Essan

Could be worse - you could be under it and just seeing rain, as I am As usual, we miss out because we're too far north, south, east and west.

3mm of rain so far in Evesham ..... MetO app taking the jaffa cakes by showing heavy snow!

Cold rain in Evesham .... However the temp is dropping slightly

Worth noting that the MetO app now shows snow for Evesham next Saturday as well - too early yet to read much into it though. As a rule, is there are indications for snow down here in the Vale, then it's a certainty for higher ground (Cotswolds, Malverns and Birmingham area) - assuming precipitation occurs at all!

That's exactly how all such apps should be used - not as a forecast, but as a forecasting tool: by watching for changes over a period of time (I have had to explain that so many times on hillwalking groups after the unpteenth person has asked "what's the best weather app?") They are, after all, just visual representations of latest model output! Anyway, the MetO have just upgraded Evesham to 3 hours of snow tomorrow Albeit only a 50% chance of precipitation during any one hour period. But the fact it shows snow even down here is encouraging.

It may be slightly colder than average today, but we have more chance of it hitting 40c before sunset than we do have getting a snowflake down here this winter Still, we've had as much as Zurich this winter, so in good company.

Individual climate models may not provide the complete picture

Aye, there's no easy solution. I sometimes worry that so much of my clothing is made from artificial fiber (mostly polyester and fleece). But what are the options? Cotton is also bad for the environment. And presumably, if eating lamb is bad, so too is farming sheep for wool? Maybe we should just adopt nudity as the norm?

Arizona had snow end of May https://edition.cnn.com/2019/05/27/us/arizona-snow-at-grand-canyon-wxc-trnd/index.html

Well Matt, down here we need another 100mm by the end of June to get up to our normal average.for half a year (~300mm) And after a dry 2018, we could probably do with a bit more on top. So stop hogging it all and send some south

The biggest problem is that few people actually read the warnings. Instead, they pick up on what the media tell them (by definition, guarannteed to be inaccurate if not and out and out lie) or just assume - for example - that because they live in Birminghams and there's a warning for the Midlands, then there is a warning for their back garden (in fact, the warning applies only to the Peak District) ...... And even fewer understand them. They could try just issuing warnings to authorities, rescue services etc and others who actually know what they mean. But then, as we see with the health warnings issued on behalf of the NHS when there's hot/cold weather, they still get picked up by the media/public and are entirely misunderstood ..... Until the Met Office are able to issue the back garden specific forecasts that the majority of people seem to think they are already issuing, they really are on a hiding to nothing.

I know in winter 81/82 I had to walk across the fields to get to the nearest village from whence we caught the bus to school each day, because the mile long lane to where we lived on the Essex coast was blacked by snowdrifts. These days the school would have been closed for 2 months so we wouldn't have had to! Only time snowdrifts have blocked me in. Mind, apart from last March (which, as I was in bed with 'flu, I have only vague recollection of actually happening) I haven't even seen a proper snowdrift since I left Suffolk in the early 1990s and moved to Glos and then Worcs.

Stop boasting! Two and one here (leading to a 0.5cm cover). And this has been a good winter! Edit: obviously I am not in Brum, and Brum does normally get a lot more snow than down here.

About 0.5cm in Evesham - just a wee covering to make it all look nice without causing any disruption. Exactly per local forecast

I had a guy on the local Facebook weather group been insisting for the past 2 days that its only going to be rain here because that's what his weather station was predicting! That said, so far we have nothing at all in Evesham

Because of the risk of snow during the evening rush hour - all about impact.

Up to 1.5cm for some

Same way that the day before a cold spell or heatwave starts they start moaning about how quickly it will end!

If I get one single snow flake tonight, then it will have been!

This winter, if it was rain I still wouldn't guarantee it getting here! Been the driest January in my records with less than half the amount of any previous January.

The reason for teh amber warning is timing more than anything - the evening rush hour should be over by the time any snow reaches the Midlands Meanwhile, the not-a-forecast for Evesham at 20z has upgraded from light snow with a 60% probability of precipitation, to heavy snow and 80%

Cardiff is in the yellow warning area (as shown in the Cardiff forecast) - amber warning if for the higher ground of the Valleys, further inland and north of Cardiff (as well as for parts of SW England)

It's not pathetic at all. Where and when snow falls is more often a much bigger factor than how much.. 3cm of snow in Bristol during the evening commute will cause a lot more disruption to travel than 30cm of snow in the countryside at midnight

GFS 06z. for what it's worth, still looks good for Here-Worcs-Glos but not for anywhere much further north. However, I;d like to see Euro4 increase amounts before I start expecting more than a dusting in Evesham

Only -5.1c in my garden but elsewhere in Evesham saw -6.1c and Pershore (Throckmorton) was -7.7c Only expecting light snow overnight but should still be enough to leave a covering