Skullzrulerz
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Posts posted by Skullzrulerz
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There may be a mild spell coming soon to north europe
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Mild and wet from ECM again of course it won't be raining all the time so in any clear spells it should feel quite pleasant given the winds will be from a warmer direction than of late
By t168 we see the colder uppers get pushed further away from the UK
No cold for now.
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Well then..
Cold.
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Mmmm!
not many people comenting on the gfs,not suprised really
i know it's FL,but the GEM is looking tasty from a cold point of view.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&carte=1&mode=0&archive=0
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&carte=1&mode=1&archive=0
Just looked on one of them cold blast on 22nd oct.
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Looks like its going to cold until mid week mild air kicks it out.
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Higher heights over the pole compared to the 6z, High to the south has spread further north as well.
Will that do anything?
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Two motorists killed in storms as torrential rains sweep across Britain with the nation set for a wet weekend as autumn sun ends*Forecasters predict rain for parts of the country over weekend while temperatures are expected to be below average*The UK will see a north-south split with the worst of the weather in south east eventually moving up the coast*Weather may pick up at the beginning of next week although it will deteriorate once again by end of the week
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I be happy in my lifetime.
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GFS shows things slowly turning milder in the south as we move through the week
Almost 20c somewhere in the London area
So whilst it stays cooler in the north (especially northern Scotland) the south will be turning milder and at times wet this week though in drier spells it should feel quite pleasant give the temperatures
LOL Scotland cooler? Judging from it more like colder.
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yesterday-
this date last year-
thats a massive difference, especially the sea ice!!
Good news for long term.
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Models are showing some interesting devbelopments and we see the jetstream track further south as we go into FI. I'm particularly interested in this part of the month as my mid autumn thoughts were that we'd get a bit more lively from the Atlantic and the track of the jet would move south. I think a pretty unusual set up may occur towards months end with a deep LP attacking from well SW of us and a block in place from Norway to Iceland.
The current model output looks not too out of kilter, even in FI. The Atlantic inroad looks a bit more slack than I have anticipated [though its still FI] and could all change, and change a lot to even no inroads, but i think they're heading in the right direction For me at last we have interesting model output to look at again.
The set up we have had I've actually been a little disappointed as we didn't get the really 'indian summer' conditions here with too much cloud cover being persistently around.
BFTP
No indian summer yay!
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Aren't the Express newspaper group really top notch journo's
Worst winter for decades: Record-breaking snow predicted for November BRITAIN is braced for the "worst winter in decades" with the first major snowfall expected in weeks.By: Nathan RaoPublished: Sat, October 12, 2013and 12 months ago.......
Coldest winter in 100 years on way BRITAIN will grind to a halt within weeks as the most savage freeze for a century begins.By: Nathan RaoPublished: Tue, November 27, 2012They're all muppets
What's next ice age at winter 2014!
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I am many talking about europe,The cold instead of as far west as moscow has gone as far west as east germany
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Vogan just as bad, fantasy forecasts
How do you know? I been with him for sometime and he's right most of the time.
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Good news No Mild Spell For Most of europe Which should of melted some ice/snow off but models changed and looks like southern uk is only going to mild (i hope)
Cold-Very cold for Eastern Europe,Eastern Germany,Norway,Sweden,finland,russia should be cold for snow.For now.
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can we just drop all references to JM. he clearly know NOTHING worthwhile about meterology and quite frankly this forum does not need to waste space discussing him. (skulltheruler - we dont have to wait till april - his ideas are completely ridiculous (unless he's making a forecast for svaalbard rather than the uk)
You Could be right JM maybe Know nothing but NO ONE KNOWS NOTHING whats going to happen this winter.
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Yes that may be true but the set-up is fascinating - just as it was earlier this year when a weak-seeming ridge of HP north of Scotland kept defying the models, until they finally realised it wasn't going anyway that is - well this is a re-run, a couple of days ago the ridge appeared on the wane by T168 but now the models show it reinvigorating. Other synoptics keep it warmer in southern UK but the north is looking closer to a cold blast - and north-eastern europe/Russia stay cold for the foreseeable.I was wondering a few days ago if this might happen and hey presto.
Thats good news for snow cover.
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Just about anything can happen.I think it's on a knife edge later next week, I really think there is a chance that the north of the uk, especially the far north could tap into some colder air associated with the bitter cold plunge across scandinavia..it's getting interesting, if the jet keeps being modelled further south, more of the uk would become colder.
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I was talking about the black hole of cold air above us.Not for long though ECM joins the mild and wet crew in the end
Good agreement now for milder air to arrive during the second half of next week so cool at first but becoming milder and wetter
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At there's one model trying to say cold.
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Model Output Discussion 12hrs. 01/10/13
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Skulltheruler
James Madden has posted this in his lastest update 'recent GFS ensemble forecasts are starting to indicate a much colder theme for the latter part of October and into November'.True?