-
Posts
2,122 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Purga
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
00z GFS 06GFS The slow unravelling and descent into the usual bland nothingness - still it's only one run -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking very sketchy this morning for any meaningful cold anytime soon, apart from a bit chilly in the south this weekend. Even the 35 day ENS look bland throughout March. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Going for a repeat of history - The Great Blizzard of March 1891 2023 to please the SW brigade. The Great Blizzard of March 1891 - Historic UK WWW.HISTORIC-UK.COM One of the greatest storms of all time hit the west of England on 9th March 1891, bringing with it severe gales, heavy snow and freezing temperatures... -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Blimey - March heading towards record mild Bartlett territory according to GFS 00z. Fortunately there is considerable spread and a few decent cold options on the table as well as a better end D10 with ECM. ECM ENS do show a trend up as we head into March though. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Generally looking like High Pressure dominated across the models this morning. Temps average with some cool nights maybe, certainly nothing remotely wintry on the horizon. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lack lustre ECM D10 with a benign easterly, maybe chilly but far from wintry at this stage. In danger of sinking SE leaving the UK in SSE or eventiually SSW flow. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, a little tweak to the North with the High would make all the difference to the UK - much like what happened a fortnight ago - re-run ! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Stuck record weather for the foreseeable, mild then average at best. With one of Nick Sussex's Limpit Highs determined to take up permanent residence near or over us. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Solidly mild and zonal looking with a very intact vortex out to D10 and beyond. Stav on CF emphasising how incredibly mild it'll be this coming week as well, Meanwhile in Siberia it's -58C (nearly -60C!) - this country is a joke for so called 'winter' weather -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nothing much of interest this morning apart from a few stragglers at the end. Even the 35 dayer is uninspiring, all roads lead back to Barty. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A nice chart in deep FI on the face of it. Doesn't yield any snow (sod all even in the Highlands) and daytime temps around 4C not very exciting.. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Purga replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion