Spah1

I’d love to live 250m asl !

So who wants a little bet. I live In Clayton-le-Woods (Chorley). 90m asl. 1mile East of the M6. Will I have lying snow, 9pm on Friday night, 18th Jan in my back garden Yes or No?

? The thicknesses aren’t between 1000 and 850 unless I am reading it wrong

Well if you’re that confident then i’ll wait and see ?

Most of us don’t live 300m asl though!!!!! More rain it is then. Can’t ever remember getting snow off cold zonal weather. Always too marginal.

I know it’s the wrong thread but if one of the more experienced members could elaborate ‘possible amplification’ for us less knowledgeable that would be great. I assume he’s referring to heights pushing up to Greenland. ?

The biggest slider in the history of all weather. Will correct South ?

Normally we are moaning the cold is early December or late March but this time there are no excuses. It’s the heart of Winter and if it’s not cold enough next week, cold zonal will never, ever deliver.

You’re not serious Pip.

NWS I'm getting model fatigue and a headache. Just want 2 inch of snow and to build a crappy snowman with my 3 yr old. None of it looks zonal and in general quite interesting but I've had 3 snow showers all Winter. We are always chasing potential charts 7 days away. The PM NWly will as per usual be too marginal and give Glosop and the peaks snow and everyone else chasing sleet and hail. Getting a bit board with it all. Losing enthusiasm - over and out.

Nothing is decided yet.

yep

John Hammond on Twitter #weekahead - Chilly - Briefly milder midweek - Significant #uksnow event possible, especially north UK, next weekend. One to watch... #UKWeather Chorley will be in the warm sector.

Edit

Don’t think so. Cold air making inroads West. Why do you think it is a poorer chart? Edit Already answered. ?

You miss read NWS post. He was referring to the GFS in general not the 06z.

Beeb graphics looking similar to UKMO output. Nothing like GFS.

While there’s a lull before the pub run I thought I’d just re-post the model output times for newbies who may want to start having a look for themselves on Meteociel. If someone can add the GEM (considering it’s recent output) that would be great. I assume all these times are still roughly correct. Information on where to find model output and what time of day they update. Global Forecasting System (GFS) GFS Viewer (approximate) 00Z 0330-0445 | 06Z 0930-1045 | 12Z 1530-1645 | 18Z 2130-2245 (GMT) 00Z 0430-0545 | 06Z 1030-1145 | 12Z 1630-1745 | 18Z 2230-2345 (BST) Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) GEFS Viewer (+/- 10 mins) 00Z 0550 | 06Z 1150 | 12Z 1750 | 18Z 2350 (GMT) 00Z 0650 | 06Z 1250 | 12Z 1850 | 18Z 0050 (BST) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ECMWF Viewer (approximate) 00Z 0600-0700 | 12Z 1800-1900 (GMT) 00Z 0700-0800 | 12Z 1900-2000 (BST) United Kingdom Met Office (UKMO) UKMO Viewer (approximate) 00Z 0500-0600 | 12Z 1700-1800 (GMT) 00Z 0600-0700 | 12Z 1800-1900 (BST) United Kingdom Met Office FAX (FAX) FAX Viewer (approximate) 00Z 1030 | 12Z 2230 (GMT) 00Z 1130 | 12Z 2330 (BST) Non-Hydrostatic Mesoscale Model (NMM) Netweather Extra Only (approximate) 00Z 0430 | 06Z 1030 | 12Z 1630 | 18Z 2230 (GMT) 00Z 0530 | 12Z 1130 | 12Z 1730 | 18Z 2330 (BST)

UKMO says yes at 144. Phew.

Strongest winds

What time the highest winds?