birdman
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Posts posted by birdman
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2 hours ago, ptow said:
The problem for me was Simon King from BBC R5 that on Friday morning said that we were in for "significant disruptive snowfall in the south and east". I then checked the met office forecast and indeed each day from Sunday to Thursday was an ice day with snow all day Sunday. Thats when my expectations were set. I am sensible enough not to listen to the mad fred peeps as they are prone to excitment. Simple fact is it didnt do what the met men said it was going to do.
Reality was very little snow, the odd dusting. Light snow falling for just shy of a decade and 1 ice day so far.
The snowfall was clearly very unpredictable away from the Eastern side of the country and FOR the Eastern side of the country it was widespread BUT localised too. A very tricky forecast all round. People who used the weather apps were no doubt misled as the data just wasn't accurate due to model uncertainty. This is where forecasters should be able to step in and use their experience and expertise to interpret the situation properly and I guess some nailed it with their wording and some didn't!
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3 hours ago, MildCarlilse said:
Depends where one calls home my friend.Here on the Isle of Lewis,the ground is frozen,the small lochs are mostly all frozen,the rivers and streams are decorated with ice.The Clisham (Highest point of land on island at 699m) has had snow on it since before Christmas and this is an island bathed in the Gulf Stream.It certainly has been an odd winter!
Sounds amazing! My corner of the world is on the edge of the Cotswolds but sadly lacking frost this year. I took this picture a few years ago it was -6 on my way to work. I haven't seen anything like this this year. By the way, I recall your name from the MetMonkey days "why is Carlisle so mild" and why do I remember random things?! Lol
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Come to think of it It's been an odd winter. We've had hardly any heavy frosts! Am struggling to recall more than 2...
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1c here, suns shining and also a few snowflakes gently floating to the ground. Not often we have days like these!
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35 minutes ago, Big Dave said:
B O R E D B O R E D B O R E D
Bored of this winter which seemed t o have so much potential
Bored of this weather which promised so much but delivered so little
Bored of this lockdown
Bored of being stuck at home
Bored of not being able to travel
Bored
B O R E D B O R E D B O R E D
Dont want to jump to any wild conclusions but I get the impression you're bored? Lol
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Actually I take it back when I said its not THAT cold. I'm out for a walk and it feels properly bitter today, more so than yesterday! Lol
MetO app says 1c but feels like -5. I would agree with that!
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Last Thursday it became clear that this cold spell was definitely going to be an event for predominantly the Eastern side of the county. So although a little disappointing for us lot further west it has not been entirely unexpected. From an IMBY perspective, its not been THAT cold and of course very little snow. Still had a dusting which is more than some! Personally I've not written this Easterly off yet as there is still hope and interest for me. But I bet the people who have been right in the thick of it have a very different opinion and for them I'm sure it's been very memorable! So it's all very subjective.
Half the problem was the ramping type posts in the mod thread which may have falsely set expectations too high for some people. In any case, this cold spell could still surprises for some and February is not over by a long way!
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Blizzard alert! Lol (well compared to what we've had so far!)
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22 minutes ago, The Enforcer said:
If I recall correctly that it was a decaying cold front from the north that somehow developed a low pressure system along its line as it moved slowly south and as it hit the south coast it started circulating moisture from the Channel back northwards into the flow so it kept it going from around 4pm throughout most of the night. We were in an almost unprecedented red warning zone 24-48 hours beforehand (I thought it had to be some sort of error) and was the heaviest fall/accumulation of snow we had here this century.
Yes If I recall it stalled right over Oxfordshire and gave a 20-30cm dumping! Very tasty!
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All of the ppn seemingly heading over me is simply fizzling out and producing very light snizzle. It's just too weak. Hopefully see some more organised bands overnight and into tomorrow.
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4 hours ago, Singularity said:Missed out on a proper dusting of snow by about 5 miles last night, just trace amounts to be found this morning.
Some small flakes whirling about in the wind out there in the past hour, gradually increasing in number.
The 'Hampshire Triangle of Radar Mystery' is in full effect now. Seems to be something heavier hiding within it. Always keeps me guessing until the last 10 minutes in a NE to ENE flow!
Think I can explain this phenomenon. It's an Unidentified Flying Pizza Radar Jammer
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13 minutes ago, AWD said:
That heavier plop of PPN is struggling to get west of Oxford unfortunately. Much lighter stuff to the west.
Indeed and the radar can be deceptive as constantly changing where the ppn is. It is snowing again now and finally looks like a blob may furnish me with all of its pathetic snizzle lol
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9 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter
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8 minutes ago, AWD said:
There's a developing plop of heavier PPN heading very slowly SW, currently over Bedfordshire area.
Don't think it's going to get to me but definitely something to watch for Oxfordshire/Wiltshire members etc.
If it maintains its intensity it has the potential to give a cm or so for lucky members to the east/north east of the region;
Watch it disappear as it hits Oxford now.
I'll report on intensity (or otherwise) in around 25 mins! On paper it looks decent but could just be Mr Lighty McSnizzleface again.
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7 minutes ago, The Moving Planet said:
Your luck should change soon the streamers to your south will shift more north tonight and tomorrow by the looks of things. Your more than in the game!
Cheers mate sounds promising. To be honest I shouldnt whinge as we've had a half decent covering a few weeks back. Hopefully others who havent had any will get lucky!
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6 minutes ago, AWD said:
I personally don't use Apps full stop.
I use Twitter for various info from the Meto and more especially, Ian F.
The metoffice one is reasonably good actually under normal circumstances. Under current conditions though no app is going to be that useful apart from temperature because the weather models are all over the place.
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5 minutes ago, Nights King said:
Why would I trust one that doesn't forecast me snow!?
To be honest I think they both as useless as each other.
Haha my wife's iPhone is hilarious, she keeps on telling me it's forecasting snow armageddon every week. Its useless!
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24 minutes ago, AWD said:
Everyone delete your BBC Weather App -. NOW!
It is playing with you all.
Why don't you use the Met Office one it's much better?
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Morning currently -1 here. Very light dusting overnight which looks quite nice. You can see that the snow is so dry and grainy that it blows around easily in the wind and settles in different places. Snowing now, again very very light probbaly why it's not showing on radar. Let's hope more stuff blows to the West!
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7 minutes ago, khodds said:
Let us know what happens
Will do. Temp down to 1 now feeling much colder than earlier this afternoon.
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11 minutes ago, IanT said:
As always the emotionally charged posts are from people reacting to the gap between their hopes and reality. Not to any gap between forecasts and reality.
Classic LOL! Just popped in to have a look at what's going down in this region and this is the first post I see!
Storm Eunice - 18th February
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Won't the site be closed due to health and safety?