adrianh
Members-
Posts
168 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by adrianh
-
Any more knowledgeable people got any ideas why this hasn't delivered to the degree which all of the hi-res models suggested 24 hours before the event? - I'm assuming they just aren't as good at modelling easterlies and the showery regime they tend to deliver? Looks to me that the showers just haven't travelled in land as intensely as expected so the coastal areas have done quite well but those further inland ended up with scattered showers rather than consistent snow.
-
There's a decent covering here to be fair. We've been a bit spoilt this year is the problem, then we've had all the build up, the fact we've tapped into some genuine cold air (not marginal) for the first time and finally expectations increased with a seemingly unnecessary Amber warning! We still have many hours ahead to deliver though and at least the thaw will stop going into the evening
-
We've got a good covering here but definitely disappointing so far! - Mainly cos we were all counting down the days from run to run for what feels like 2 weeks and when the winds finally turn to the east, we get patchy light/moderate snow! Still time for it to change of course but so far the frontal snow events have been far superior
-
Hard to tell what's actually going to occur if you follow the main model thread as there is always an aura of doom! What's clear is our region is going to be cold for the next 5 days - snow chances Saturday night, followed by showers for several days (with the potential of big accumulations if streamers set up), then there's a possible dumping of snow when it breaks down on Thursday. All in all, exciting times!
-
Think it'll depend how long that low pressure takes to slip south east. These precipitation charts suggest a bit of a 'dry zone' north of the low or at least less intense/scattered showers until the low clears fully but it'll be down to radar watching on the day no doubt! It might be more the Midlands that has to suffer rather than Yorkshire
-
Going my completely untrained eye, looks like the region might get an initial covering Saturday night into Sunday morning and then a period of drier weather on Sunday before the showers start to pile in once the low pressure slips south east. It'll then be down to radar watching - hopefully if a streamer does set up, it'll move a bit so we all get into the action. Very exciting few days ahead either way and even if a breakdown does occur on Thursday, there's no real sign of an organised polar vortex so it could well be a brief milder interlude before pressure builds to the north again.
-
I wouldn't stress over the warnings too much - they often seem to be miles off/slow particularly when it comes to easterlies. During the 2018 Beast from the East, we had a good 20cm of snow on the ground before we finally got upgraded to an amber warning. A shift south (or north) of that initial low would be nice though just so we don't have a dry area over some of our region on Sunday.
-
The cold looks to get sufficiently entrenched that I'd be shocked if the entire region didn't at least get a moderate covering with the potential for some memorable depths for those who get under the 'streamers'. This could well be an extended period too - the models are starting to toy with height rises to the north of us which might be enough to send the Atlantic lows to the south of the country. Either way, a very exciting week or so ahead!