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Snowy L

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Everything posted by Snowy L

  1. Similar with the MOGREPS, most bunched between 14-24 with only 3 below that.
  2. Depends. Inland is low humidity and on the coast there's almost always a pretty strong sea breeze. Reason it feels unbearable is probably because night minimum temperatures are consistently above the record high UK minimum.
  3. Looks like Monday will be the warmest day for most, models keep magicking up cloud in the middle of a high pressure for Tuesday away from the southeast.
  4. Good timing with the front, if it happened overnight it may as well as not happened at all. Another mostly sunny day.
  5. UKMO looking solid, thought we had made it with the GFS too but then develops a new problem throwing the low into us towards the end of next week.
  6. The ECM is perfect, Wednesday is only cool because it's a transition between high pressures and we are temporarily on the eastern side of the incoming high. GFS is disappointing though. Let's see what UKMO says because the crunch period of whether that 2nd high makes it far north enough should be coming into UKMO range today.
  7. Well if we had a day 11 ECM that would be the record gone surely. 20C line already in the southwest on day 10 and seemingly nothing to stop it surging north on day 11. Models are increasingly showing a smooth transition from one high pressure (the one that will move over us from this weekend to Tuesday) to the next high pressure after that. If support for that gets shored up then the record going is becoming a very realistic possibility.
  8. Sorry but 27C is not a heatwave it's like 2 degrees above average for London. We don't even notice temperatures 5c above average in winter so I'd say the absolute minimum for a heatwave in London should be 30c, elsewhere like the Midlands 28C. Looking to next week unfortunately looks like a lot of cloud to shift with fronts moving over the top of the high, affecting much of the UK. Hopefully by Saturday next weekend we finally get proper summer weather.
  9. If the models are right with a home grown heat gradually building then a shift east to tap into an already baking hot mainland Europe, then I see no reason why the record shouldn't go. Not saying it will happen, but if that pressure scenario described plays out then why would the temperatures being shown be unlikely ? France being incredibly hot has a big bearing on what happens to us should winds turn southerly surely? That's a big factor in favour of record breaking temperatures for this summer. I hope it doesn't happen by the way, the perfect summer is a UK high right over the middle of the UK, 25-30C with low humidity is more than enough.
  10. Well today not following the script was meant to be mostly sunny with the odd isolated shower but it's relentless showers at the moment. Tbh it's needed, only just noticed how brown the grass is getting.
  11. Loving the evenings with these warm spells, 20C still, perfect to cool down outside.
  12. Sunny, light breeze, lowish humidity, 26C. Pretty much perfect.
  13. Why is it not enough for some that we should have cold weather in summer, but that people should for some reason not feel cold in it? If it's 11C and raining at midday in December I wear my winter coat, why should I not wear a winter coat in June if the conditions are the exact same?
  14. Similar red glow here and half a rainbow at sunset too.
  15. Yeah I have to pretend I hate snow as well because too many professionals think they are above it or something. Was lucky in my last office job though everyone liked the continental climate. And it's a hell of a lot better looking out the office window and seeing blue skies and sunshine instead of miserable drizzle, even if I can't enjoy it.
  16. Sun almost down and 26C, perfect conditions for a beer in the garden.
  17. 30C with a strong westerly breeze. Don't get to say that very often. Low humidity though so doesn't feel too uncomfortable. Just a normal 12C above average day here in the UK, big deal, we see 20C in mid winter all the time too.
  18. Low of 17C last night after yet more unforecast drizzle hit many parts of England overnight. Off to a good start today though already 24C.
  19. That bit of Midlands cloud has cleared and it's back to mostly sunny and a bit hazy. We have our first 25C of the year and with a light breeze it's pretty much perfect.
  20. Rain popping up in the Midlands. Even in a heatwave this country never fails to disappoint.
  21. Good ridge pushing in for Monday and Tuesday so far. Should bring low twenties which is nothing to complain about. Very hard to predict what will happen though, a lot depends on what the Biscay Low does. As long as it keeps spinning away in Biscay it provides a good support for high pressure to extend East above it into the UK in a favourable alignment for warm temps.
  22. That is absolutely ridiculous, surely NW coast of France is just as exposed to the Atlantic as the rest of South England. Can the weather Gods at least try a bit of subtlety and give North France coasts a bit of cloud next time... As long as humidity is low about 27C is perfect.
  23. Very disappointing GFS essentially cutting the warm spell short by en entire day, with Friday showing the pattern that was shown for Saturday on yesterday's charts. UKMO's Friday chart looking much better, high further north and more importantly still linked, albeit weakly, with the main Azores High, possibility of an attempt to stop the low diving south into the UK?
  24. High pressure is over us for a week. Don't know why anomalies are seen as something special. Just like every other model a few weeks back, first the high was over the UK, then the high was touching the south, then low pressure was over us.
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