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Everything posted by Skullzrulerz
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Wasn't expecting the ECM the turn around like it's unbelievable that 4 days out it's like they don't have a clue -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No offence to you so please don't take this the wrong the UKMO is really the only model at current (ECM GFS slowly following that way) that sounds a way to colder conditions It could still go either way through I'm all the way for the colder outlook -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wonder where the GFS (not the GFS P) Is to what's the news on that ? -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Are you referring to the ICON ? Just to tad confused -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Through that is true and hopefully this time around the ECM is wrong in this case However what can not be denied is this deep cold / Greenland has been going going and gone -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If i'm correct doesn't the ICON starting running at 9pm then 18z (GFS,ECM) 9.30PM? Hopefully something better for the pubs -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Only thing would say is that the NH pattern is in our favour for any cold down the line but I will agree with you if something won't verify in 5 days what's their to 10 ? It's all bound to change so I would say it can get cold if the models starting picking up... -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Most of the models showing ok to poor for uk cold for the meantime infact the odd one or go to mild southish winds To think we were seeing 2010 Winter style to this it's a heck of a roller coaster It will get cooler(colder?) from next week but its starting to look like normal temps or maybe even mild for the time of year However we should not give up hope just yet 1 GFS(P) still brings cold to a point 2 We have 18z runs and the next few days if this is the new trend instead of the colder spell after the eastrly so anything can happen -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Comparing the charts to a few days in general it's been a downgrade sadly though we may get a cold/very cold spell at the end of the month All things considered we have a mostly trend of cold and blocked around Iceland / Greenland Please correct me if I'm wrong -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can't we all just get along Okay the GFS has downgraded a bit and a models have turned to ECM a bit It's the trend we want and that is cold As far as we could know maybe the ECM could go into GFS land a few days ago so who knows We shouldn't start a war over it -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Tell me about it -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry for quote you on this What are you throughts of the GFS Vs ECM winning as it's 50/50 now ? -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think I misunderstand here what do you mean by horrible? It's looks cold ? -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I can't seem to quote some of the posts so I have to do it this way Yes the ECM is not good for the UK at the moment it's one run and all go worse or better the next The end of day the weather will do as it wishes even if we don't like it So far GFS JMA etc have been upgrades to a point Let's all stay friendly as I'm sure the people who are viewing this right don't want to see this argument -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From what I can see through its not helped with a cut image first to me has high pressure around Scandinavia as the second one seems to have moved to Greenland ? As I said can't see the full images -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite a decent GFS pub run tonight it's better then the ECM put it that way -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It be interesting to see if GFS keeps this serious cold on its next run through its a outside change maybe a middle between gfs and ecm would be more likely answer -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ooof "That ECM" was...not good compared to the GFS earlier on Hopefully it's not the start of the famous downgrade season but it's just one run so see where this leads -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Such a incredible run this evening Question is will it be something close to this tomorrow? Most likely not but here's hoping -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Much appreciated thank you -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Compared to the last few days I was expecting to be reading a few pages but it seems it's quite quiet What happens next after this short northly is lot more uncertain compared to the last few days Regardless of what ever happened it's certainly is exciting stuff -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Just thought I leave this here https://twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1054758969464573952?s=19- 3,859 replies
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- stratosphere
- winter
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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thank you -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is the GFS run out yet I thought it was 4.30? Not too sure on the times if someone can forward me to them that be greatful ICON has a winds from east but coldest is in Scandinavia area like GFS yesterday