Essan

I'm 30 miles south of Brum but at my altitude and being in the Vale, one of the driest places in the UK, whichever direction precipitation comes from, I am not expecting much. However, radar will be my guide tomorrow.

Think it's meant to be the Vale of Boredom Evesham but they put it a bit further east by mistake

Contrary to what the radar may imply, it's 100% rain with not merest hint of the tiniest idea of sleet in Evesham. Exactly as forecast and not at all unexpected.

The percentage is chance of precipitation, not precipitation type

Last winter was old skool. This year we're back in the 21st century.

Over the past 24 hours the Met Office not-a-forecast has steadily shifted from snow to a rain/sleet event for this side of the hill ..... I'm not expecting much at all now, though the Cotswolds may seeing something.

I'm just inside the warning area, and the MetO not-a-forecast has been consistently showing snow here Tues/Weds since last night. But at the moment the idea of snow on the ground come Weds morning is something I consider only a possibility, with the Cotswolds at greater risk. We may yet even see nothing at all!

And I've seen snow fall all day long and fail to settle ..... But yes, it's surprising how quickly snow can settle and cover wet ground. Anyway, moot point down here. We're not even going to get any rain!

And for us in the SW Midlands zilch, as usual!

Even were that chart for tomorrow I;d not be expecting much here. But a pessimist is more often pleasantly surprised than an optimist

Not even rain for me!

The Sun is rising! For the first time in weeks ......

What's OTT about it? It's for nurses, doctors and care workers who may be looking after persons vulnerable to cold weather. And the lowest temp I recorded in all the "severe cold" last Feb/Mar was -6.1c Which is only 1.5c colder than it was today.

Yet again clouded over by dawn (what does it take to get a sunny day these days?!), but still managed to get down to -4.6c in my garden That's colder than anything I recorded in 2011, 2013 or 2014 so can't grumble!

And even then I think it's not a case of will but could or, at most, likely - to which always the caveat needs adding "all else being equal". The problem is that the media pester (or else, misquote out of context) a scientist into admitting that "in theory it's possible something could happen by such-and-such a date", then issue a headline saying he has stated it will happen by that date, when the reality is he thinks it's highly unlikely (just not impossible). And when it doesn't happen, the public blame the scientist. Something we also see, of course, with routine weather stories.

Yes, perfectly normal. Watch out for the rainbows though .....

14mm in Evesham yesterday, making it the 2nd wettest day of the year (after 15mm on 25th May). Month's total now up to 19.1mm

Sorry, only just saw this Straight along the Severn Way - footpath east side of the river. Starting from The Old Rectifying House (pub) near the bridge after lunch (1pmish) - then to Upton tonight. Start tomorrow at the Swan pub, finishing at Glos Docks around 6pmish tomorrow Should be a fairly large group both days, plus we have some kayakers accompanying us tomorrow!

Some of your may have heard of Martyn Wells from UKweatherworld. He is a stage 4 cancer patient who had his whole stomach removed in March. He is currently walking the Severn Way to raise funds for MacMillan Nurses, Today he did 33 miles ...... He should be on local TV doing the weather forecast with Shefali tomorrow I will be joining him in Worcs on Friday to walk down to Glos. the most amazing person it has been my privilege to know! www,severnway2018,com

Well after all that, just had a massive 8.3mm from the cold front ...... totally unexpected, but very welcome indeed!

Sadly I was wrong (here anyway) - just 1mm today from patchy drizzle. At least the washing is drying nicely in the breeze My month's total is now up to 9mm, most of which fell in yesterday's thunderstorm. And it looks like that's it for a couple more weeks at least .... Means I am still in partial drought (ave of no more than 0.25mm/day) from the start of June.

"Apps" should never be relied upon in showery conditions - no model can ever predict exactly where a shower will fall. They should only be interpreted as a likelihood of showers "in the vicinity" which may or may not fall on your location Should see some decent frontal rain tomorrow though

Had a good thunderstorm in Evesham about 3.30pm - first thunder I have heard since April! If models are right, tomorrow may match my wettest day of the year so far!

Managed a whole 1mm of rain in Evesham - enough to break the 25 day absolute drought but not making much inroads on the summer deficit! Though a slight chance we may get another wee bit from the stuff currently over west Glos of it maintains its trajectory and doesn't dissipate first ....

Today is Day 20 of absolute drought in Evesham - the longest such spell since I started using my current WS in May 2011.