Jo Farrow

Carol Kirkwood used to live next to Paul Daniel, she moved in time, that's magic

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/aboutthebbc/posts/BBC-Weather-at-60 and more

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-25665340 Something positive and cosy Presenting a warm front: 60 years of the British TV weather forecast

The DM article "made the MO a menace" Climate change is just one part of weather forecasting, it is the longer term arm, weighed down by politics and so budgetary issues the main part of the MO work is producing daily forecasts, the shipping forecast, warnings, working together with other govt agencies such as the Env agency to help warn about the flooding. Great that all the quotes about how the MO have got the rainfall total wrong, are against photos of the recent flooding, does even the picture editor not believe the article and what are "recent forecast-defying floods" Is the MO supposed to be erecting flood defences around the whole of the UK to stop the flooding, which may just increase from the DM non happening Climate change I'd imagine there will be ripe DM headline not too far back screeching the horrors of 'global warming and carnage' Forecasters who have just finished a 12 hour night shift will just sag to see this on their journey home, or overhear whitterings in the corner shop, ooooh the Met Office got it wrong again.... Do remember James Delingpole: I’m a Marmite man – being loathed is a badge of honour Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2227368/I-m-Marmite-man--loathed-badge-honour.html#ixzz2pzEwvFDM Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

Thurs 9th Jan. If you want to start having a peek for a snowy setup over the UK, what should you be looking for in the forecasting charts? View the full blog here

And to answer your earlier Q John, trend being 10-15 days, short lived cold MO says "All output then does agree later in the period for a return to more mobility in the trend period, biased this time to the NW."

So many people asking about it, "is it coming to the UK?" http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=5606;sess=

As the media blames the 'Polar Vortex' for the severe cold in the US, what is this meteorological phenomenon? View the full blog here

Adding fuel to the staple question at this time of year 'Are we going to get any snow?', the pictures of the severe winter weather in the United States. View the full blog here

It would be nice to have something else to say rather than SW'ly (gales)

Latest from the Met Office There remain a significant minority of members (about 40% of EC and 45% of MOGREPS-15) that allow a build ofpressure across the UK into the Trend period, with a number of these signalling some sort of E’lyor N’ly component also.The trend period being 10-15 days That's quite in the balance about the build of pressure and then within that, getting E or N'ly

That's the squall line just moving out into the North Sea at Berwick, bit to get rid of in Aberdeenshire and then it's back to the West coast for the next wind installment tonight.

Newcastle, Sunderland, Alnwick it's about to arrive with you, see radar, bright red/pink lines heading east heavy rain and intense squally winds

Squall line just over me know, something is shaking about on the roof like it is loose, house is shaking

The front is so active it has CBs and TSs embedded in it, giving the hail. had some in E.lothian before 8pm. Separately, you can see the squall line N/S on the radar which has passed across NW England, seems to be extending into Borders, series of red lines Strongest winds not til midnight onwards for far west

That's the first of the rain just arriving for me in E.Lothian, whoooooo and winds strengthening, blimey If you haev a look on the radar you can see the squall line echoes, practically along the welsh border, really defined red lines N/S

The worst of the winds are still to come for the far north of Ireland and western Scotland, particularly the Western Isles, midnight into the small hours. As the low centre pulls NE near to NW Britain, the SW quadrant of the low pressure is where the strongest winds/gusts will be. So even though the heaviest rain has cleared N.Ireland, the storm isn't over for tonight

I'll stick with the forecast for this week first, that's enough in itself, ...'sturdy'... didn't want to go all Daily Express, hoho

Some part was still the uncertainty of the track, main update is always at 11am for MO warnings. Also the trees are not in leaf anymore as they were for 'St. Jude' storm, so that impact is lessened. |Also it has been ruddy windy and stormy again and again these past weeks, anything not secured or already blown away by now..... perhaps we have settled into a stormy rut and it isn't big news it's just winter, even if the Atlantic is throwing some sturdy storms our way

The paths of the Atlantic lows at the weekend are jumping about all over the place. The second one for later Sunday, slightly further on this run. Still Lewis, Harris and Skye in the line for 80mph + gusts

I vaguely remember 85%. for out to day 5. being talked about. Would be very tricky to 'mark' the accuracy beyond the 5 day deterministic forecasts, all I've got from Met Office is http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/who/accuracy/forecasts and that is all very short term, No other data is available to you and me

Nice everyone agrees then

Met Office 10-15 day trend (issued daily), says " there is no evident signal for persistent and/or significant cold weather" so that does cover Christmas

well put John, I do that with the UK charts when I'm creating my week ahead video, run through the UK sl pressure and the 1000-500 thickness just to get a theme of the week looking at the atlantic charts gives you a bigger view for a longer time frame. Always remembering that being in Scotland biases your view of the forecast (and realistic hopes) against say hopes for SE England

At least the mirror has something current/real and useful as a warning this morning, (thick fog rather than 'heavy' fog) So travellers can expect delays, perhaps they can headline, Turn your fog lights off, later for every one who gets dazzled on the M25 as they all head home