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Spah1

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Everything posted by Spah1

  1. Spah1
    holly sh’t
  2. Spah1
    Pitty it’s not during the day. Will miss most of it asleep ?
  3. Spah1
    NWS MO updated “As we go into the second half of next week there is likely be a gradual return to milder conditions as frontal systems make erratic progress into the west of the UK, bringing with them the threat of some snow. “ Not going with ECM ‘yet’.
  4. Spah1
    Couldn't agree more. Hopefully the Atlantic can help us out here. Get a few westerly winds into the cold air.
  5. Spah1
  6. Spah1
    eeerrrr no?
  7. Spah1
    aaaaaahhhhh is the NW ever going to get any snow. Can’t be bothered with the East getting snow showers for 3 days and us basking in cold sunshine.
  8. Spah1
    This is precisely what Easterly winds give Chorley. Boring weather.
  9. Spah1
    A little disappointing Exeter talking about a breakdown from the West and milder air pushing through. Doesn’t instill still confidence of a prolonged cold spell from the East.
  10. Spah1
    Yup. The net outcome, as UKMO explain well, is how major anticylonic flow by Fri across NE Russia leads to a shift of stratospheric polar vortex position to the SSE, resulting in a marked reconfiguration in the N hemispheric pattern.
  11. Spah1
    Steve Any chance of putting a post together explaining this tweet from IF and matching its content to what you are seeing in the models. Fergie ‘Yup. The net outcome, as UKMO explain well, is how major anticylonic flow by Fri across NE Russia leads to a shift of stratospheric polar vortex position to the SSE, resulting in a marked reconfiguration in the N hemispheric pattern.’ Cheers
  12. Spah1
    How so?
  13. Spah1
    Fergie ’Yes, interesting turnaround from ECMWF monthly model yesterday (frm previous +ve to now -ve UK temp anomalies through fair stretch of Jan wks 1-3). There's been similar to-&-fro in recent GloSea runs & given all manner of conflicting signals/output, extended range confidence low!’
  14. Spah1
    Considering what Teits was posting re uncertainty in forcasting in the next 14 days this seems appropriate. Fergie ‘Yes, interesting turnaround from ECMWF monthly model yesterday (frm previous +ve to now -ve UK temp anomalies through fair stretch of Jan wks 1-3). There's been similar to-&-fro in recent GloSea runs & given all manner of conflicting signals/output, extended range confidence low!’
  15. Spah1
    Ian i usually go up to Holcombe for a walk on the moors but with what you have been posting decided it was prob not worth it.
  16. Spah1
    Well all in all a big pile of crap. When the next disappointment we can chase?
  17. Spah1
    gutted i thought it would def snow up east lancs
  18. Spah1
    Any snow up rivington?
  19. Spah1
    Amber warning just cancelled
  20. Spah1
    Worth a walk up Peel Tower ?
  21. Spah1
    Crap gona have to tell the kids Dads an idiot. Never never telling the kids about snow again! Ever!
  22. Spah1
    iand61 let me know if it turns out decent your way I may take a drive up ?
  23. Spah1
    it’s ................. raining ?️
  24. Spah1
    I’m just waiting for the notification on my phone to ping ’MO amber warning cancelled’. I’ll give it 30mins
  25. Spah1
    Can’t believe the MO got it this wrong.
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