Sky Full
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Intense rain overnight kept me awake for a while but this morning we have a genuine sunrise occurring! Lovely to see the sun again, which has been cloud covered since Monday. It’s a great start to the day but showers and more rain forecast for later. Oh well. It is January after all…..
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Looks like we’re going to be plagued with a persistently wet and windy month as far as the models can see right now. It’s been a very wet morning here as a long line of heavy showers formed over the Celtic Sea and relentlessly targeted Pembrokeshire. Rain has stopped in the last half hour so hopefully we might get a chance to dry out a bit! Having got over Christmas and New Year I’m now getting impatient for Spring to appear but I guess we’ll have to endure some more winter weather first…..
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Yesterday we saw the sun for a few hours although it remains very low in the sky this time of year and the light morning frost hung around for most of the morning where the shadows remained. It’s hammering down this morning with the prospect of a very wet day ahead. Local roads might see some flooding in places today after a generally wet start to the year. Looks like we could be in for a lot more of this in January as the prospect of cold, dry weather has disappeared off the charts for now.
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8 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:
Meanwhile, below our latitude , frustrating that we never get anything like this even modelled let alone actually get it.
Fascinating gif which highlights a continental winter contrasted with our own maritime winter, warmed by the Gulf Stream. It will take a significant shift in the climate to bring the UK snow of these proportions!
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Understandably, many on here continue to look for signs of an imminent arctic blast accompanied by widespread heavy snow which remains possible for at least another 10 weeks. However, this is also the time of year for Atlantic driven wind storms and with the increasingly turbulent atmosphere and warming seas we could see record breaking storms in the same way we have seen record breaking high and low temperatures in very recent times. I will be keeping an eye out for the earliest signs of Atlantic storms over the next few weeks, like these charts from the GFS (way into FI but worth watching….)
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Only 26 days to go before the CFS has this in store for us….
Just for fun, of course…..Now only 26 minutes to go before 2023 so Happy New Year to all you lovely weather nuts out there - may the new year bring you all the snow you’ve dreamed of. Love all the posts and I’m looking forward to many more next year.
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Well, the arctic temperatures delivered by December 2022 have managed to kill off at least four garden shrubs including an old and cherished lavender bush
. Others are damaged but might recover. The exceptional frosts managed to penetrate the unheated potting shed where the 30 year old money plants were sheltering over winter as usual. They’re all dead now. My fault, but I never imagined it would be able to get to them inside…. Pembrokeshire is normally a fairly mild area as it’s surrounded by sea on three sides but this year we must have broken a few records for cold. Just goes to show you can never second guess Mother Nature - she will always have a surprise or two up her sleeve to deliver just when you least expect it.
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Heavy rain here all morning and now the wind is gaining strength with some hefty gusts. No snow. All the frost has disappeared. Not nice.
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Bitterly cold overnight - heavy frost on everything this morning. For those that can, don’t forget to put a little food - and water - out for the birds. They will be grateful as it’s difficult to find food in these temperatures.
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16 minutes ago, snefnug said:
Today’s walk with Norman Dog, bit more snow from Saturday. Clear blue skies up here, dense fog in the valley.
Fab pics!
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The sun is up now and the landscape is frozen….
I think they’ll be some treacherous back roads around this morning.
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It’s looking very very cold outside - could be -6C or -7C. Now I’m worried about the outside taps - I’ve lagged them in layers of bubble wrap but I don’t know it’ll be enough. Don’t want a bust pipe.
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2 hours ago, snefnug said:
Jeepers, going to be very very cold tonight. Never got above 2c today, currently -2, projected to -6. Heating been on all day. Cats thankful, as was I.
Very cold all day here, too, with any ground not seeing the sun remaining icy and frozen. Had to de-freeze the bird bath twice to make sure they had something to drink - the pond is frozen solid. I’m trying to eke out the oil supply until after Christmas so the thermostat is set at 16C indoors but it’s on 24 hours a day to maintain a steady temperature. I’m not a Scrooge but it’s perfectly comfortable if you wear enough clothes and the living room is nice and toasty with the log fire.
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Well, at least it’s looking very Christmassy….
Just need a few reindeer to complete the picture!
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The forecast for my location predicts a very unusual 7 more consecutive nights of frost, which will make 10 nights in a row if it happens. I’m pretty sure the last time that happened was February 2018 (BFTE), so it’s getting more uncommon to see this sort of entrenched cold here. If we get a little snow into the bargain, that’ll be a great start to Winter given that we still have all of January and February to go yet!
️🌨️🌨
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Can this be right? -8C….
Must be the coldest night for at least 2 years.
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3 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:
I see Pembrokeshire dangler is in full force this morning ! This is something we haven't seen for a long time! Some might do well from this next few days. All depends on wind direction and temperatures though whether some northern and western parts see some flurries.
Some of those showers headed directly towards me but showing up as rain on the radar. Sadly not quite cold enough for snow here, yet, but it’s going to get colder this week!
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Unbelievably my simple household thermometer is reading -6C outside right now. That’s a lot lower than the forecast so it might be inaccurate but unlike warm temperatures which are easy to amplify if taken in the wrong place, it’s hard to see how a cold temperature reading could be false?
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This is an entertaining progression from the GEM showing the gradual accumulation of snow over the UK during the next 10 days:
Almost everywhere has some lying snow over the next 10 days……. Can’t remember the last time this was being predicted and certainly not before Christmas.
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Pre-Christmas blizzard, anyone….?
Courtesy of GFS +252h. But it really looks like this kind of setup will occur at some point…..
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Now the GFS has 30cm of lying snow over most of central Wales by the 17th December…….!!!
Is that what’s known in scientific circles as an ‘upgrade’?
(EDIT. sorry, @andymusic I realised that was the same chart you posted earlier! Still, it’s worth seeing twice!)
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The GFS currently shows this ‘lying snow depth’ chart for the 12 December - just seven days away:
Hardly anywhere in Wales without snow in this chart. What’s even more surprising is that some snow is predicted to be lying on the ground at least until the 20th December which is the furthest reach of this model. This indicates below freezing temperatures even during the day. Who knows, this might even be a conservative outlook….🌨🌨
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I see the MetOffice have issued a Yellow Snow warning for Scotland……. That’s nothing new - my parents were always warning me not to eat it!
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Just for fun……GFS is currently modelling this snow depth chart for 13th December at midnight:
Don’t get carried away yet - this is still 11 days away and bound to change. Could be worse, could be better…..we’ll soon find out!
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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Wales / Cymru weather discussion
Posted
Am I dreaming…..….
'Heavy snow' forecast to hit large parts of Wales next week