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Polar Bear

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Posts posted by Polar Bear

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Definately, well done everyone :) I've learned a lot from Wilma, and I've learned a lot from you guys. :) :)

    I don't think this is quite yet ended though - the one last job here in my opinion is to track and forcast the remnants for the possibility of UK landfall.

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    I second all that and the posts above - definately has been a very interesting experience, and I have learnt a wee bit from you all. Well done everyone. Keep it all up, and yes I do wonder what will be the effects for the uk, if any.

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Hi Snowbear,your right this track has been on the cards for a long time and the strengthening despite what the NHC was always possible if it sorted out its inner core,which sure enough it did so.Well done to the NHC for keeping a good track from a few days out.Here's what I said on the 15th,turned out to be very close to the truth,bar the first landfall postion:

    The only thing I weren't expecting was Wilma's top strength and infact SB came quite close thinking 897mbs,I still thought cat-5 but on the lower extreme of that.

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    I just received this image - although that is not to say I dont sympathise with some of the trauma some people have had to go through and still going through as a result of her destruction. Because I do, deeply. :rolleyes:

    post-2094-1130239701_thumb.jpg

    Wilma Watching

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Excellent stuff snowbear - thanks for the link

    Noticed views on here are now at 10,703. Think we'll break the record on the earlier Wilma thread of 11,584 ?!

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    djm - no probs. I know I noticed the no of views - incredible. The alpha thread too I beleve has over 2000 already, but haven't had a chance to have a review of any posts yet.

    Markp for details of whereabouts of the dival street webcam: look at the same site as the site it has a very good detailed map

    By the way djm - am Polar Bear not snowbear, but no worries - v easy mistake

    Wilma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    I am planning to watch for the next 24 hours to see what happens. I have been glued to this thread for days now and feel a little bit selfish harping on about my holiday when there are lives at risk.

    :blink:

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    Joneseye - dont be too hard on yourself it isn't your fault. I dont think you are selfish at all. Sometimes I wish more people would air on the side of caution,(namely the poweres that be) then perhaps maybe there is a slight chance not so many lives would be put at risks. I wish all those out there to be safe wherever Wilma ends up spouting her forces.

    Wilma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Good post, Gw.

    The models are varying a lot. GFDL was the overwhelming champion when it came to predicting Rita and Katrina..so it's GFDL for me all the way - and the track is as you say :unsure: GFDL

    The soon to be Alpha??? is very apparent on the long range IR: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-tim...8irnhcjava.html

    Needs watching closely now, i feel :blink:

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    i am stupid - so can anyone circle where alpha is for me I know mondy you sent a view of all the TS's but my system didn't display it very clearly - sorry to be a pain

    Wilma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Wow...keep playing this: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/RSOgeflt.html

    Towards the end of the loop, you can see the eye bubbling away...very impressive :blink:

    132.jpg

    last image on the loop...as daylight approaches over there, this is gonna be a spectcular loop to follow...you can pretty much predict landfall on the Yucatan using it..

    edit: Polar bear, don't trust anything i say on here :unsure: ..i'm learning all the time too and just posting what i think is right (or more than likely wrong)!

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    s'ok Mondy I understand and am wiv you. what I should have said is learning from good opinion and it is appreciated right or wrong- I have a feeling though you know rather alot more than i do - enuff said - back to wilma posts. ;)

    Wilma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    This image, taken at the same time as the first image, (click on image to expand) gives a 3D perspective of the system from TRMM The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite took this image . The isosurface shows the height of the precipitation within the storm as defined by the 10 dBZ isosurface (equivalent to very weak precipitation). The tall towers (in red) near the center of the circulation often indicate further strengthening.

    Credit: Hal Pierce (NASA GSFC)/Caption credit: Steve Lang, NASA GSFC

    basically its a bar chart of the rain within the storm. as stated in a reply tis is when the hurricane was still a tropical storm.

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    sesnow - that is really helpful for me - thanks ever so much - it is incredibly interesting when you can see the charts etc. :unsure:

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