birdman
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Posts posted by birdman
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Model estimates from 36-48h ago were more accurate than later estimates -- the low appears to be developing a very dangerous squall line feature now (0600h) west of an Oxford-Bournemouth line and likely to be moving through London and the southeast around 0800h. Winds increase from SW 50 mph to W 70-80 mph as this squall line passes and there could even be stronger gusts to come if this develops thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, SW winds in the Dover marine area of the Channel are currently gusting to 90 mph or more (150 km/hr).
If you're still to the east of the squall line check the radar and get ready -- walking or driving is strongly discouraged as trees and other debris very likely to be flying about. I would expect that winds might continue to gust for 3-4 hours beyond time of passage of this front but the most violent gusts will be close to its passage.
When this squall line passed over it was quite impressive albeit short lived!
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Stay safe!
Under a heavy squall at the moment - producing stronger winds than seen all night. I don't think the worst has even gotten here yet.
Same here in West Oxon, proper stormy now with really heavy rain and what must be at least 40mph gusts.
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Torrential rain here in W. Oxon and wind getting up nicely in last half hour!
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Greeting from West Oxfordshire. Persistent moderate rain for last hour and a half. Leaves everywhere from todays wind so pretty messy out there although fairly calm at the moment.
Look forward to how this pans out over the next 12 hours.
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I guess my area has quite high uncertainty with regards to snow. Just started rain/sleeting in the last hour though. Will be interesting how this plays out over next 24hrs.
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Welcome fellow oxfordshirrian, we need to fight for a place to 'live'. Looks like Oxfordshire has done well this morning. I'm sure places like Brill Hil 500/600ft will have had a pasting.
I'll raise my cup of tea to that, cheers
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Morning. Just thought I would pop in here seeing as I've spotted a couple of fellow oxfordshire residents. Usually drift between here and the midlands thread
Currently snowing in Witney and a thin layer has accumulated on the grass in my garden.
So i hear latest guidance suggests tomorrows low has shifted south a bit?
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Hi Birdman and welcome.
I'm from Oxfordshire, grew up about 6 miles from you, moved around a bit as an adult, up to North Yorkshire and back down again until I landed up in Somerset. No idea how old you are but if you're anywhere near as old as me, you'll remember the 81-82 winter up there - I'm keeping everything crossed for a repeat this weekend.
Quick question.... do they still put the snow fences up on the Oxford to Banbury road? I remember as a kid they used to go up every year at the start of winter as there was always a period where it could be expected to drift across there.
I was only five in 81 but do have some vague memories of decent snow as a kid. The road you are talking about must be the A4260 (passes through Adderbury and Deddington) although I dont drive it very often so dont know about the snow fences. Sounds interesting though!
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Hi Birdman,
I'm living in Stroud but grew up ibn Chipping Norton (Chippy) so know your area well. Having been at school during 1963 I think I can say that you shoud do really well indeed out of this upcoming event!
Enjoy!
Hi musician and thanks for the input. I bet everything since 1963 seems tame. Before my time being born in 77 although have seen some great black and white images of it. Who knows but maybe the next few weeks will be just as memorable.
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Welcome Birdman! Oxonians are very rare in these parts on here
I hope we both do very well on the weekends action :-)To be honest I never know whether we fall into South Midlands or North Central South regions. Perhaps we need our own thread?! As you allude to neither of the current threads seem to contain many people from our neck of the woods.
I started following you on twitter last night actually, funny coincidence!
We still have a lot of ice and a bit of snow on the ground so any further snow will settle readily. I have a feeling we could do quite well out of this.
All the best.
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Recently updated weekend forecast from the Met Office;
Outlook for Friday to Sunday:
Remaining cold and windy. Outbreaks of sleet and snow spreading northeast through Friday and Saturday. Further rain and hill snow is then likely Sunday. Overnight frost and ice in east.
Sounds like the further north and east you are in the region, the better the chance of seeing sustained snowcover. Cotswolds could get buried this weekend.
Live in West Oxfordshire so not quite cotswolds but near! Hope to see a good dumping from this. Had 6cm the other day so cant comlain so far. From a purely selfish point of view would like a slight shift east which may happen over next 24 hrs. Good news is the majority of people will do well out of this.
First post by the way so hello to everyone. Any other Oxfordshire folk on here?
Cheers
I hope we both do very well on the weekends action :-)
Severe Atlantic storms February 2014
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Evening all. Fairly wild here in West Oxon. I reckon average sustained wind speed must be around 25mph and probably gusting to 50mph at times. Its certainly very loud out there. Fair amount of rain today but has eased off last few hours.