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Everything posted by Shunter
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Shunter replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A couple of questions .. Does anybody have historical knowledge of how quickly a raging jet stream deaccelerates when a SSW occurs? And does the warming itself create inertia that slows it down, or does the Jet just “freewheel” until it loses its energy? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Shunter replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Zonal wind speed at 60’N increased to 28.6 at midnight. This was forecast and could indicate why NWP is showing such strength in the Jet stream. The good news is that this will fall like a stone from today to a possible reversal around the 28th. This should severely deflate energy in the jet stream around the New Year. The question is whether the models have factored this in? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Shunter replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The 06z Op shows a small improvement at T72 with better ridging to the NW and a defined contour bringing the aforesaid Easterly draw across southern areas on Xmas Eve. That should dry the ground out a bit following days of rain. With the projected wind reversal still showing around 25th , i would ‘take a punt’ on future runs showing an increased number of colder scenarios around 3rd Jan as the downwelling progresses. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Shunter replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
He was last seen giving CPR to a snowflake in New Ash Green ! -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
Shunter replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
The forecast earlier this week was for a maximum of 14c today, yesterday this reduced to 12c and today it actually 10c ........Lets hope this trend continues. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards
Shunter replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Been a thoroughly miserable wet/ damp day in the Thames Estuary. Rain on and off all day. Looks like a small depression developed and remains stationary over the area ( about 70 miles in diameter ). Rain today map shows it rotating nicely. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards
Shunter replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Temp 7.1c DP 3.9c. Steady -
The heavier echoes are moving in a NW direction making landfall now in Lydd area. Following the same track would expect areas inside Canterbury to Rochester to be sweet spot this afternoon with only moderate bursts either side ( that's for Kent ).
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Netweather radar showing darker echoes approaching Hythe, Folkestone, Lydd areas west to Brighton now. Should intensifiy whatever is falling. Radar shows it as Snow.
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Drizzle has now turned to snow grains and intensifying. Everything seems to be going white again. Temp -1.7C DP -6C
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Dozens of people reporting this with condensing boilers. Just locate the white pipe at the bottom of the boiler and follow it the outside, heat the pipe with warm water or hair driver and reset the boiler. Ours stopped last night. We have British Gas emergency cover but were unable to contact them !!
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Snowing now here. 1st shower of the evening. We going under Amber warning in 10 mins too. T -7.5c dp -9.5c
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snowing heavily here again now.......local roads almost impassable......valley drive, thong lane, A2. We abandoned car and walked home the last mile or so as traffic was at a standstill Approx 15cms of laying snow. Temp was 1c but now back to -1C in Snow.
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4-5 inches of snow here. Massive shower whilst driving from Godstone to Gravesend. Had to abandon car at A2 East as roads blocked by stuck cars !
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Yep....just caught the Western edge of it in Gravesend too. we now have the slightest covering. Seems to swing South towards Maidstone / West Kingsdown after here.
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have good view from loft ( crows nest ). Can see past Dartford Crossing into Canary Wharf and sky looks clear to the West. Looking North East towards Canvey it looks foggy so could be a sign of incoming shower. East looks cloudy but can see broken cloud towards Medway.
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would appear that medway to Orpington is the Eastern limit. Hit and miss here even when under a pink blob. Temp -1.6C DP -7.9C Wind is Northerly too ?