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Posts posted by Sky Full
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22 hours ago, WYorksWeather said:
So were anti-smoking laws, health and safety, etc. If you don't agree that modern climate change a. exists and b. is primarily due to human activity, I wouldn't expect you to support the EV transition. ……
Surely it’s perfectly possible to agree with your points a) and b) but also not believe that the forced transition to EVs is the answer? In my opinion, EVs come way down the list of things the human race could do to combat humanity-induced climate change but unfortunately the most critical changes in our treatment of the planet must be made globally, by everyone at once, in order to have any benefit. Swapping to EVs may be a part of the solution, but it’s only a tiny part when compared with the destruction of rain forests, and the emissions from industry, aircraft and commercial shipping.
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No heatwave here today - not really looking like an Indian Summer either - but pleasantly warm and sunny at times, with no rain and a light breeze. Very acceptable for early October but I’m betting we will have to pay for it later in the month…..
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2 hours ago, Scuba steve said:
Isn’t that the plan ? Tbh it’s all about control and I’m playing no part in this sham
Yes indeed. I think the age of motoring is coming to an end but nobody in government wants to admit it. There is simply no way that everyone who wants one will be able to continue having a family car under present plans and the ability to travel anywhere at any time will no longer be an option. Maybe shared / rented autonomous self-driving cars will be the norm in 50 years and everyone will look back at the old way of driving and laugh….!
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Not sure if this link is open to read but this is another report listing some of the reasons EVs are still in their development stage and should not be made mandatory for a long while yet (in my opinion!)…..
The great electric car experiment has taken a dangerous turn
WWW.TELEGRAPH.CO.UK
A 'terrifying' malfunction has added to concerns that the failures and risks of EVs are being ignored or casually explained awayIt seems completely impractical to set any dates for the forced demise of ICEs until the charging infrastructure for EVs is fully developed and tested nationally and is capable of serving at least a future 10 years increased growth in the number of EVs on the road. Among other things this means solving the problems of charging EVs if you live in one of the hundreds of thousands of terraced houses and flats in narrow streets often with parking only available on one side of the road, if at all. Are all public car parks where people have to keep their car overnight (especially blocks of flats and housing estates) going to be provided with electric charging points at every bay and charged at rates which are equivalent to domestic electricity prices at home? Even if they are installed, are all these public charging points going to be free from vandalism, fraud and 100% reliable? Otherwise, the many hundreds of thousands of people who cannot park their car off road at night will be at an immediate disadvantage and they will be virtually forced out of private car ownership altogether once ICEs are no longer available to buy.
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Another report….
Antarctic sea ice sets another alarming new record for 2023 - The Weather Network
WWW.THEWEATHERNETWORK.COM
Experts speculate that the Antarctic sea ice system has entered a new regime of much lower ice extent.I always believed, as Alexis says above, that melting sea ice has no effect on sea levels but does allow faster glacial ice degradation and that accelerating glacial meltwater would increase sea levels globally. In addition, I also understand that the reduction in sea ice affects the ice-albedo effect and promotes an increase in sea water temperatures, thereby accelerating the melting trend. If the Earth has previously enjoyed a lengthy status-quo regarding sea ice levels it does appear that the balance is now tipping in favour of a gradual reduction of seasonal maximum sea ice in the Antarctic.
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Another report …..
(deleted - wrong thread!)
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Approaching seven hours of non-stop moderate rainfall here which is getting boring. Radar says it should ease up after about 2:00pm but it’s been a very wet day so far…..
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- Popular Post
11 hours ago, Frosty. said:For sure, I have an eye on winter now!.. and P25 GEFS 12z certainly caught my eye! … hey, it’s only 87 days to Christmas innit!
Hooray! Frosty’s back! ️️
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39 minutes ago, Sky Full said:
There’s a band of heavier rain passing through here right now being blown sideways in the strong wind but it looks like this will clear to the east in an hour or so, after which no more rain on the radar! The wind hasn’t yet reached its peak as forecast so the next four hours should see what Agnes has to offer although she’s definitely tracking further to the west than the models originally suggested. I’m not complaining about that…..
That was a pretty wild squall line which delivered very strong gusts and much heavier rain for about ten minutes, but now the rain has almost ceased and the sky is brightening. I expect you’ll see this in about another hour @Wetterfrosch. It’s still very windy here but not damaging, so far.
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There’s a band of heavier rain passing through here right now being blown sideways in the strong wind but it looks like this will clear to the east in an hour or so, after which no more rain on the radar! The wind hasn’t yet reached its peak as forecast so the next four hours should see what Agnes has to offer although she’s definitely tracking further to the west than the models originally suggested. I’m not complaining about that…..
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A sudden heavier burst of rain right now accompanied by steadily strengthening wind. The trees are beginning to sway bodily instead of just waving branches about. Guess there’s going to be a LOT of leaves to clear up by tomorrow….
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33 minutes ago, Wetterfrosch said:
I do recall seeing 138 kph out in the Irish Sea before, so hopefully my wife will get safely to her post-cancer examination at Landudno hospital and back home again this afternoon. Heavy rain just starting here but got dogs out well before. Keep safe, all!!
Best wishes for your wife’s health - I hope she makes a full recovery. . We currently have steady light rain and a strong breeze. More to come later, no doubt!
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17 hours ago, Loadsa2000 said:
Met Office upgrades Storm Agnes with 'danger to life' warning for parts of Wales - Wales Online
On Tuesday morning (September 26), that warning was upgraded in west and north Wales as the forecasting agency warned of "danger to life". The upgraded message said: "The likelihood of impacts has been increased, particularly across Northern Ireland, southwest Scotland, west and northwest Wales, Cumbria and Lancashire."
However, as the storm seems to be taking a slightly more western route today the models have reduced the expected maximum wind gusts for most parts of Wales by 10-20kph. This UKMO chart for 6:00pm is showing roughly the peak of the winds in the Irish Sea….
This doesn’t look as severe as the charts I have been looking at over the last few days.
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17 hours ago, Wetterfrosch said:
Can't say I'm looking forward to Wednesday's deep low, in fact I'm somewhat worried about my roof tiles staying where they are now……..
Good luck with your roof - I know exactly how that feels!
The MetOffice has issued yellow weather warnings for gales or severe gales for a large part of the UK including Wales for Wednesday and Thursday:
UK weather warnings
WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK
Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.Let’s hope it stays at yellow…..
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Not weather related, but a fantastic record 40-6 win for Wales over the Wallabies in Lyon tonight - and the worst defeat ever for Australia in a World Cup. Top of their group and into the quarter finals. Very good game!
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6 hours ago, Wetterfrosch said:
Can't say I'm looking forward to Wednesday's deep low, in fact I'm somewhat worried about my roof tiles staying where they are now. MetO output for my area has now made it to 58 mph top gusts which might yet increase?? The only consolation is that, with the centre moving fast, the worst spell looks to be fairly short lived so that by the time I bed down I will at least know whether or not I need to phone the roofer in the morning.
Yes, I’m with you there. All the models have converged towards a deep low moving north over Ireland on Wednesday but some indications lead me to believe that it might track further west than originally thought. Even so, the strongest gusts look likely to affect the Irish Sea and the west coast of Wales will certainly be very windy indeed on Wednesday. The worst chart I can find is currently shown by the Arpege for 4:00pm Wednesday….
We need to keep an eye on this because there is still time for changes in the strength and direction of the storm.
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19 hours ago, Bristle Si said:
Future UK governments will disincentivise peeps from using non-electric cars. The 'other lot' will stick to '2030' - there will likely be increased taxes on unleaded and diesel, and on gas for heating purposes within next 10 years. It wouldnt surprise me one bit if road tax is really hiked by the 'other lot', post 2024, on existing non-electric cars. 'They' have form in cities like London and Bristol (Bath - the 'Other Other lot') already.
Off this particular topic, but I haven’t been able to work out how I’m going to heat my house after the restrictions on hydrocarbon fuels come in as we use heating oil (no mains gas). I don’t think a heat pump would be a suitable alternative to the instant response of a traditional boiler and there’s no way I’m going to be able to pay for the conversion anyway.
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Possibly another very windy day for Wales next Wednesday although it’s a few days away from being nailed on yet…..
GFS. UKMO
Probably best to avoid the Irish Sea ferries next Wednesday, based on these charts!
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14 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
you could move to Canada I'm having 2 new gas furnaces installed in my house very soon along with a new A/C system to replace the old one ..i dont have to worry about bogus tech like heat pumps
Does Canada have any policies in place to achieve ‘net zero’, or to ban ICE cars in the future? It’s a vast country, much of it wilderness and under-populated so I would imagine that electric vehicles wouldn’t be the first choice for private transport? I can’t see Canadians wanting to ditch petrol or diesel engines for a long time.
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51 minutes ago, razorgrain said:
My only concern here is that it's another platform for outsourcing work to east Asia. There's a multitude of reasons why that's bad for our economy and shifts the pollution into other areas. The amount of back and forth shipping can't be good, for example. Realistically we need to be exploring more localised manufacturing and cutting back on international shipping, but it's just more profitable to outsource everything to China apparently.
Don’t get me going on the loss of our car manufacturing industry. I guess we just couldn’t modernise it fast enough to compete with Asia and still make enough profit for the shareholders…..
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18 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:
its super easy to convert liquid water into hydrogen
Do I detect sarcasm…
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On 21/03/2023 at 12:37, Thundery wintry showers said:
………the Government's plan to ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030…..
I won't be surprised if when it comes to the time they end up pushing the measure back another 5-10 years,……..
Looks like you might have been right about that, sooner than you thought!
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The announcement that the government might be about to delay the total ban on ICE powered cars in the UK made me catch up with this thread. I must say that there are very persuasive arguments both for and against the electric car and opinions do seem to be evenly split in here.
I also found this article very interesting especially because I believe there are alternative technologies to electric battery powered cars which have not been properly explored or given similar investment:
Hydrogen cars: are they the future? | RAC Drive
WWW.RAC.CO.UK
Hydrogen cars were first introduced by Toyota in 2014 and are making a strong case for changing the way we power our travel.I was not aware that in Asian countries there are policies in place to support the development and future use of hydrogen powered cars, or that Toyota and Hyundai already produce road going hydrogen cars which can driven out of the showroom today…..
Extract:
Asia vs the world?
As the only two major car brands developing hydrogen cars are based in Asia - it is hardly suprising that there has been more of an effort to develop the industry. In contrast to Europe where there are 230 hydrogen stations, and a limited number of cars avalable, Asia is investing in the future of hydrogen as a fuel for vehicles across the continent.The Japanese government have announced plans to have more than 800,000 hydrogen vehicles on roads by 2030 - and China aims to have more than a million by 2035. As it is with most new innovations - early devleopers will get a foothold in the industry, advance the tech, and ultimately make it cheaper for the customer.”
While it is clearly going to be a problem installing all the electric charging points which people will need over the next ten years, providing hydrogen refill stations would not be so difficult because petrol forecourt’s already exist and should be readily adaptable. There is a huge cost issue with hydrogen cars but this was also true of early electric cars and the technology would become much more affordable if it was given a chance to become a real competitor.
BTW: The most abundant element in the solar system? Hydrogen.
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Looks like a new “atmospheric river” of rain will be affecting Wales, the South West and/or parts of the Midlands over the next few days. Here are the rainfall accumulation charts up to Monday midnight from the main models courtesy of Meteologix.com….
UKMO
ECM
GFS
GEM
North West Scotland also getting another soaking.