from 10am, turning to sleet then rain from midday. Beeb have nothing until midday and it then starting as light rain.
Not got much hope for anything but it’s always nice to see some falling snow if nothing else so hopefully the Met are right, we’ll see!
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Good satellite shot -
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Heavy rain here, quite gusty too in the shower.
EDIT: HEAVY SNOW WITH LARGE FLAKES!!!
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Everything turned into an absolute ice rink now outside - frozen rain falling onto frozen surfaces... not a good mix!!
Keep the photos and videos coming please everyone!!
Think I’m going to have to have a gander up on the Blackdowns or Quantocks this morning......
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1 minute ago, Somerset Squall said:
Definitely periods where it is more snow, a little more elevation is probably doing nicely. It is nice to see it falling when it does become more snowy than sleety at least. Feels like we were on the edge of something more special however.
100% it seems to be turning quite snowy at points and I think, yes this is, just carry on like this... oh it’s back to sleet.
Good luck to you guys further north/east I reckon you’re all in with a good shot as we’ve been so close.
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2 minutes ago, Dave Kightley said:
Wonder how Dartmoor looks
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Just now, MattTarrant said:
Unfortunately back to rain
Ah, you were my glimmer of hope!
@Somerset Squall #uksnow report on Twitter from TA1 (north Taunton) area...
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2 minutes ago, Somerset Squall said:
Yeah, both the temperature and dew point are the right side of freezing but I guess the upper air temps are too high? Fingers crossed for it to change but I can see where this is going
Yeah must be.
Curiously, Met have updated their forecast for heavy snow at 6am. Mind you, their ‘now’ icon is a heavy snow shower so -
2 minutes ago, offerman said:
That’s crazy how it’s raining instead yet so cold .
good luck everyone . Looks like transition from rain to snow for many , am expecting same here rain as we’re not million miles away from Taunton .Yes, just our luck down here! All stations on Wunderground all reporting 0C still and obviously DP’s below that, so it is rather frustrating.
We are in a valley mind and I don’t think that ever helps in these marginal set ups.
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2 minutes ago, Somerset Squall said:
Convection is cruising on through though :(. I am impressed with how well I timed my alarm with the precipitation but dissapointed at what is falling so far.
Haha I’m glad I’m not the only one who thinks, “what a waste of all that precipitation”!
I’m encouraged by the fact Matt in Wellington had the full switch over to snow and I’m hoping it can do the same here sometime soon...
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3 minutes ago, Somerset Squall said:
Temperature got down to -3.5°C earlier. Now it is up to -1.4°C with dewpoint of -1°C. We have rain, but it is slowly transitioning to something more wintery. The fact that it has started off as rain ia surprising though.
It’s definitely trying, some flakes mixed in with the rain now here!
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3 minutes ago, dec10snow said:
Still waiting for anything to fall out the flipping sky!! Dry still, can see the ice on cars slowly reducing...
Rain/sleet mix falling...
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Still waiting for anything to fall out the flipping sky!! Dry still, can see the ice on cars slowly reducing...
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I’m up for a spot of radar/lamp post watching. Nothing seems to making it to ground from the light precip that’s shown on radar.
Met now showing a snow -> sleet event, so at least that’s upgraded to one snow icon!! We’ll see.
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18 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:
I know they're not most reliable, but my phone app, this afternoon, was showing snow falling from 05.00am right thru to 15.00pm for tomorrow; however, now it just shows snow from 06.00am to 10.00am.
Boo!
Mine was showing some light snow earlier this morning, now?
Mixture of sleet and heavy rain... boo!!
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15 minutes ago, Smartie said:
The mod thread is turning into the midlands thread, they all want the snow, well hasn't that area had snow already out of this weather pattern we've been in for a while where all we've had down here is rain!
Well tonight I'm being Mr scrooge & the greedy midlanders can bugger off lol, hope it just strikes the the south west & far south, if only so I can see how many !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Sheikky or whatever his name is now can come out with when the snow misses him
Was my thinking, they’re all going on about how FURTHER NORTH!!! Wooo! Meanwhile I’m a little concerned about the hole in all the snow maps around Taunton/up to Weston
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Great news! The Met downgraded me now to sleet turning to rain.......
Luckily we’ve got a day for that to change yet
Meanwhile a frosty (and probably icy start, thanks for the evening showers) with mostly clear skies.
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Just now, Smartie said:
Ian you tease! Wonder what Feb has to offer us in terms of snowy prospects.
Yes was just thinking that - if Ian’s on the ramp (tease) train then that’s a good sign as he doesn’t really like the colder weather from memory (or at least the disruptive side of it)
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44 minutes ago, John88B said:
Good morning all. I asked a question on the model output thread that got lost in the frenzy of posting going on there, so was wondering if anyone on here could help me out.
I was wondering what the OP and control runs were and whether they were somehow more powerful or reliable than the rest of the ensembles?
A very novice question I know but thanks in advance to anyone who can help me out.
Very novice myself too - always (well some of the time) like to read the mod thread but have never got into trying to learn them properly.
However as far as I know, each ensemble member is fed slightly different (and therefore incorrect) starting data, which is why they then come out with widly varying solutions a lot of the time. Small changes can make a big difference!
Difference between the Operationals and Control runs though, must say I don’t actually know, I’m sure someone else will be able to tell us though.
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Can see why the ice warning was issued, last nights rain/sleet falling onto frozen surfaces... looks like an ice rink out the front of the house!
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21 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
I don't think there have been any good chances of snow for many people so far? It has all been marginal/quick moving scattered small events. I could understand if it was missing out on a decent channel low, but not the offerings so far?!
There's been zero chances here, and the past model updates haven't shown anything anywhere near close to even raise an eyebrow, so I haven't been bothered by it. I've enjoyed the cold weather for what it is, and for statistical purposes.
Oh yeah, also got an ice day out of this! I've only recorded 2 in the last 10 years and the last one was with a lot of snow cover, so that makes today's one very impressive.
No there definitely hasn’t, I think that’s probably the worst bit considering we’ve just gone through a ‘cold spell’!
Personally I was just hoping that in the colder weather we’ve had we’d pick up some scraps of snow somewhere to give us at least some falling snow or a dusting but that seems difficult in itself.
Think we may have had one too, but it’s difficult to tell when you don’t have a weather station! Was your last ice day in 2018? I recall that with the snow cover there were some low minima and maximas recorded.
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9 minutes ago, Somerset Squall said:
Precipitation got heavier, and now it is definitely...
Rain.
You couldn't make it up. Temperature now rising quite well, 1.0°C, warmest it has been all day.
Yep, thought it was looking very much like rain.... Wunderground still showing most stations at 0C around town...
What do we need to get snow?!
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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
Snowing here!! Seems very wet and verging on sleet now and again but lovely to see.