dec10snow
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Posts posted by dec10snow
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Post in the Storms thread:
“Arome this morning absolutely hammers parts of Devon and Cornwall around lunchtime, before the focus switches to the midlands and northwest once again for their daily hammering. Looks like we miss out again today. Haven't even got any sun this morning to compensate!”
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Matches an updated Moderate from Convective Weather;
Convective Weather
CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UKForecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days. -
I’m a few miles to the west of Street at the moment and I’m convinced I can hear that thunder from the Salisbury/the partner cell by Wincanton... seems I should be too far away to hear it though?!
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Hmmm... 15mm of rain so far today with rivers responding as expected.
Expecting more later on overnight tonight however current radar shows a lot more rain that the Met’s forecast radar was showing for now which doesn’t bode well!
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24 minutes ago, Super_Uwe said:
Blimey, squall line just gone through Kingsbridge just after 2am.
Torrential rain and frequent lightning, one of which was very close. Absolute chaos for about 10min, now it's all gone quiet!
Wasn't expecting that to be honest
Likewise, just been woken up here by the squall which even set a car alarm nearby off! It was finished off with (as far as I’m aware) just a solitary flash of lightning and very loud roll of thunder; exciting! Oddly enough nothing showing on Blitzortung.
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Merry Christmas all!!
To be honest, considering how much rain we’ve had so far today and the rain band looks like pretty much stalling on us (albeit weakening) I’m very surprised there’s no weather warning out for flooding?!
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Not sure if anyone else noticed but we’ve had an earthquake around an hour ago here, magnitude 3.4!
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Car temperature gauge reading 1C but windscreen splatter test shows negative for any signs of sleet... so just plain old rain started here now
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19 minutes ago, zmstorm said:
That looks like a nasty storm to the east of Wells.
It does... can see the tops of the clouds easily from Brownsea Island in Poole!
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Reviewing the stations across Taunton, looks like we ended with 25mm as the daily rain accumulation. A chunk of that coming in the thunderstorm about 3.45am which dropped 10-15mm (having looked at weather stations). Good for the gardens I guess
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15 hours ago, The PIT said:
Then the graphics should reflect the risk then as that's the thing people first see. It's poor design perhaps it's my scientific training where I was taught that data must be clearly presented and communicated.
I do see where you’re coming from but I feel they’re a bit damned if they do, damned if they don’t. If they had thunderstorm graphics for your location for the duration of the warning it would 100% be wrong.
In my opinion I feel they’ve got the best of both worlds with the warning, a general warning to highlight the risk, then you’ve got location specific graphics to show what to expect in that exact location hour by hour.
Best of luck for today anyway, I have no chance of anything really so hopefully some others get something decent... Do feel for Whaley Bridge though...
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4 hours ago, The PIT said:
I hate it when the met office do this. Sloppy at the best. If the forecast locally isn't for storms removing the warning simples
The warning is there to highlight the risk of thunderstorms, which are outlined to be ‘scattered’ in the warning text. The most recent computer generated forecast doesn’t see any thunderstorms for your location, doesn’t mean you won’t get any. At the same time you may not get any, but if the risk is there and there will be some in the general area, the warning is there to highlight that.
Otherwise they’d be updating the warning area every time a computer forecast comes out... not very practical as a warning system.
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A small level 1 issued by Estofex for the SW:
“A level 1 was issued across SW UK mainly for tornadoes and severe convective wind gusts,”
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Not sure if this upload will work... hopefully!
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11 minutes ago, Robert Lewis said:
Taunton looks like a good spot right now or at least just to the west of it.
Yep near constant flashes, it’s brilliant! As you say not overhead, so thunder is just a quiet near constant grumble in the distance, looks like the bottom of the cell may well come overhead
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Lots of flashes can be seen here from the cell to our SW/W!
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6 minutes ago, Karl83 said:
http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2019-07-23
Loving the last 2 paragraphs on this update.
Indeed. Also got an Estofex level 2 covering a large chunk of the region
edit: @matt111beat me to it!
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13 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
I don't know how many people are on here that are under that amber warning, but it was valid from 2pm, and it expires in 2 and half hours. I haven't seen many reports or amazing pictures yet?
I’ve so far had sleet and more recently a few flakes blowing about in the wind... and I’m in the amber zone, I don’t hold out hope for anything unfortunately
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2 hours ago, Leon1 said:
-1 here cooling the ground for tomorrow nicely.
Icon:
ECM:
Left out the GFS because it's a complete outlier.
Never seen this before, is this from an app?
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10 minutes ago, warmintim said:
Clearly getting better and better for most of us in this region (at the sad loss for the midlands, north etc).
Yes, such a sad sad loss........
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Just now, Fred Sykes said:
BBC lunch Time forecast also shows potential snow on Friday too!
Just watched that (not that I take too much notice of Beeb nowadays as they use meteogroup) but they were quoting 5-10cm across some parts of SW England!
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4 minutes ago, Lloyds32 said:
Think you need a temp sensor
You’re a bit of a negative nelly aren’t you, everywhere you post it’s all negative, that’s rubbish, not gonna happen etc etc, you’re in the wrong thread ma friend because we’re the crazy southwesterners who will stay positive even when we don’t get snow and the rest of the country does
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Didn’t see this image make its way here, interesting IMBY from Euro 4 earlier
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Not holding out much hope as it stands at the moment. Pretty much no model shows any snow falling let alone lying for me now As ever I’ll be hopeful for a surprise but doesn’t look promising at the mo...
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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/06/2020 Onward
in Regional
Posted
Yeah, hopefully get something overhead today. Wasn’t home yesterday, was lucky enough to hear quite a lot of thunder getting closer for an hour but it died off before it came overhead with minimal rain.
Promising to see a moderate warning that close however
Good luck for all today!