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Everything posted by Purga
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
06z now wants to go uebermild. May not end up as bad as it looks at first glance. WAA & all that jazz. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exeter with one eyebrow slightly raised then "Perhaps a greater chance of a longer cold spell late in the period." -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Certainly looking very wet, windy and mild according to GFS 12z so far. Let's hope ICON 12z is more on the money! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well the jet is not exactly roaring away to the north of us. Still many options both good and bad on the table. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ECM ENS certainly don't close the door on extended cold. The well worn phrase 'all to play for' springs to mind. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Longer term FI looks ugly and unfortunately the ENS and Pros are fairly confident it will verify. Still we have a week or so to enjoy in the meantime. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is exactly the kind of battleground profile we want for upping the odds on a potential decent snow dump at some stage. Patience maybe... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Purga replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The block to the NE is proving to be ever more resilient over a snow covered entrenched cold Scandinavia & Central / E Europe. This has been lacking in recent years. Long may it last ! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Atlantic is running up against the block to the NE on the 06z and the trough to the west looks like disrupting under it - good to see. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM ENS show a shift of the mean to cold from 12z yesterday to 00z today. With both the Op & Control ditching the mild after 23rd 12z 18/11 00z 10/11 -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Purga replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Average to possibly coolish at times And pretty unsettled. Certainly nothing of any wintry note to come apart from the high ground i the north maybe at first. -
Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Purga replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion